Sorry to object, and to strenuously object, but it's w-a-a-a-a-a-a-y too early to be bothered by polls.
I've seen this all my life; the only polls that illuminate are those taken just before an election, like a week or a few days before. Polls taken months and months before elections don't mean squat.
The only usefulness one can get out of early polls is an early indication which way people are trending, and candidates usually have a campaign staff to devise strategies to influence people to gradually swing in their favor.
I've lived my whole life through this; I'm not seeing anything I haven't seen before.
Barry "Goldwater" Obama is bound to make some major gaffe somewhere along the line, and by late October, we're going to see the same thing we saw in 1972 and 1984, the big-city machine bosses abandoning the top of the ticket and working desperately creating votes to save those Democrats further down the ballot.
Wait and see if I'm not right.
I wish I could articulate why I feel this way--muddyemms asked me to, but I couldn't--but there you have it, my gut instinct. Wait and see if I'm not right.
'Tis true, Coach. I've got a feeling, though, that you may be right--better than 50%.
Thing is, he's
already made the gaffe. What is the gaffe?
His declaration that he will do
nothing to increase the domestic supply of oil. Gas will go to close to $7 a gallon if he's elected, probably right on January 21, 2009.
While there is a time lag between when oil is discovered and when it gets to the refineries, in North Dakota,
now, there is a huge oil discovery that is just now being tapped. Some of that oil is getting to refineries now. Not much, but it can only get bigger.
His declaration that "ANWR oil won't get to market for 10 years" is exactly the type of mentality that got us in this position in the first place. It's gonna take a long time, so why bother to try to get it now?
If ANWR was opened, the psychological shock of that would cause speculators to drive the price down. The mere threat that they could lose millions on oil contracts that they bought at elevated prices, when the supply of oil is suddenly increased (even at a later date), would drive the price lower. How low? It's been said that speculators add $60 to $70 to a barrel of oil. So, for argument's sake, let's say that the price of oil drops half that--to close to $95 to $100 a barrel. Speculators lose a
mint--maybe billions. And, our enemies in the world--Iran and Venezuela among them--see
their take of the oil pie drop.
But, the Dems don't want to do this. Makes one wonder just whose side they're on--the side of the American driver and consumer, or the side of America's enemies. If they choose the latter, isn't that treason? (BTW--this needs to be stressed
every chance one gets.)
So, the gaffe's been made. Will Team McCain exploit it?
