primitives try to stymie the flow of bricks shooting out their asses over Iowa

[BattleHymn]

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10025748163

Oh, no!  Beetle Braley is in trouble out in Iowaland!

Quick,  send in one of nads' toadies!!

Sun Nov 2, 2014, 01:46 PM
Star Member hrmjustin (48,368 posts)

Des Moines poll was bullshit!

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/garin-hart-yang-d-braley-21276?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

New reliable poll has it tied.

Yesterdays Des moines poll had it tied. The pollster said the race was decided. I think the poster is an asshole and should shut the hell up.

Pardon my language but this stuff pisses me off.

"Reliable" poll.  We'll get to that in a minute, but first a word from some more primitives:

Sun Nov 2, 2014, 04:26 PM
Star Member demwing (13,080 posts)
4. and of course, RCP still has the outlier as the most recent poll

Then a primtive checks in with its take on the DMR poll from yesterday:

Sun Nov 2, 2014, 04:35 PM
DesMoinesDem (1,027 posts)
6. Nate Silver gives Selzer an A+ and says it is one of the most accurate in the country.

Sun Nov 2, 2014, 04:52 PM
Star Member hrmjustin (48,368 posts)
7. She is still wrong on this one.

Sun Nov 2, 2014, 05:46 PM
DesMoinesDem (1,027 posts)
8. Based on what?

You can't just dismiss polls because you don't like the result.

Sun Nov 2, 2014, 06:22 PM
Star Member hrmjustin (48,368 posts)
11. based on every poll that came out at the same time is different form this one.

^^^^^That there is some retarded logic. 

Sun Nov 2, 2014, 06:34 PM
tritsofme (10,970 posts)
13. I agree it is likely to be an outlier.

But that does not necessarily make it "bullshit." Nate Silver talks up this pollster as very credible, so that is something to consider.

Sun Nov 2, 2014, 07:22 PM
Star Member hrmjustin (48,368 posts)
15. Nate Silver is right that she is a good pollster but she got it wrong.

So, you might be asking yourself what poll the primitive is referring to as being the "correct" poll?  Let's look:

DES MOINES | Bruce Braley's campaign says internal polling shows a tied race for Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat.

Polling by Garin Hart Yang Research Group, which serves Democratic Congressional candidates, shows Braley and Joni Ernst tied at 47 percent, the Braley campaign said Wednesday.

http://globegazette.com/election/braley-campaign-internal-poll-shows-u-s-senate-race-tied/article_029e49ca-3e3c-56ad-a39f-64038f976b67.html

BELIIIEEVVE!!!!!!!!1

[I_B_Perky]

Denial... it ain't just a river in Egypt!!!!

[Chris_]

RCP Average 10/18-10/31: Ernst +1.8
Des Moines Register 10/28-10/31: Ernst +7
FOX News 10/28-10/30: Ernst +1
Rasmussen Reports 10/28-10/30: Ernst +1
CNN/Opinion Research 10/27-10/30: Ernst +2
YouGov 10/25-10/31: Braley +1
Reuters/Ipsos 10/23-10/29: Tie
Quinnipiac 10/22-10/27: Ernst +4
Loras College 10/21-10/24: Braley +1
NBC News/Marist 10/18-10/22: Ernst +3

Real Clear Politics

Uh oh.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Real Clear Politics

Uh oh.

I'm cautiously optimistic.  Won't go further than that until after 9 pm on Tuesday.

[Chris_]

I'm cautiously optimistic.  Won't go further than that until after 9 pm on Tuesday.

Yeah, I've been in a holding pattern during this election.  I'm not getting excited about anything.

[thundley4]

I'm cautiously optimistic.  Won't go further than that until after 9 pm on Tuesday.

Yeah, I've been in a holding pattern during this election.  I'm not getting excited about anything.

Not to be a wet blanket or anything, but even if the Republicans take the senate and hold the house,it still means we have McConnell and Boehner as leaders.  Yes they are better than Reid and Pelosi, but they are both a far cry from being even moderately conservative.

[Chris_]

Not to be a wet blanket or anything, but even if the Republicans take the senate and hold the house,it still means we have McConnell and Boehner as leaders.  Yes they are better than Reid and Pelosi, but they are both a far cry from being even moderately conservative.

Exactly.  Winning may be no better than losing, especially with Obama and the other two stooges running things.

[BattleHymn]

Not to be a wet blanket or anything, but even if the Republicans take the senate and hold the house,it still means we have McConnell and Boehner as leaders.  Yes they are better than Reid and Pelosi, but they are both a far cry from being even moderately conservative.

At the worst, we retain the House, and have another couple of years of gridlock.

At the best, we gain the Senate, and have another couple of years of gridlock.

The icing on the shit cake for us here is to watch the meltdown of the primitives, if the better scenario plays out. 

[Chris_]

I moved to a new state congressional district.  At least I get to look forward to having Darren Jernigan go home on Tuesday.

I voted against Old Baldy again, but I don't think Bob Ries has a chance.

[thundley4]

At the worst, we retain the House, and have another couple of years of gridlock.

At the best, we gain the Senate, and have another couple of years of gridlock.

The icing on the shit cake for us here is to watch the meltdown of the primitives, if the better scenario plays out.

With any luck a wave of republicans being elected will bring a wave of DUmmie breakdowns.

[tanstaafl]

Not to be a wet blanket or anything, but even if the Republicans take the senate and hold the house,it still means we have McConnell and Boehner as leaders.  Yes they are better than Reid and Pelosi, but they are both a far cry from being even moderately conservative.

Yeah. I'm with you, Thundley.

What gets me is that if the Repubs take the Senate and McConnell is elected Leader. it won't matter what the do or what they say, the MSM will barbecue them regardless.

Might as well govern as real conservatives.

[98ZJUSMC]

At the worst, we retain the House, and have another couple of years of gridlock.

At the best, we gain the Senate, and have another couple of years of gridlock.

I really want the Senate to have some control over SC nominees.  Ruth Buzzi could kick any time and I'm certain that if the (D)Marxists maintain control, she'll retire, turn into a bat and die.

The icing on the shit cake for us here is to watch the meltdown of the primitives, if the better scenario plays out.

Makes life worth living.

[miskie]

hrmjustin seems to have reading comprehension issues.

The 'New' poll he refers to was taken between 10/25-10/27, whereas the "old' Des Moines Register poll was taken between 10/28-10/31.

[JohnnyReb]

I hope all those bricks have very sharp corners.

[Ralph Wiggum]

hrmjustin seems to have reading comprehension issues.

The 'New' poll he refers to was taken between 10/25-10/27, whereas the "old' Des Moines Register poll was taken between 10/28-10/31.

Figures.  The DUmmies and libs are grasping at anything they can in desperation.

[DumbAss Tanker]

Jeeze, is there a new Whambulance company in business at CC?

 

[Dori]

Yeah, I've been in a holding pattern during this election.  I'm not getting excited about anything.

I'm with you on this.  Seen too many of these elections go sideways.  And like others are saying, even if we get both houses, I don't see much happening. Boehner on McConnell could sell us out too.

[landofconfusion80]

I'm with you on this.  Seen too many of these elections go sideways.  And like others are saying, even if we get both houses, I don't see much happening. Boehner on McConnell could sell us out too.

if Mitch is that wobbly, he hasn't earned my vote.

[Dori]

if Mitch is that wobbly, he hasn't earned my vote.

Something seems to happen to these guys after years of being caught up in the Washington bubble. 

[obumazombie]

The first order of business if the GOP wins the senate and keeps the house is to put a bill one owebuma's desk repealing owebumacare.

[freedumb2003b]

At the worst, we retain the House, and have another couple of years of gridlock.

At the best, we gain the Senate, and have another couple of years of gridlock.

The icing on the shit cake for us here is to watch the meltdown of the primitives, if the better scenario plays out.

Gridlock is the BEST of all possible situations to find the Congress.

[BattleHymn]

Gridlock is the BEST of all possible situations to find the Congress.

 

[landofconfusion80]

Something seems to happen to these guys after years of being caught up in the Washington bubble.

Mitch has been soaking in it for 30 years. Career Politician or career politician or a cop....hmmm.... the choices shouldn't be this stark.

[obumazombie]

Gridlock is the BEST of all possible situations to find the Congress.

There are a minimum of 20,000 laws on the federal books. The best possible situation would be to winnow that number down to size.

[DefiantSix]

There are a minimum of 20,000 laws on the federal books. The best possible situation would be to winnow that number down to size.

"I say we take off and nuke the site from orbit. It's the only way to be sure."