I agree with Rove except for: MI, PA, WI, NV, and OR. My model had WA going for Romney as well. 344/194.
I'm actually slightly more pessimistic than Rove - My map has NH staying Dem, and one EV from Maine going for Romney. However, a Romney win, is still a Romney win.
BTW, I hope I am wrong - a north of 300 Romney landslide will be unassailable by the left, whereas a narrow EC victory will end up in court.