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Offline Texacon

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Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« on: October 17, 2012, 01:50:39 PM »
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021566610

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limousineliberal (14 posts)


Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
Gallup has Romney "winning" +6 (pre-debate) and here is a simple chart released by them that shows why he's "winning" nationally in their poll:



The dunces of West Virginia, Mississippi and Louisiana can come out in droves to vote Romney but that's now how we do elections in the US of A.



Who runs Gallup these days? What a bunch of idiots.

You know, I think we should grab all these posts and stick them in one thread.  When the election is over and they are all crying FOUL!  We'll have a stockpile of these threads they laughed at.

Here's another;

Quote
Oh, No! 77% likelihood Romney wins popluar vote ...

Jackpine Radical (34,309 posts)

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Oh, No! "77% likelihood Romney wins popular vote, according to famous U of Colorado study"
From MFW's latest delusional email

The University of Colorado (CU) prediction renowned for perfect accuracy will predict a popular-vote win for Mitt Romney later this month, Campus Reform has learned.

The poll has accurately predicted every presidential election since it was developed in 1980. It is unique in that it employs factors outside of state economic indicators to predict the next president.

CU Political Science Professor Dr. Michael Berry, who spoke with Campus Reform at length on Tuesday, said there is at least 77 percent chance that Romney will win the popular vote.

Professor Michael Berry from the University of Colorado told Campus Reform in an exclusive interview that there is a 77 percent chance Romney will win the popular vote.
“Our model indicates that Governor Romney has a 77 percent likelihood of winning the popular vote,” said Berry.


http://www.campusreform.org/blog/?ID=4435

Have a look at the source page & the other articles on this site. (Snork.)

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http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021566141]

gattaca82 (21 posts)

Okay, gallup as officially lost its ****ing mind.. Romnliar 51 - obama 45

this company is turning into a joke.. even rassmussen has it a 1 point race.. including obama up in nevada.. 6 point lead for romney? what in tennesse? who the **** is running gallup now? i know the company was sold but i didnt realise its turning into shit. make no mistake gallup has it out for obama for some reason. obama is down even 2 points in the registere voters as well.. EVERY POLL iv seen shows obama up 5-8 points with registered voters..

Could be the problem is they're using registered voters vs those who will most likely vote?  I don't know, call me stupid but does it really matter WHO someone who is not going to vote prefers?

There are going to be LOTS of these threads where the DUmmies don't like the polling data or what someone predicts and they're going to pooh pooh (sp?) it.  If we have these things marked in one thread for easy access we can show it to them when they complain of a stolen election.  Just a thought.

KC

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Offline J P Sousa

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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2012, 01:57:36 PM »
Funny how the big blue states with so many FREEloaders are in New York, New Jersey etc (EAST) and Illinois (MID-West), California, Oregon, Washington (WEST).

As my sig says; "The problems we face today exist because the people who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote (democrat) for a living." (Author unknown)
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Offline txradioguy

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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2012, 02:00:41 PM »
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Jackpine Radical (34,309 posts)

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Oh, No! "77% likelihood Romney wins popular vote, according to famous U of Colorado study"
From MFW's latest delusional email

And yet if that study was a 77% likelihood Obama would win the word delusional would show up nowhere in what you would be saying.
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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2012, 03:02:44 PM »
356/182 55/44 R2!
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Offline DumbAss Tanker

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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2012, 03:14:03 PM »
Quote from: J P Sousa on October 17, 2012, 01:57:36 PM
Funny how the big blue states with so many FREEloaders are in New York, New Jersey etc (EAST) and Illinois (MID-West), California, Oregon, Washington (WEST).

As my sig says; "The problems we face today exist because the people who work for a living are outnumbered by those who vote (democrat) for a living." (Author unknown)


Yes.  The idiot that posted this fails to realize that the next order of breakdown shows it is the Dems who have the problem, because the support for Obama is highly concentrated in a few particular states within each of the three regions where he is supposedly up.
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Offline 98ZJUSMC

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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2012, 03:18:32 PM »
Okay.

Rassmussen - Stupid.

Gallup - Stupid.

Next?
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Offline AllosaursRus

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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2012, 09:37:27 PM »
Quote from: txradioguy on October 17, 2012, 02:00:41 PM
And yet if that study was a 77% likelihood Obama would win the word delusional would show up nowhere in what you would be saying.

Oh hell, they'd be sayin' it's a slam dunk!

Quote from: 98ZJUSMC on October 17, 2012, 03:18:32 PM
Okay.

Rassmussen - Stupid.

Gallup - Stupid.

Next?

Gallop will get more acurate the closer we get to the election so they don't lose their reputation. They had the Bummer way up until last week. Now all of a sudden they are startin' to sample the voters closer to what the the party numbers will be.

They've been over sampling by at least 9 points and as much as 12, because of the difference last election. The worm has turned! We hold the momentum now and they know it!

We're goin' to smoke these leeches!
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Offline franksolich

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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2012, 12:59:56 AM »
Well, I'm sure that Baghdad Bob, the Prosense primitive, tomorrow will find a poll showing Barack Milhous leading Mitt Romney 68%-29% in Idaho.

Again, I'm not sure where she'll find one, but she'll probably find one.
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Offline GOBUCKS

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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2012, 02:17:29 PM »
With Romney's poll numbers improving, why has everyone here stopped whining about oversampling?
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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2012, 02:36:47 PM »
Quote from: GOBUCKS on October 18, 2012, 02:17:29 PM
With Romney's poll numbers improving, why has everyone here stopped whining about oversampling?



Because evidence of the above is too hard for the LSM to ignore.
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Offline Texacon

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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2012, 02:39:24 PM »
Quote from: GOBUCKS on October 18, 2012, 02:17:29 PM
With Romney's poll numbers improving, why has everyone here stopped whining about oversampling?

Not everyone was whining.  I didn't care.  Even with the oversampling Romney was close and now their having to tighten their numbers up.  I'm good with it.

KC
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Offline DefiantSix

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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #11 on: October 18, 2012, 04:49:23 PM »
Quote from: Texacon on October 18, 2012, 02:39:24 PM
Not everyone was whining.  I didn't care.  Even with the oversampling Romney was close and now their having to tighten their numbers up.  I'm good with it.

KC

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Offline DumbAss Tanker

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Re: Gallup's stupidity explained in a simple chart.
« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2012, 06:46:47 PM »
Quote from: Texacon on October 18, 2012, 02:39:24 PM
Not everyone was whining.  I didn't care.  Even with the oversampling Romney was close and now their having to tighten their numbers up.  I'm good with it.

KC

Same here.  I invested no trust in the polls in the first place.
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