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Author Topic: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)  (Read 3464 times)

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Offline pandric

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SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« on: September 11, 2012, 08:06:13 PM »
I do not believe this. George Soros must be the pollster. Link.
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Offline Mr Mannn

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Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2012, 08:50:25 PM »
All the polls this weekend have been skewed by deliberately over sampling democrat voters and under sampling Republicans and independents.

Yawn. seen it before. Carter and Dukakis were both way ahead by this point and lost in landslides. This is what the media does when their side is losing. Propaganda. Nothing more.
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Offline thundley4

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Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2012, 08:52:00 PM »
Quote from: Mr Mannn on September 11, 2012, 08:50:25 PM
All the polls this weekend have been skewed by deliberately over sampling democrat voters and under sampling Republicans and independents.

Yawn. seen it before. Carter and Dukakis were both way ahead by this point and lost in landslides. This is what the media does when their side is losing. Propaganda. Nothing more.

The oversampling seems to be done just to give Obama a post convention bounce.
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Offline BigTex

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Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2012, 09:16:09 PM »
yup +5 dem oversample so that really means Romney is up by 1% or so in this poll
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Offline DLR Pyro

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Re: Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2012, 09:34:46 PM »
Do they really think they can dampen conservative voter enthusiasm with these bogus polls?
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Offline Mr Mannn

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Re: Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2012, 09:47:47 PM »
Quote from: DLR Pyro on September 11, 2012, 09:34:46 PM
Do they really think they can dampen conservative voter enthusiasm with these bogus polls?
Yes. At least Pandric thinks so.
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Offline obumazombie

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Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2012, 12:11:45 AM »
False polls can backfire too. They can lull the party ahead into thinking that not all the party member's votes are even needed.
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Offline pandric

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Re: Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #7 on: September 12, 2012, 01:49:23 PM »
Quote from: Mr Mannn on September 11, 2012, 09:47:47 PM
Yes. At least Pandric thinks so.

I don't think conservative enthusiasm will be dampened. I actually believe that Obama's lead in the "very enthusiastic" column (as found by the WAPO/ABC poll) over Romney will decrease in the weeks to come, as Romney will crush Obama in the debates. http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/ready-to-bounce-obama-gets-a-lift-in-new-poll-the-note/
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Offline J P Sousa

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Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2012, 02:13:43 PM »
What polls do NOT tell you is who has the most motivated voters. 2010 anyone ?


.
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Offline docstew

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Re: Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #9 on: September 14, 2012, 12:04:01 PM »
Quote from: DLR Pyro on September 11, 2012, 09:34:46 PM
Do they really think they can dampen conservative voter enthusiasm with these bogus polls?

If anything, it'll fire up the conservatives, who will know that it'll take every vote possible to unseat O the usurper.

In order to dampen conservative enthusiasm, the polls would have to show O up by 25 points or more. But for that to happen, conditions on the street would have to corroborate the polls (i.e. full employment, deficit trimmed, national debt shrinking or at least not rising, Middle East not tearing itself apart, etc)
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Offline Splashdown

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Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #10 on: September 14, 2012, 12:46:54 PM »
lol.

36 percent repub.

41 percent dem.

23 percent independent.
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Offline Zeus

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Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #11 on: September 14, 2012, 12:50:19 PM »
A 4% lead,within the margin of error doesn't bode well for an incumbent. Especially in a so called battleground state.
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Offline docstew

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Re: SurveyUSA poll: Obama ahead in Florida by 4% (Sept. 7-9)
« Reply #12 on: September 14, 2012, 03:57:32 PM »
Quote from: Zeus on September 14, 2012, 12:50:19 PM
A 4% lead,within the margin of error doesn't bode well for an incumbent. Especially in a so called battleground state.

Especially when the incumbents party is oversampled by 5%
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