Results & Wrap Up : WV and NEB Primaries; Special Cong. Runoff Election in MS

[franksolich]

15% of Nebraska now in; Omaha's getting its act together.

Clinton 49%
Obama 48%
Gravel 3%

Cynthia McKinney with 9 votes apparently the winner of the Green Party presidential nomination.

[Wretched Excess]

36% of West Virginia now in.

Clinton 64%
Obama 29%
Edwards 7%

she is more than doubling his raw vote.

still not an obama lead in a single county.  some of the numbers are just eyebrow raising;  82-13 in mingo county.

[franksolich]

39% of West Virginia now in.

Clinton 64%
Obama 28%
Edwards 7%

[franksolich]

16% of Nebraska now in.

Clinton 49%
Obama 48%
Gravel 3%

[Wretched Excess]

finally found a Mississippi Congressional runoff update:

Democrat leading 1st District runoff

Democrat Travis Childers is leading Republican Greg Davis in the runoff for the District 1 congressional seat.

With 278 of 462 precints reporting, Childers had 53 percent of the vote. Davis had 47 percent.

The runoff was necessary after a special election last month produced no outright winner.

The winner will serve the final months of a term vacated by Roger Wicker. Wicker, a Republican, was appointed to the U.S. Senate after former Sen. Trent Lott resigned in December.

But Davis, 42, and Childers, 50, will face off again in the November general election. That race will determine who replaces Wicker in January for a full, two-year term.

link

[franksolich]

42% of West Virginia now in.

Clinton 65%
Obama 28%
Edwards 7%

[franksolich]

45% of West Virginia now in.

Clinton 65%
Obama 28%
Edwards 7%

[franksolich]

18% of Nebraska now in.

Clinton 49%
Obama 48%
Gravel 3%

Remember, Obama won the caucuses 68-32%.

This is surely significant.

[Wretched Excess]

a factoid on the mississippi runoff.  childers ran ahead in the early returns in the primary, as well.  from the april primary:

Childers was racking up votes in the eastern and rural parts of the district and held a slight lead nearly two hours after the polls closed. Davis was running strong in his own home base of DeSoto County, just south of Memphis, Tennessee.

With 64% of precincts reporting, Childers had 32,201 votes, or 51.4%, while Davis had 30,400, or 48.6%.

link

[franksolich]

47% of West Virginia now in.

Clinton 65%
Obama 28%
Edwards 7%

[franksolich]

22% of Nebraska now in.

Clinton 48%
Obama 48%
Gravel 3%

[Wretched Excess]

yikes.  here is the guy we are running for the open congresssional seat in mississippi


his dem opponent is the guy on the left with the sticker on his shirt.

I thought maybe it was a bad picture, but apparently that's just the way he looks.

Poor Greg Davis!!! He's a really nice guy and he's been a good mayor. My parents like him a lot. He took John Grisham's seat in the MS legislature when he decided to write full time.

that is pretty interesting.  the first is kind of a funny district, it is the entire northeast corner of the state.  your comment on the demographics perhaps being against davis made me want to go look up the exact boundaries.

Mississippi 1st Congressional Disitrict

everything from columbus to tupelo and the memphis burbs.  heck.  anything could happen.

[franksolich]

50% of West Virginia now in.

Clinton 65%
Obama 28%
Edwards 7%

[Wretched Excess]

mississippi first congressional district update:

With 80 percent of precincts reporting, Childers leads Davis 51 to 49 percent.

childers' lead is narrowing, just like in the primary

[franksolich]

23% of Nebraska now in.

Clinton 48%
Obama 48%
Gravel 3%

[franksolich]

24% of Nebraska now in.

We're just about done with Omaha.

Clinton 48%
Obama 48%
Gravel 3%

[franksolich]

54% of West Virginia now in.

Clinton 65%
Obama 28%
Edwards 7%

[franksolich]

25% of Nebraska now in.

Clinton 48%
Obama 48%
Gravel 3%

[Wretched Excess]

well, hell.  the AP has called the mississippi first congressional runoff for the dem.

AP: Childers wins 1st District for Democrats

Democrat Travis Childers has defeated Republican Greg Davis in the runoff for the District 1 congressional seat, The Associated Press has projected.

With 80 percent of precincts reporting, Childers leads Davis 51 to 49 percent.

The runoff was necessary after a special election last month produced no outright winner.

The winner will serve the final months of a term vacated by Roger Wicker. Wicker, a Republican, was appointed to the U.S. Senate after former Sen. Trent Lott resigned in December.

But Davis, 42, and Childers, 50, will face off again in the November general election. That race will determine who replaces Wicker in January for a full, two-year term.

link

[franksolich]

29% of Nebraska now in.

Clinton 48%
Obama 48%
Gravel 4%

Gravel up one percentage point.

[franksolich]

56% of West Virginia now in.

Clinton 65%
Obama 28%
Edwards 7%

[franksolich]

31% of Nebraska now in.

Clinton 48%
Obama 48%
Gravel 4%

[Wretched Excess]

29% of Nebraska now in.

Clinton 48%
Obama 48%
Gravel 4%

Gravel up one percentage point.

I think the results of our experiment are coming in.  caucuses are NOT reflective of the preferences of the electorate.  I understand that the intervening 3 months have had a huge effect, but I would argue that the caucus result was tainted to begin with.

[franksolich]

29% of Nebraska now in.

Clinton 48%
Obama 48%
Gravel 4%

Gravel up one percentage point.

I think the results of our experiment are coming in.  caucuses are NOT reflective of the preferences of the electorate.  I understand that the intervening 3 months have had a huge effect, but I would argue that the caucus result was tainted to begin with.

You're right.

At least in the case of Clinton in Nebraska, if Clinton gets anything more than 32% of the popular vote, it means the caucuses are NOT reflective of popular opinion.

It also means there's a lot of Nebraska Democrats voting for McCain in November, if Obama's the Democrat nominee.

At least that seems the situation here; I don't know about other places.

[franksolich]

58% of West Virginia now in.

Clinton 65%
Obama 27%
Edwards 7%