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Author Topic: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?  (Read 3974 times)

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Offline Doc

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Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« on: September 22, 2010, 01:53:47 PM »
Quote
The Sean Bielat campaign has declared themselves within reach of unseating Barney Frank in Massachusetts’ 4th CD, one of the presumed safest districts for Democrats in the nation.  The poll, conducted for the campaign by OnMessage, shows Frank falling below the 50% mark despite the D+14 composition of his constituency.  Bielat comes within nine points, even though the poll shows that he still badly trails in name recognition.

The memo from the pollster explains that Bielat could shock the world on November 2nd:

    The ballot is very encouraging and shows Bielat at 38%, Frank at 48% and 13% undecided. ...
http://hotair.com/archive.../comment-page-1/#comments

Frank is still ahead by 10 but it might be a surprise win yet.
« Last Edit: September 22, 2010, 03:27:23 PM by TVDOC »
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Offline Wineslob

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2010, 01:58:49 PM »
One can only hope.
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Offline JohnnyReb

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2010, 02:01:49 PM »
Barney Frank...poll or pole...he's trying to decide which he likes best.
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Offline true_blood

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2010, 02:03:47 PM »
Quote from: JohnnyReb on September 22, 2010, 02:01:49 PM
Barney Frank...poll or pole...he's trying to decide which he likes best.
HA HA!! :hi5:
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Offline Chris_

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2010, 02:03:58 PM »
38%/48%/13% is a whole lot closer than previous races.

2002: Barney Frank  98.99 / Write-in  1.01
2004: Barney Frank  77.74 / Chuck Morse  22.09
2006: Barney Frank  98.48 / Write-in  1.52    
2008: Barney Frank  64.3 / Earl Henry Sholley  23.9

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Massachusetts%27s_4th_congressional_district#Election_results
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Offline Ralph Wiggum

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #5 on: September 22, 2010, 02:28:55 PM »
Quote from: chris_ on September 22, 2010, 02:03:58 PM
38%/48%/13% is a whole lot closer than previous races.

2002: Barney Frank  98.99 / Write-in  1.01
2004: Barney Frank  77.74 / Chuck Morse  22.09
2006: Barney Frank  98.48 / Write-in  1.52    
2008: Barney Frank  64.3 / Earl Henry Sholley  23.9

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Massachusetts%27s_4th_congressional_district#Election_results

Remember Tom Foley?

1988 Tom Foley* D 56249 53791 110040 160654 76.4%
Marlyn Derby R 14438 17772 32210 49657 23.6%

1990 Tom Foley* D 38553 37121 75674 110234 68.8%
Marlyn Derby R 15082 18363 33445 49965 31.2%

1992 Tom Foley* D 49675 45919 95594 135965 55.2%
John Sonneland R 32508 40108 72616 110443 44.8%

1994 Tom Foley D 39331 35323 74654 106074 49.1%
George Nethercutt* R 30265 41065 71330 110057 50.9%

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Foley
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Offline DumbAss Tanker

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #6 on: September 22, 2010, 02:29:14 PM »
Ruh-roh!
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Offline cavegal

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2010, 02:35:35 PM »
 :evillaugh: Wouldn't that be wonderful!
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Offline TVDOC

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2010, 02:38:13 PM »
Its probably safe to say that the Tsunami has just crested the horizon, and is now in full view.......

Imagine the angst that the DNC is actually going to have to divert resources to defend these seats that were always taken for granted as "safe"......

doc
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Offline DefiantSix

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #9 on: September 22, 2010, 02:43:21 PM »
Quote from: TVDOC on September 22, 2010, 02:38:13 PM
Its probably safe to say that the Tsunami has just crested the horizon, and is now in full view.......

Imagine the angst that the DNC is actually going to have to divert resources to defend these seats that were always taken for granted as "safe"......

doc

I'm waiting for the DNC to take out an AdBot ad on the 'Island begging for donations.  Knowing their innate ability to find excrement to step in, it ought to come out about the same time as Skimmer's normal Grovel-a-thon, leaving the DUmbshits completely at a loss as to whom to send their pot money to.
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Offline catsmtrods

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #10 on: September 22, 2010, 03:01:51 PM »
Ah, Barney a true teabagger!
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Offline Ralph Wiggum

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #11 on: September 22, 2010, 03:07:16 PM »
Hey Bijou, can you fix the link?  Pretty please?  :bow:

I was just reading the DUmmy denial:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x9182037
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Offline miskie

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #12 on: September 22, 2010, 03:20:46 PM »
I will be helping to vote out Fwank. I voted Bielat in the primary,and will vote for him again. Realistically though - this is still BF's (Boyfriend's ? LOL ) race to lose. Coakley managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, so hopefully Frankenbarney will follow suit.
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Offline bijou

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #13 on: September 22, 2010, 03:23:10 PM »
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Offline DefiantSix

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #14 on: September 22, 2010, 03:24:35 PM »
Quote from: miskie on September 22, 2010, 03:20:46 PM
I will be helping to vote out Fwank. I voted Bielat in the primary,and will vote for him again. Realistically though - this is still BF's (Boyfriend's ? LOL ) race to lose. Coakley managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, so hopefully Frankenbarney will follow suit.

Just remember to tell all your liberal neighbors to get out and vote for Bwahney - on Nov. 3rd!   :fuelfire:
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Offline TVDOC

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #15 on: September 22, 2010, 03:28:39 PM »
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Offline JohnnyReb

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #16 on: September 22, 2010, 03:30:57 PM »
Quote from: DefiantSix on September 22, 2010, 03:24:35 PM
Just remember to tell all your liberal neighbors to get out and vote for Bwahney - on Nov. 3rd!   :fuelfire:

Yeah, Wedesday November 3, the same day of the week gummint checks arrive.
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"America is like a healthy body and its resistance is threefold: its patriotism, its morality, and its spiritual life. If we can undermine these three areas, America will collapse from within."  Stalin

Offline Ralph Wiggum

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #17 on: September 22, 2010, 03:32:30 PM »
Quote from: TVDOC on September 22, 2010, 03:28:39 PM
Fxt in the OP.....

doc

Thanks DOC & Bijou!
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Offline bijou

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #18 on: September 22, 2010, 03:42:05 PM »
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Offline true_blood

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #19 on: September 22, 2010, 08:07:48 PM »
Bwaney Fwank has got to go.
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Offline Tess Anderson

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #20 on: September 23, 2010, 02:37:02 PM »
This is the banking queen's fiftheenth term? After all his fraud and corruption? This poll could be valid from the looks of it, he needs to go for what he did to this country. Term limits?
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Offline miskie

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #21 on: September 23, 2010, 06:50:23 PM »
The problem is how deeply gerrymandered his district is... I live here, so I know.

The northern part is Newton, Wellesly & Brookline - which is nothing but wealthy liberals. It travels south, taking the narrowest path possible through the I-495 corridor, which tends to be conservative - to end in New Bedford, Fall River and surrounding communities which is all fishing, factory workers, with heavy immigrant populations, who vote Dem because the area newspapers tell them to. Frank also represents Dartmouth, which is home to UMass Darthmouth - a major college. Frank also covers a few small towns in this area which trend conservative, such as Fairhaven and Westport, as well as a few sleepy townships, but the population count is meaningless compared to Fall River and New Bedford, and the imported college kids.

In short, beating Frank is a daunting task, and was intentionally designed to be so. The best we can hope for is depressed turnout, maybe assisted by a nice bigass Noreaster. I'm hoping the VWRC considers unleashing the weather machine to nuke Frank's campaign - I filled out the appropriate forms, but you know how it is, especially around electioneering season...  
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Offline Doc

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Re: Poll surprise of the day: Barney Frank in trouble?
« Reply #22 on: September 23, 2010, 07:14:28 PM »
Quote from: miskie on September 23, 2010, 06:50:23 PM
The problem is how deeply gerrymandered his district is... I live here, so I know.

The northern part is Newton, Wellesly & Brookline - which is nothing but wealthy liberals. It travels south, taking the narrowest path possible through the I-495 corridor, which tends to be conservative - to end in New Bedford, Fall River and surrounding communities which is all fishing, factory workers, with heavy immigrant populations, who vote Dem because the area newspapers tell them to. Frank also represents Dartmouth, which is home to UMass Darthmouth - a major college. Frank also covers a few small towns in this area which trend conservative, such as Fairhaven and Westport, as well as a few sleepy townships, but the population count is meaningless compared to Fall River and New Bedford, and the imported college kids.

In short, beating Frank is a daunting task, and was intentionally designed to be so. The best we can hope for is depressed turnout, maybe assisted by a nice bigass Noreaster. I'm hoping the VWRC considers unleashing the weather machine to nuke Frank's campaign - I filled out the appropriate forms, but you know how it is, especially around electioneering season...  
[/quot
Trust me Bawney will come from behind to pull it out (or stick it in as the case might be).  Beating Frank may be a daunting task but certainly one that needs to be done but kinky as he is he might enjoy it.

Ah well, here in NE we all have our crosses to bear.  I for one am hoping to see Che-Porter and Hodes go away in this cycle but you never know we too have been infiltrated.
« Last Edit: September 23, 2010, 08:21:36 PM by TVDOC »
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