Fumesucker
However, the Fed and other policymaking agencies cannot honestly claim that no one saw it coming. There is ample evidence that:
• Economist and commentators “saw it comingâ€; and
• Economists and others repeatedly brought their observations to the attention of the authorities including the Fed, but were ignored.
That's evidence?? Doesn't work that way in the real world.
I can honestly say that as a mortage lender, I noted that Fannie and Freddie were buying 100% LTV Stated Income and No Income Verification Loans, and I thought at the time that they were playing with fire because those are very high risk loans. But there's no way in the world that I could ever honestly say that I saw coming what has happened.
Some economists didn't see any potential downside to what was going on, others saw the end of the world, then there were 10,000 various scenerios played out inbetween those two extremes. Regardless of what the future held, at least one of those 10,000 forecasts was going to be closer to what really happened than the others. That doesn't mean they saw it coming. If that's the case, let's get those same economists and have them predict what it will be like 2 to 5 years from now and then we'll see just how accurate they are. I mean, they either have the magic touch or they don't.
How about it, Pedro? Predict the economic scenerio for April 9, 2012 and April 9, 2015 and we'll just just how close reality is to what "you saw coming." I dare you to even try.
Poor Pedro.
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