My yardstick is deposit bottles.They dissapear from the underbrush when recessions are in bloom. Mild recession, Coke and Pepsi and "Bud" vanish, worse, all vanish, even dR. pEPPER. Good times, they are everywhere.
They are all gone, not even any flat "road kill" cans anywhere. When they start showing up, and accumulate to, say, 20+ in one area before being collected, we've got recession. And so we do. And will until Barry stops SPENDING AND SPENDING AND SPENDING........