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Offline BlueStateSaint

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NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« on: April 01, 2009, 04:04:29 AM »
I didn't expect it to be this close.  Truth be told, I expected Murphy to win it by three or four percentage points.


NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead

By VALERIE BAUMAN – 5 hours ago

ALBANY, N.Y. (AP) — The two candidates in a New York congressional race that focused on President Barack Obama's economic policies were separated by only 65 votes with all the precincts in and more than 150,000 votes counted Tuesday.

The race between Republican Jim Tedisco and Democrat Scott Murphy will come down to the roughly 10,000 absentee ballots issued by the state Board of Elections. Those ballots generally are cast by people who expect to be absent or unable to vote at the polls and usually are mailed in. They aren't required to be returned until April 13.

Murphy held the slim lead over Tedisco in the race to replace Kirsten Gillibrand, who was appointed to the U.S. Senate to succeed Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton.

The special election drew an unusual level of national attention, and both candidates had financial support from their national parties and political action committees — mostly spent on increasingly negative television ads, which bothered supporters of both candidates.

"I'm tired of candidates telling us what's bad about the other person instead of what's good about them," said Ralph Liporace, a 53-year-old independent who voted for Murphy at the Brunswick Volunteer Fire Department.


Absentees generally break Republican.  However, since the NYSBOE said something last week about making sure that everyone who got an absentee ballot can, in fact, have their vote counted, it could be two to three weeks before this is settled.  Also, expect absentee ballots to be heavily challenged by whichever side doesn't get that particular vote.  This could go on . . . for as long as Norm Coleman's race is going on--and that's still unresolved.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jvFtnxqBwuwEltwfNBZytBYwy5HQD979DO8G1

If Tedisco pulls this out, I'll be very happy.

ETA: What a circus that we're going to have in Albany!  And my wife, my mother-in-law, and I work right in the middle of it. :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :thatsright:  It'll be worse for my wife and MIL, though.
« Last Edit: April 01, 2009, 04:10:37 AM by BlueStateSaint »
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Offline Carl

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #1 on: April 01, 2009, 04:29:17 AM »
Fingers crossed.
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Offline BlueStateSaint

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #2 on: April 01, 2009, 04:34:44 AM »
Quote from: Carl on April 01, 2009, 04:29:17 AM
Fingers crossed.

Toes, too.  Maybe eyes in the future.
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"Timid men prefer the calm of despotism to the tempestuous sea of Liberty." - Thomas Jefferson

"All you have to do is look straight and see the road, and when you see it, don't sit looking at it - walk!" -Ayn Rand
 
"Those that trust God with their safety must yet use proper means for their safety, otherwise they tempt Him, and do not trust Him.  God will provide, but so must we also." - Matthew Henry, Commentary on 2 Chronicles 32, from Matthew Henry's Commentary on the Whole Bible

"These anti-gun fools are more dangerous to liberty than street criminals or foreign spies."--Theodore Haas, Dachau Survivor

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Offline Happy Fun Ball

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #3 on: April 01, 2009, 06:11:55 AM »
That rumbling sound I heard Sunday night was the sound of thousands of lawyers and ACORN kooks rushing to Albany...
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Offline Lord Undies

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #4 on: April 01, 2009, 07:45:15 AM »
Either way, this is a slap in the face of our White House Wannabe.  This needed to be a democrat wipeout.
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Offline Karin

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #5 on: April 01, 2009, 08:13:31 AM »
Wish it'd been a landslide.  WaPo reports that the majority (though not overwhelming) of absentee ballots are military.

Please, God, don't let this be like Minnesota. 
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Offline Carl

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #6 on: April 01, 2009, 08:26:16 AM »
Tedisco ran a crappy campaign imo.
The last two weeks he tried to use the AIG bounus thing against Murphy and quite frankly the people that would vote for Tedisco don`t play that envy game.

Used to be a solid conservative district but NY has financially angered so many of the old time residents that they have fled the state.
I intend to follow soon..I hope anyways.

Downstate and New England libs have fled the cesspools they built and landed here causing a shift in voter patterns.
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Offline Tess Anderson

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #7 on: April 01, 2009, 10:20:44 AM »
Oh, this is your district, Carl? Well, I agree that Tedesco was too late out of the starting gate on the bailouts, and I don't think Steele put enough money into money into this race - still, Gillibrand won with 62% of the vote just six months ago and this election was ACORNed. It went 70/30 for Barack Hussein Obama last fall.
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Offline The Village Idiot

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #8 on: April 01, 2009, 10:28:55 AM »
ACORNed
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Offline Carl

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #9 on: April 01, 2009, 10:32:59 AM »
Quote from: Tess Anderson on April 01, 2009, 10:20:44 AM
Oh, this is your district, Carl? Well, I agree that Tedesco was too late out of the starting gate on the bailouts, and I don't think Steele put enough money into money into this race - still, Gillibrand won with 62% of the vote just six months ago and this election was ACORNed. It went 70/30 for Barack Hussein Obama last fall.

Yep it is mine and Saints.

I long for the days of Gerald Solomon as our Rep but afraid that will never be again.
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Offline Bluesuiter-Retired

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #10 on: April 01, 2009, 11:35:58 AM »
Anyone wanna wager that the dem will attempt to have the military absentee ballots discarded?

That has been the defeat-o-crat MO going back to the 2000 presidential election when al-gore managed to get over 5,000 military absentee ballots discarded.  John Kerry pulled the same krap in 2004.

The dems sure know how to show their "support for the troops".
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Offline TheSarge

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #11 on: April 01, 2009, 01:03:03 PM »
Quote from: Karin on April 01, 2009, 08:13:31 AM
Wish it'd been a landslide.  WaPo reports that the majority (though not overwhelming) of absentee ballots are military.

Please, God, don't let this be like Minnesota. 

Seems that the National GOP has latched onto this and have been putting out the word via (I think) ads up there saying don't let the Dems Franken this election.

The lead is now down to 59 votes according to FNC and there are still half of those 10K absentee ballots yet to be counted.

Goold ol Campaign Carl said that the NY GOP folks are confident that those votes will swing their way enough to give them a victory.
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Offline Carl

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #12 on: April 01, 2009, 02:24:57 PM »
Quote from: TxRadioguy on April 01, 2009, 01:03:03 PM
Seems that the National GOP has latched onto this and have been putting out the word via (I think) ads up there saying don't let the Dems Franken this election.

The lead is now down to 59 votes according to FNC and there are still half of those 10K absentee ballots yet to be counted.

Goold ol Campaign Carl said that the NY GOP folks are confident that those votes will swing their way enough to give them a victory.


According to the local radio..81 WGY it is now down to 20 some votes seperating the two besides the absentee ballots.
Funny thing was last night as I went to vote I was thinking about "what if I didn`t bother and it came down to a few votes".
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Offline happy1ga

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #13 on: April 01, 2009, 03:09:27 PM »
Wow, I think I just learned to new words that are going to be in our lexicon for a while. "ACORNed" and "Franken." It must be like  how people now say a "Lewinski" for a hummer. I can assume all gaffes will be called "Bidens?" Or just "Liberals?" I  also noticed today I have been saying Obama Motors and ObamaCare, now, as regular words. I want Reagan and "Star Wars" back.
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Offline BlueStateSaint

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #14 on: April 01, 2009, 04:03:15 PM »
A co-worker of my wife (those of you who know where she works will understand) heard that the margin is down to 25 votes.

Tx, the civilian absentee ballots don't have to be in unitl April 6th.  The military absentee ballots don't have to be in until April 13th.  So, they're not all in yet.

As I said in the OP, I thought that Murphy was going to win by 3-4 percentage points.  The local Time-Warner news station had Murphy by seven points.  But, something happened yesterday morning that may have altered the balance--an agreement was reached on the NYS budget.  It was an agreement by Sheldon Silver, the Speaker of the NYS Assembly; Malcom Smith, the Majority Leader of the NYS Senate; and Governor David Paterson.  All three are Democrats.  The budget ups NYS spending by over 10%.  Yes, even in these spotty economic times.  My office moonbat said this morning, "That gave the election to Tedisco right there."  Yes, he wanted Murphy to win. 

The "three idiots in a room" approach to the NYS Budget, something that Governor Paterson said would not happen, scared off those "crossover Republicans," according to the office 'bat.  (Two of the other office conservatives agreed.)  And Tedisco reaps the benefits. :cheersmate:

I actually think that the lawyers will draw this one out until the fall.
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"Timid men prefer the calm of despotism to the tempestuous sea of Liberty." - Thomas Jefferson

"All you have to do is look straight and see the road, and when you see it, don't sit looking at it - walk!" -Ayn Rand
 
"Those that trust God with their safety must yet use proper means for their safety, otherwise they tempt Him, and do not trust Him.  God will provide, but so must we also." - Matthew Henry, Commentary on 2 Chronicles 32, from Matthew Henry's Commentary on the Whole Bible

"These anti-gun fools are more dangerous to liberty than street criminals or foreign spies."--Theodore Haas, Dachau Survivor

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Offline Tess Anderson

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #15 on: April 02, 2009, 05:01:44 PM »
http://www.politickerny.com/2903/tedisco-now-leading-12

Of course, that will probably be obsolete information by the time this is posted. Just hope there's no Democrat operatives in a back room somewhere "finding" votes.



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Offline NHSparky

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #16 on: April 02, 2009, 05:25:29 PM »
That would be too much to hope for, particularly in this day and age of ACORN, et al, fraud.
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Offline BlueStateSaint

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Re: NY House race too close to call, 65-vote Dem lead
« Reply #17 on: April 02, 2009, 05:28:16 PM »
Quote from: Tess Anderson on April 02, 2009, 05:01:44 PM
http://www.politickerny.com/2903/tedisco-now-leading-12

Of course, that will probably be obsolete information by the time this is posted. Just hope there's no Democrat operatives in a back room somewhere "finding" votes.





This is good, though the influx of NYCers who came north into Columbia County might tilt things back to Murphy . . . before the absentee ballots are counted.

We just might have pulled this one off.

It's a tad tougher to pull off voter fraud in NY, where there's actually an ID check to vote.
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"Timid men prefer the calm of despotism to the tempestuous sea of Liberty." - Thomas Jefferson

"All you have to do is look straight and see the road, and when you see it, don't sit looking at it - walk!" -Ayn Rand
 
"Those that trust God with their safety must yet use proper means for their safety, otherwise they tempt Him, and do not trust Him.  God will provide, but so must we also." - Matthew Henry, Commentary on 2 Chronicles 32, from Matthew Henry's Commentary on the Whole Bible

"These anti-gun fools are more dangerous to liberty than street criminals or foreign spies."--Theodore Haas, Dachau Survivor

Chase her.
Chase her even when she's yours.
That's the only way you'll be assured to never lose her.
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