IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Ten (Investors Business Daily)

[thundley4]

Contrary to other polls, some of which show Obama ahead by double digits, the IBD/TIPP Poll shows a sudden tightening of Obama's lead to 3.7 from 6.0. McCain has picked up 3 points in the West and with independents, married women and those with some college. He's also gaining momentum in the suburbs, where he's gone from dead even a week ago to a 20-point lead. Obama padded gains in urban areas and with lower-class households, but he slipped 4 points with parents.

View Results From Prior Days

About IBD/TIPP: An analysis of Final Certified Results for the 2004 election showed IBD's polling partner, TIPP, was the most accurate pollster of the campaign season. Learn more at www.TIPPonline.com.

The big surprise here is those in the 18-24 age bracket.  Aren't they a sure lock for That One?

[franksolich]

The big surprise here is those in the 18-24 age bracket.  Aren't they a sure lock for That One?

That actually might be right on the money there, with the 18-24 years bracket.

Okay, now around here, it's a sure lock for McCain among all voters, of all ages and sexes and races and socio-economic statuses.

But there used to be "soft support" indicating some enthusiasm for the Big Zero, from last spring until a couple of weeks ago, among high school and college kids.

Not enough to make a difference here, but noticeable.

It's seemed to wane away into nothingness since circa the second presidential debate (although I suspect the debate had nothing to do with it, that it's probably a coincidence in timing).