A shift in the wind,It's not over. In fact, McCain is probably going to win.In 'Believe me, there is someone in the Obama campaign who is deathly afraid of the 'McCain pulls even or goes ahead' poll,' Jim Geraghty quotes from his insider friend who goes only by "Obi Wan Kenobi."
"Believe me, there is someone in the Obama campaign who is deathly afraid of the 'McCain pulls even or goes ahead' poll." (And in Gallup, it was within 2 percent.) "That Obama strategist knows how much depends on the whole Chuck Schumer and Rahm Emanuel approach —work with the media to demoralize conservatives, and keep the perception of a juggernaut going. But a day or two of a few bad polls, and that strategy backfires. The conservatives know they've still got a shot at this."
Thomas Sowell has more in Polls and Pols:Still, it may take more than voter fraud and media spin to put Senator Obama in the White House. Most public opinion polls show Obama ahead, but not usually by decisive margins, and sometimes by a difference within the margin of error.
There has been a history of various polls over the years projecting bigger votes for the Democrats' presidential candidate in October than that candidate actually gets in November.
Some of these polls seem like they are not trying to report facts but to create an impression. One poll has been reported as using a sample consisting of 280 Republicans and 420 Democrats. No wonder Obama leads in a poll like that.
Pollsters have to protect their reputations but they can do that by playing it straight on their last poll before election day, after having created an impression earlier that a landslide for the Democratic candidate was all but a done deal.
The most important part in all of this is that the media and the left need you to be demoralized. They need you to think it's hopeless . . . not only so that they get the presidency, but so that they get a filibuster-proof Senate as well.
One thing is clear from the polls, however. A Democrat should be crushing McCain. Everything screams that this is a Democrat year. And any viable Democrat other than an un-tested, barely vetted radical leftist WOULD be way ahead.
And yet McCain is just a little behind.What's more, the polls are moving back in his direction at exactly the right time. If you need the momentum swinging back your way, you want it to happen at exactly this moment—two weeks out. And that's precisely what has happened.
I will confess that after the economic freakshow caused a huge hit to McCain's numbers and we started to see him fall behind in all the vital battleground states, I got a little demoralized for a moment. After all, national numbers are one thing, but when the numbers go bad in places like Ohio and Florida—both are must-win for McCain—it's worrisome.
Well, guess what, folks . . .
McCain's back on top in Ohioand he's back on top in FloridaAnd that is HUGE news.Everyone is forwarding stuff around on Ayers and FannieFreddieMaeMac and ACORN. And well we should.
But in a way, those poll numbers are the most important thing to forward right now.Think of it: You've read these emails, and surely you've noticed that in some, there's touch of resigned desperation, as if to say, "can you believe this guy is this corrupt and he's going to win anyways?".
But that's exactly how the media and the Democrats want you to feel.
No, scratch that. That's how they NEED you to feel. Their internals are showing something deeply scary to them. Barack Obama is a problematic candidate. They haven't made the sale, and Americans are not known for electing leftists (at least not knowingly). The swing voters are still swinging. The PUMAs (and other Democrats horrified at what they are seeing) are still out there and they're not being polled accurately. And now, the numbers are all moving away from Obama again.
McCain's a come-from-behind kind of candidate. (Remember him out of money, carrying his own luggage in the primary?) He's strong with independents. He's a known quantity, and in the stillness of that voting booth, a lot of people are going to go for the known McCain over the untested and radical Obama.
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