This guy makes a lot of sense....from the same link of the OP
He can’t win. He won’t win. It is over
September 10th, 2008
By Kevin “Coach†Collins
Since February I have been saying that Barack Obama would get crushed in this year’s presidential election. There were times when I was a very lonely voice on the web. “Experts†who were mostly Democrat operatives and politically castrated Beltway Republicans were saying this is a big Democratic year. I never believed it for a second.
The signs of trouble for the Democrats have always been there, if one cared to look at them. The Democratic operatives did not want to. The media did not want to. The feckless Republicans hiding under their desks wringing their hands over some nebulous line about the “Republican brand name†not being good joined in. Even Eric cantor whose job it is to elect Republicans to Congress talked that way. Why? Someone would have to ask him. One thing was clear, however: there was not a thimble full of courage in the ranks of elected Republicans.
While this was taking place the rank and file Democrats were steadily moving forward in their suicidal quest to nominate an inexperienced Marxist who is listed as the most liberal senator in America who happens to be Black and has a Muslim name. This while we are in a war against an enemy who has the same sounding names. The backdrop to the Obama “surge†was that the Democratically controlled Congress was racking up record breaking low approval numbers.
Week after week the Democrat cheerleaders in the media overlooked the fact that the GOP lost the House with a 37% approval rating. When there was some passing reference to these numbers the media always pointed to polls saying that about 30% of Americans thought the Republicans still controlled the House. I have written that this means 70% know who does control Congress and that I would bet that the percentage of actual voters in the 70% group was most likely geometrically higher that the 30% group.
Today it is no longer “wishful thinking†or “proof you have been smoking something†to say John McCain will crush Barack Obama. And yes I heard read those comments about me publicly and worse in private.
Now it is no longer surprising to hear the McCain will win. I have been calling the Democrat’s nominee Barack McGovern since February. Now I will go one step further. In the past I have said that the Obama campaign will be stillborn. Now I will predict the day everyone joins me in my pronouncement about the Obama campaign being a landslide loser: it will be Monday September 29,2008.
The weekend polls that always favor Democrats will be so telling that all of America will come to understand that there is no hope. At this point the McCain/Palin campaign will switch gears and start to appeal to voters to vote them a Republican Congress. Whether that happens or not is a question for future essay.
In the meanwhile he are the numbers that say it is over. These numbers say that there will only be four elected Democrats who will be happy on Nov. 5, the Clintons, George McGovern and Walter Mondale because Barack Obama will take them off the hook as having taken the worse beatings in history.
These are the numbers right now. To win Obama must get these numbers with these groups: women, he needs at least plus 7. He is down 12.
White males needs at least 36%. He is battling to change the minds of this group and is not having any success. If he gets 30% he will be lucky
Catholics: needs 50%. He is down 59/36.
Evangelicals: needs 71%. He is running against an Evangelical and has nothing to offer these Christian voters.
Jewish vote: needs 80%. He is at 57%.
Black vote: needs 95%. Zogby says he has “lost support†among Black voters.
Hispanic vote: needs 65%. The only polls available show he is at 65% so that won’t help, it will only slow the bleeding.
Democrat base support: needs 92%. He is at 86%.
Independents: needs 49%. He is losing 52/37.
This one is over. On September 30, 2008 the McCain Palin campaign must plan on switching gears and start asking for votes to give them a Republican Congress. It could keep the margin down and keep us safe from the Democrats for another two years.
