Until the last couple of paragraphs, that long post is reasonably correct about the matrix of possibilities. That much correct information has
GOT to be a violation of DU's TOS!

BTW, the crews of the F-15Es that Kuwait shot down are back flying missions, so ejection from an F-15 does not automatically cause significant injury.
Maybe this stupidity will shield
AverageOldGuy from the consequences of posting correct info:
I’m an optimist but I’m not holding out a lot of hope for the missing guy. Best we can hope for is he will be captured. Unlike Hegseth, I suspect the Iranians will treat him much better than we are treating them.
IRL, the best we can hope for is that the WSO will be rescued ... you know, found and taken to safety. A more realistic expectation of Iranian captors would be brutality.
This is NOT a goddam video game. ...
Having seen a @#$%-load of absurd "pictures" and "videos" that pro-Iranians post to FB, I think the pro-Iran people are using video games, some, pretty low quality.