Holy Crap! McCain only down by 3 in NJ?!?!?!?!?!

[Splashdown]

At least among "likely voters"

Marist College/RCP poll

.	John McCain/ Sarah Palin the Republicans	Barack Obama/ Joe Biden the Democrats	Other	Undecided
Likely voters w/ leaners	45%	48%	<1%	7%
Democrats	10%	83%	<1%	7%
Republicans	87%	9%	<1%	4%
Independents	41%	51%	1%	7%

This is too good to be true! 

[Jim]

It may be.  I seem to recall that Dubya was pretty close in polls there last time and wound up not so much so.

But he's far closer than he should be in a lot of blue states.  Maybe we are heading to a repeat of McGovern.  A repudiation of liberalism would be wonderful.

[GOBUCKS]

If you add the Bradley effect independents, McCain is leading.

But you are right, in 2004 polls, for a while it looked like W might have a chance in NJ, but in the end John Eff'n took it with a fairly solid lead. This year, the Bradley effect is a potentially huge unknown in every state.

[miskie]

He may not win NJ - but if it makes Obama spend money there, it helps. Take the fight to Blueville.

[Hawkgirl]

Jersey is stretching it....I can't imagine Jersey going red any more than I can imagine New York going red.

[Airwolf]

Everyone forget the 1972 elections? I think Nixon won every state but Massachucetts and Washington D.C.

[GOBUCKS]

Everyone forget the 1972 elections?

Remember it well, but it was a different political world. In 1972, the democrat party went crazy, nominated George McGovern, and has been the party of wackos and crazies ever since. Minorities and people addled by living in the teeming squalor of our coastlines are powerfully attracted by socialism.

[Jim]

If you add the Bradley effect independents, McCain is leading.

But you are right, in 2004 polls, for a while it looked like W might have a chance in NJ, but in the end John Eff'n took it with a fairly solid lead. This year, the Bradley effect is a potentially huge unknown in every state.

The media is afraid to talk about it but you are right, its just out of view but will show itself in November in the only poll that matters.

[Donpeyote]

 If California fall under 10 %  it will be a big deal

[Airwolf]

Everyone forget the 1972 elections?

Remember it well, but it was a different political world. In 1972, the democrat party went crazy, nominated George McGovern, and has been the party of wackos and crazies ever since. Minorities and people addled by living in the teeming squalor of our coastlines are powerfully attracted by socialism.

True it was different. I'm just pointing out that even NJ and NY can vote Red given the right motivation to do so. Not likely to now or in the near future untill those states wake up and stop letting liberals dig them into a hole.