Obama Implodes In Georgia; McCain Leads 56% To 38%

[Lauri]

daa (1000+ posts)      Thu Sep-11-08 01:11 PM
Original message
Obama Implodes In Georgia; McCain Leads 56% To 38%
 
(9/11/08) A new InsiderAdvantage / Poll Position survey of likely registered voters in Georgia indicates a steep decline for the Barack Obama campaign and likely explains why the candidate is moving resources out of Georgia and into other states.

The poll of 506 registered likely voters, weighted for age, race, and gender, was conducted Wednesday evening. It has a margin of error of +/- 4%

Q. If the election were held today, would you vote for:

John McCain: 56%
Barack Obama: 38%
Other: 2%
Undecided: 4%

InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “This is a huge slide from what had been, in our prior surveys, a relatively close race. The reason is simple—Obama lost serious ground in virtually every demographic.

“At first glance it would seem that Obama is headed for no better than the low 40 percentile level achieved by John Kerry in 2004. But let me warn observers that in both our national tracking and surveys in other states, the biggest change has been a near parity between the two candidates among the youngest of voters.

“Should that group return to Obama and the African-American vote end up where we expect it to be, the race could be closer in November. But as of now Georgia is no longer a “leans McCain” state. As of this survey, Georgia is in the McCain column.”

The poll, to remain consistent with seven total state polls conducted around the nation by the firm Wednesday evening, does not list Bob Barr as a candidate. “Having Bob Barr’s name on the ballot would likely take a net point or two from McCain, but at least at this stage, Barr’s presence is not an essential piece of the electoral pie in Georgia,” Towery said. “If the race tightens, that could change.”

InsiderAdvantage, 4401 Northside Parkway, Suite 100, Atlanta, GA 30327

http://www.insideradvantagegeorgia.com/restricted/2008/... 

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x7028535

[Lauri]

americanstranger (1000+ posts)      Thu Sep-11-08 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
10. 506 voters?
 WTF kind of sample size is that?

And no Bob Barr? Barr's from Georgia, isn't he? Not including him in the poll inflates McCain's numbers a few points.

Put Barr in the mix and the Big Two are back within the MOE, I'll bet.

- as

who is Barr again?

[bijou]

americanstranger (1000+ posts)      Thu Sep-11-08 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
10. 506 voters?
 WTF kind of sample size is that?

And no Bob Barr? Barr's from Georgia, isn't he? Not including him in the poll inflates McCain's numbers a few points.

Put Barr in the mix and the Big Two are back within the MOE, I'll bet.

- as

who is Barr again?

Top of the ticket to Ron Paul apparently.

[Lauri]

Bob Barr is Ron Paul's VP?


interesting.. ive still never heard of him   

[bijou]

Bob Barr is Ron Paul's VP?


interesting.. ive still never heard of him   

Other way round, he was a Republican but left the party to stand as a Libertarian.

[Donpeyote]

Don't be surprized if California is 55% Obama 45% McCain/Palin today!

[USA4ME]

The only state the Obamassiah has a chance to win in the South is Virginia, and that's only because of the lib freaks who live near the DC area.  The rest of the state (minus the UofV and maybe VT areas) is normal red-blooded Americans.

.

[jukin]

Jukin is smiling!

[JohnnyReb]

38% of Georgia going to vote for Obama, huh? Well, looks like he's got the black vote locked up. .........at least the part that isn't locked up.