One of the DUmp's biggest blowhards is at it again.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100217227684Star Member PCIntern (22,781 posts)
Someone needs to explain to me...
On Morning Joke this A.M., The following news report was made: President Biden‘s approval rate inched up which is good news for the Democrats, the bad news for the Democrats is that 7 in 10 think the country is going in the wrong direction.
Now I am one of those people who thinks that the country‘s going in the wrong direction, but I am certainly not going to vote for the Republican fascist party because I think that is the case. The fact is, I think so right now, only because of the Republicans and their Naziesque machinations . The implication is that seven and 10 people are leaning Republican because there happens to be a Democratic president. In addition, OPEC has raised the price of gasoline and other products by diminishing their production, so this is somehow the fault of the President of the United States directly, Just like he was responsible for the bacterial contamination of baby formula plants. I might add that is cause and effect is only reported as such widely when there is a Democrat in the White House.
So my (possibly rhetorical) question to the DU body politic is where are the interviewees who know a little bit about math who can refute some of the implications of statistics, even assuming that they are true and accurate which in my opinion is a poor assumption at this time?
(As an aside some of you may or may not know the following: did you ever take a look at the studies which follows to say 250 people over 20 years to see how they react to things? Now the implication is that in the study, all 250 of the people are interviewed 20 times equaling 5000 interviews. This is absolutely not the case: what the researchers do is apply statistical formulas to calculate what someone would probably say if they had managed to contact them. I’m not kidding, I have a family member who applies these formulas routinely in research studies. When I first heard this, I literally burst out laughing. Apparently, scientifically, the tests are statistically significant and are accepted within the scientific community. Of course, so was the steady state theory of the creation of the universe accepted within the scientific community until evidence proved otherwise, but I digress.)
The D's have held the Presidency, the Senate, and the House for over two years. That's called "total control," but this idiot thinks the reason the country is going in the wrong direction is because of the Republicans and their Naziesque machinations.
Star Member Samrob (2,569 posts)
8. Dems need to get the "spin" right. I feel the nation is going in the wrong direction BECAUSE
the GOP has too much power, their tax breaks for the uber wealthy are hurting us, the greed of corporate contributors to the GOP is fueling our inflation, and Trump's anti-American buddies are working hard to get him back into power so that they can have their way with US power and influence. Yes, the country is going in the wrong direction and as soon as we can get the Republicans out of office the faster we can make a turnaround.
I'm going to type this very slowly, for Star Moron Samrob's benefit:
The. Democrats. Have. Total. Control. The only way to turn this around and get the country going in the right direction is to vote the Democrats OUT of power.
My hero, Symphthsical weighs in with some common sense.
Sympthsical (5,068 posts)
7. Because the non-political vote on these things
The people who aren't particularly partisan and don't care much about day to day politics will vote based on where they think their self-interests lay. And where their self-interests lay are generally in their day-to-day wallets. The economy and inflation are hitting those hard.
I think, if this were a normal year, we'd be demolished. However, with Dobbs, I don't think this is a normal year. Given the results in Kansas and other places as a result of it, I think this election is unusually unpredictable. The models that will give a general sense of how things will go are upended no minor degree.
I don't think we're going to have a blow out. There are a lot of reasons for why not (inflation, gerrymandering not reflected in general polling, etc.). But I think we do pointedly better than experts relying on previous elections think. I don't think their models are taking Dobbs into account as much as they should.
We will see in a few weeks, but in the polls I have seen people don't seem to rate abortion all that high a priority.
