Author Topic: Poll: The Shy Trump Vote Is Bigger This Year...And Who Falls Into This Category  (Read 109 times)

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Offline Ptarmigan

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Poll: The Shy Trump Vote Is Bigger This Year...And Who Falls Into This Category Should Terrify Democrats
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2020/10/10/the-shy-trump-vote-is-bigger-this-year-and-who-they-are-should-shake-democrats-n2577613

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I’ll say it again, folks. The polling is screwed. It’s skewed. It’s a mess. Either we’re right to be highly skeptical and Trump wins an Electoral College landslide, or the pollsters are right and we’re heading for Armageddon come Election Day. Still, the oversampling of Democrats, college-educated voters, and suburban Republicans hostile to Trump should bring a ton of scrutiny. The reluctance for some of these clown firms to switch to likely voter samples is also suspect. We’re not going to have a 2008 or 2012 electorate. For starters, a new Hill-Harris poll noted that young Americans are not excited about this election at all. They’re not planning on voting. Gallup reportedly said that youth interest in voting this cycle hit its lowest levels since 2000. That’s in keeping with the results from Democracy Institute’s Patrick Basham, whose polling data, which has been mentioned in The Washington Times and Forbes, suggests there will be 1 million fewer young people voting this cycle.

JUST OUT: Hill-Harris X research documents that Younger Voters are not excited about this election. Note one of their Headlines:

"Hill-Harris X Research Shows Younger Voters Are Consistently More Likely to Say They Do Not Plan to Vote..."

Video below:https://t.co/2nm73wHcpQ

— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) October 9, 2020
Gallup found lowest level of interest from youth vote since 2000.

— Robert Barnes (@Barnes_Law) October 9, 2020
Zogby Analytics:

Trump Approval at 51%

(poll released on Oct 9; 833 likely voters; conducted 9/25-27) pic.twitter.com/cvTLFBlvH3

— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) October 9, 2020

There are more shy President Donald Trump supporters and it much larger this time around.

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1) Nuggets from Joseph Cotto’s interview of Patrick Basham of Democracy Institute. A DI poll showed Trump winning nationally and in the Electoral College:

Basham addressed why Trump’s national lead went from +3 to +1 and why Trump’s Battleground State lead went from +7 to +4.

— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) October 7, 2020
2) It was because Democracy Institute shifted from a 2-way to a 4-way race. He believes some are “parking their votes” with 3rd-party candidates. He senses some of these will move back to Trump or Biden, with more going to Trump. He also thinks more undecideds will go for Trump.

— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) October 7, 2020
3) Believes in the “SHY TRUMP VOTER”:
“The shy Trump voter is not only real it is larger than last time.”

Is not just a rural voter under a haystack:
“The shy Trump voter is much more likely to be in fact . . . an African American in an urban setting. A Suburban white woman.”

— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) October 7, 2020

It is more diverse on top of it.
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Offline thundley4

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Democrats know that Trump is gaining ground with minorities. That is why they are bringing out the Race CardTM so often. That is why they brought out Barack Obama's husband, Michael.

Online DumbAss Tanker

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I believe many Trump voters are staying mum and low-profile, they've seen endless attacks and shaming on social media against those who support him openly and have decided to launch their electoral torpedoes from periscope depth instead of engaging in a surface gun duel.

I also believe Blexit and Latino defections from the Dems are going to be really significant factors that are not being reflected in the polling.
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Offline Zathras

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Democrats know that Trump is gaining ground with minorities. That is why they are bringing out the Race CardTM so often. That is why they brought out Barack Obama's husband, Michael.

According to Rasmussen President Trump's approval rating is 36% with Black voters. Not sure what his approval rating is with Hispanics but, judging by the polling after the VP debate, it's probably just as high or even higher. Add in those from the #walkaway movement and the Dems are going to be very shocked come 11/04/20. I will be deep into the schadenfreude went I see the Dumbasses having absolute meltdowns from the election results.
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