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Author Topic: The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O: 48 M  (Read 2158 times)

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Offline Crazy Horse

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The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O: 48 M
« on: August 24, 2008, 09:31:45 AM »
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x6728031

 :thatsright:

Quote
berni_mccoy  (1000+ posts)       Sun Aug-24-08 09:04 AM
Original message
The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O: 48 Mc: 45 
 Advertisements [?]Edited on Sun Aug-24-08 09:05 AM by berni_mccoy
http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/ele...

For those who don't monitor Ras, it's a significant bump. Obama hasn't held a 3 point lead in Ras since his World Tour. Other than that bounce, He's held a consistent 1-2 point lead over McSevenhouses since the race started.

Ras doesn't say why the bounce, but does call out that Obama picked his VP. Given that Ras's poll of approval for Obama's VP pick shows only a 38% favorable (25% negative, 32% undecided), it's not from his VP pick. This significant bounce, IMO, is due directly to Obama's framing of McCain as a clueless old rich dude who's disconnected from the reality of the average American. Finally, the Obama campaign has done this (with the opportunistic event of McSevenhouses gaffe), and they've done it so expertly with broad, broad coverage.

I expect Obama to break 50 on his VP pick in the coming days and then get into the low 50s after the convention. Eventually I expect Obama to settle on 51-52% after both conventions are said and done. McSeven houses will settle around 48-49%.

Lucy.....................paging Lucy

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bushisanidiot (1000+ posts)      Sun Aug-24-08 09:06 AM
Response to Original message
1. And that lead will get bigger!!!
 what an awesome pre-convention bump!


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ALiberalSailor  (1000+ posts)       Sun Aug-24-08 09:06 AM
Response to Original message
2. How it's even this close boggles the imagination...
 ...If this country elects John McCain, it deserves everything that happens.



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Heather MC  (1000+ posts)       Sun Aug-24-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. they are only calling people with home phones, which is the elderly 
 Edited on Sun Aug-24-08 09:22 AM by Heather MC
and stay at home moms
JMO

Now I wonder will the M$M report this a problem for McCain
or will this till be Obama's fault he is in the lead????


WTF

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Offline jukin

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Re: The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O:
« Reply #1 on: August 24, 2008, 09:58:03 AM »
So polls are believable now?
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Offline Crazy Horse

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Re: The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O:
« Reply #2 on: August 24, 2008, 09:59:09 AM »
Quote from: jukin on August 24, 2008, 09:58:03 AM
So polls are believable now?

Of course.........................it is to their advantage now
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Offline TheSarge

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Re: The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O:
« Reply #3 on: August 24, 2008, 10:02:25 AM »
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Heather MC  (1000+ posts)       Sun Aug-24-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. they are only calling people with home phones, which is the elderly  

:whatever:

Where do they create this stuff at?  They must have a special addition to their brains that normal people don't.

I've got a phone in the kitchen my bedroom and in the kitchen.  Plus my Blackberry.
 

:mental:



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Offline terry

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Re: The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O:
« Reply #4 on: August 24, 2008, 10:13:13 AM »
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Heather MC  (1000+ posts)       Sun Aug-24-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. they are only calling people with home phones, which is the elderly
 Edited on Sun Aug-24-08 09:22 AM by Heather MC
and stay at home moms

the people with home phones, who are people with homes, who are more likely to vote than people without homes or people living in other people's homes.
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Offline Crazy Horse

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Re: The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O:
« Reply #5 on: August 24, 2008, 10:13:32 AM »
Quote from: TxRadioguy on August 24, 2008, 10:02:25 AM
Quote
Heather MC  (1000+ posts)       Sun Aug-24-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. they are only calling people with home phones, which is the elderly  

:whatever:

Where do they create this stuff at?  They must have a special addition to their brains that normal people don't.

I've got a phone in the kitchen my bedroom and in the kitchen.  Plus my Blackberry.
 

:mental:





Well...............you're elderly
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Offline GOBUCKS

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Re: The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O: 48 M
« Reply #6 on: August 24, 2008, 11:54:35 AM »
These polls are tilted in favor of people with homes. People with homes are disproportionately evil repukes. If they polled bobbolink and all the other DU street bums, it would look worse. On the other hand, DUers are far more inclined to whine than to vote, and if it's a cold November they will be too busy scrambling for big pieces of cardboard for bedding.
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Offline BlueStateSaint

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Re: The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O:
« Reply #7 on: August 24, 2008, 12:56:08 PM »
Quote from: TxRadioguy on August 24, 2008, 10:02:25 AM
Where do they create this stuff at?  They must have a special addition to their brains that normal people don't.

Actually, it's a special deletion.
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Offline Chris_

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Re: The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O:
« Reply #8 on: August 24, 2008, 01:09:13 PM »
Quote from: TxRadioguy on August 24, 2008, 10:02:25 AM
Quote
Heather MC  (1000+ posts)       Sun Aug-24-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. they are only calling people with home phones, which is the elderly 

:whatever:

Where do they create this stuff at?  They must have a special addition to their brains that normal people don't.

I've got a phone in the kitchen my bedroom and in the kitchen.  Plus my Blackberry.
 

:mental:





Plus, they call in the evening after people with normal jobs (not the 7-11 night clerks) are home with their families.  So they get the normal nut cases rather than the extreme DU-type nut cases.

If uh-bam-uh/biteme don'e get more than 15 points ahead by week's end, they are toast.
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