obama is even with mccain, down from +6 two days ago, and +3 yesterday.
The BarackStar! just ain't closing the deal. it is bothersome, however, that mccain's absolute high-water
mark is 44%. BHO can't crack 49%, though. sunning himself on the beach on the same week that putin
decided to crush a pro-western, democratic nation may turn out to be a mistake. mccain's stance on the
russian aggression was exactly right from the get-go, while BHO blathered on about the UN and international
monitoring. the semi-hysterical susan rice, BHO's foreign policy advisor (or one of 300, as it turns out) actually
attacked mccain's position as "shooting from the hip", and making "the situation worse". that was a misstep,
since BHO's position is now exactly the same as mccain's position . . . and it only took four mutations of his
foreign policy to get there.
I still think the throbbing acceptance speech set in a football stadium will blow back on him the same way
the german speech did.
Gallup Daily: McCain, Obama Tied at 44%
PRINCETON, NJ -- If the election were held today, registered voters would be equally likely to vote for John McCain (44%) or Barack Obama (44%), according to the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update.
The Aug. 12-14 polling shows a slight dip in Obama's support, which had ranged between 46% and 48% (averaging 47%) in August. McCain has averaged 43% support among registered voters so far in August. Thus, the closer margin seen in today's results is due more to movement away from Obama than toward McCain. Twelve percent of registered voters now say they are undecided or supporting another candidate, which is on the high end of what Gallup has measured this year.
Voter preferences have been closely divided between Obama and McCain in each of the last three individual nights of polling, underscoring the notion that the race has tightened for the moment. This could to some degree reflect Obama's absence from the campaign trail while he vacations in Hawaii. He will return to the spotlight over the next few weeks upon naming his vice presidential running mate and accepting his party's nomination for president at the Democratic national convention, and both events have typically been associated with a bounce in support for a presidential candidate.
On Thursday, the Obama and Hillary Clinton campaigns announced an agreement to put her name into nomination for president at the convention. Given that the race has been tight for the past few days, it is unlikely this announcement is related to any change in Obama's support.
Since early June when Obama clinched the nomination, he has averaged a three percentage point advantage over McCain in Gallup Poll Daily tracking. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.) -- Jeff Jones
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