http://jackpineradicals.org/showthread.php?9912-Hillary-needed-to-win-pledged-delegates-by-65-tonight-to-avoid-convention-contest&p=59536#post59536Oh geezuz.
This has been old and stale for a very long time now, the news media and Bernie bullies distorting the delegate counts for Messalina Agrippina and Methuselah.
Magical Thyme
Yesterday, 06:49 AM #1
Hillary needed to win pledged delegates by 65% tonight to avoid convention contest
She failed. Bernie made it clear he is in until the last vote is cast. In case anybody has forgotten, the last votes are cast at the convention. As of last night, Hillary cannot win until the convention, period.
Here's the math: 2384 needed to win nomination.
After last night, Hillary has 1651 to Bernie's 1346; accounting for 2997 delegates assigned (1651 + 1346 = 2997)
There are 1,054 pledged delegates left (4051 - 2997 = 1054).
Hillary needs to win 733 of those delegates (1651 + 733 = 2384).
That means she needs to win 69.5% of the remaining delegates to win without the Supers. (733/1054 = .6954 x 100 = 69.54%)
Again, Bernie has made it clear he is in until the last vote is cast.
The Bernie bully's citing elected delegates, omitting the superdelegates as if they don't count.
Unfortunately for the Bernie bullies, the superdelegates count just as much as the elected delegates.
This is just wistful thinking on the part of the Bernie bullies. Wistful thinking is one's right, but it's also a sure guarantee to making the wrong conclusions and being rudely surprised when the bottom line comes.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html?_r=1The
real numbers, the numbers that count, courtesy that old primitive reliable, the
New York Times:
Here's the math: 2384 needed to win nomination.
Actually, 2,383, a very minor error but one sees what the primitive's trying to do here, raise the bar for Messalina Agrippina.
After last night, Hillary has 1651 to Bernie's 1346; accounting for 2997 delegates assigned (1651 + 1346 = 2997)
After last night, Messalina Agrippina has 2,182 to 1,404 for Methuselah.
There are 1,054 pledged delegates left (4051 - 2997 = 1054).
There are 1,206 delegates left.
Hillary needs to win 733 of those delegates (1651 + 733 = 2384).
Messalina Agrippina needs to win 201 of those remaining delegates (2,182 + 201 - 2,383).
It makes no difference, no difference at all, no difference in the least, whether those 201 she still needs are superdelegates or elected delegates. She needs only 201 of them.
Now, who is one going to believe here, a lying Bernie bully or the august
New York Times and franksolich?
Geezuz gawd.