I had predicted a 10 to 15 percent win, and badly missed, though Cruz did win comfortably in Iowa. I was off on the final score, but our data analytics predicted a GOP caucus of 140,000. It turned out to be 180,000, but the excess turned out to be half for Rubio, half Trump, while Cruz held onto his "commits" with a high retention rate, and Cruz won comfortably by 4. I was in contact with the crucial western Iowa sector with data assistance, and the people on the ground there were absolutely outstanding.
I am now doing analytics for New Hampshire and Nevada. With Rubio's rise, I (personally) don't think Ted will finish as high there as I originally had hoped (strong second), and am working Nevada as hard as a Dummie slobbers over Bernie. The conservatives on the ground will always be ignored or disparaged by the mainstream media, so they will say Cruz has no chance now that Rubio has risen and will (prsumably) take over the Establishment mantel, and the race is now between Trump and Rubio. My associates whom are doing South Carolina are just as knowledgable about the ground there, and the way the establishment is coalescing behind Rubio is actually going to help Cruz (at the expense of both Rubio and Trump).
Politics is an interesting game, but in this case it's vital we get in a conservative. I'm not comfortable with Marco "Gang of 8" Rubio, but would prefer him over Donald "Turn Obamacare into Single Payer" Trump, particularly with their Supreme Court picks. Ted Cruz is, frankly, our last chance. It may even still be too late, but at least one can't go out without a fight.