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Author Topic: NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA  (Read 1679 times)

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Offline BlueStateSaint

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NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA
« on: October 21, 2015, 07:50:33 AM »
Too bad it can't knock out SF as well, eh? :whistling:

Quote
NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA

October 20, 2015 11:21 PM

Filed Under: Dr. Andrea Donellan, Earthquakes, Geology, JPL, LA, La Habra, Los Angeles, NASA, NASA JPL, Quakes, USGS

PASADENA (CBSLA.com) — If scientists at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena are correct, a moderately-sized earthquake is expected within the next two-and-a-half years.

JPL experts predict a possible 5.0 magnitude quake in Los Angeles, but say it very well could be stronger. JPL geophysicist Dr. Andrea Donnellan, along with seven other scientists, has been using radar and GPS to measure Southern California’s chances for a sizable earthquake, and has made a sobering hypothesis about another big one.
 
“When the La Habra earthquake happened, it was relieving some of that stress, and it actually shook some of the upper sediments in the LA basin and moved those a little bit more,” Dr. Donellan said.
 
However, according to Dr. Donnellan, those strains remain, with enough power to produce an even larger quake in the same epicenter in La Habra.
 
“There’s enough energy stored to produce about a magnitude 6.1 to 6.3 earthquake,” Dr. Donnellan described.

The rest is here:  http://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2015/10/20/nasa-gives-99-percent-probability-of-5-0-earthquake-in-la/
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Offline FlaGator

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Re: NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2015, 08:42:07 AM »
That is not really going out on a limb. There seems to be small to moderate earthquakes in So Cal every couple of years or so anyways.
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Offline freedumb2003b

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Re: NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA
« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2015, 09:02:36 AM »
5.0?

Bah, that is like a truck going by!
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Offline DumbAss Tanker

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Re: NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA
« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2015, 11:36:28 AM »
Meh.  Has to be one that size sooner or later, the longer it stays away the bigger it'll eventually be.
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Re: NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2015, 12:26:59 PM »
I predict moderate snowfall in Madison WI in the next three months, though, it could be very well be blizzard like conditions.  There is also a very strong chance all the leaves will fall off the trees within the next month.

Squirrel and bird sightings are also a possibility.
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Offline obumazombie

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Re: NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA
« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2015, 02:35:52 PM »
They may be giving up on their predictions of glow bull warming.
They probably estimate their predictions have a greater probability of being accurate when predicting something that happens all the time in California.
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Offline jb2u11

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Re: NASA Gives 99-Percent Probability Of 5.0 Earthquake In LA
« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2015, 08:23:47 AM »
Quote from: obumazombie on October 21, 2015, 02:35:52 PM
They may be giving up on their predictions of glow bull warming.
They probably estimate their predictions have a greater probability of being accurate when predicting something that happens all the time in California.

Actually they will blame the earthquake on global warming.
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