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51
The DUmpster / Re: Any crazy DUmmy 2026 midterm predictions?
« Last post by ADsOutburst on November 04, 2026, 10:28:24 AM »
Hey, we've all been through some shitty elections. Clinton winning in 1994 & '98, Barack Hussein 0bama's back-to-back wins, and of course COVID Joe's fluke win in 2020. But to paraphrase my Dad, one should never let their dauber down. You shouldn't either.

All is not lost. But I do think things could get worse before they get better.
52
Politics / Re: Two Cents on Tonight
« Last post by ADsOutburst on November 04, 2026, 10:12:00 AM »
I think some of thee problem in Texas is from all the liberals from California who moved there, just like here in Florida we have all the dems who moved here from the north east to escape t he hell holes they created in their states. :thatsright:

Trump won Texas by double-digits in 2024. I have to think the impact of Californians moving in was minimal at most.

Looking over the info.

Might hold Alaska, but right now it's by the finger nail. (Singular) The Dan J trick is minimal, 3,447 votes, but the difference right now is less than 800 votes.

Texas is concerning. Hate to say it but Paxton clearly wasn't the better choice. John Cornyn was the safer bet. Also, every single district in Texas shifted Blue, not one red.

But looking over vote shift maps. States that showed some shift red in any district were almost entirely Liberal states while all Red states showed little if any. The red shift from 2024 undone. Maine showed the most promise with Red shift.

Good read on my point above

https://nypost.com/2026/11/03/opinion/democrats-blue-wave-may-crash-into-a-dead-end/

Edit

Looking at Texas more, Talarico has currently 5,445,121 votes, Harris in 2024 got 4,835,250. Right now the numbers are lining up almost flipped.

Paxton was a flawed candidate, but the overall political climate was a bigger factor, the one that cost Republicans Ohio, and nearly cost them Florida.
53
Politics / Re: Two Cents on Tonight
« Last post by Old n Grumpy on November 04, 2026, 10:02:19 AM »
I think some of thee problem in Texas is from all the liberals from California who moved there, just like here in Florida we have all the dems who moved here from the north east to escape t he hell holes they created in their states. :thatsright:
54
Politics / Re: Two Cents on Tonight
« Last post by Dark Powers on November 04, 2026, 09:53:04 AM »
What's interesting in this graph, Feb. 28th was the start of the Iran conflict. You can see the impact it had on the elections.

55
The DUmpster / Some on DU are not as politically savvy as others.
« Last post by CC27 on November 04, 2026, 09:41:58 AM »
Quote
Croney (5,069 posts)

Some on DU are not as politically savvy as others.

I am speaking about myself. I don't often jump in with facts or analysis, but I support and agree with most posters, and our liberal agenda.

I want to say thanks to all of you who put in the time and effort that made being on DU in the last 24 hours so satisfying. In one week I'll be 82, so these victories mean I'll live to see a brighter future for my grandchildren.

You really are good people.

https://democraticunderground.com/100221611602

ALL of the DUmp does not jump in with facts either...
56
Politics / Re: Two Cents on Tonight
« Last post by Dark Powers on November 04, 2026, 09:31:11 AM »
Looking over the info.

Might hold Alaska, but right now it's by the finger nail. (Singular) The Dan J trick is minimal, 3,447 votes, but the difference right now is less than 800 votes.

Texas is concerning. Hate to say it but Paxton clearly wasn't the better choice. John Cornyn was the safer bet. Also, every single district in Texas shifted Blue, not one red.

But looking over vote shift maps. States that showed some shift red in any district were almost entirely Liberal states while all Red states showed little if any. The red shift from 2024 undone. Maine showed the most promise with Red shift.

Good read on my point above

https://nypost.com/2026/11/03/opinion/democrats-blue-wave-may-crash-into-a-dead-end/

Edit

Looking at Texas more, Talarico has currently 5,445,121 votes, Harris in 2024 got 4,835,250. Right now the numbers are lining up almost flipped.
57
Politics / Re: Two Cents on Tonight
« Last post by SVPete on November 04, 2026, 08:52:44 AM »
This is why I don't care if CA or NY to catch an errant nuke.

Thanks, Sarge.
58
Politics / Re: Two Cents on Tonight
« Last post by SSG Snuggle Bunny on November 04, 2026, 08:44:49 AM »
Best issue for democrats was conflict in Iran. This ranked very high as their priority.

This is why I don't care if CA or NY to catch an errant nuke.
59
The DUmpster / Re: It Wasn't (Just) the Economy, Stupid
« Last post by ADsOutburst on November 04, 2026, 07:44:51 AM »
Ah, Paul Krugman. The dumb man's smart man.

Quote
Hispanic voters, who swung to Trump in 2024 in the naïve belief that he would bring prices down, turned massively against a regime that is arresting, imprisoning and deporting their friends and families.

No Paul. Trump won a higher share of the hispanic vote than a standard GOP candidate, likely because hispanics too want immigration law enforeced. Yes, the war and resultant fuel prices were a huge driver of this election. Democrats won by the margin that they did because many voters who had been part of Trump's original coalition swung against him. If not for the war, the GOP probably doesn't lose Texas, for instance.


60
Politics / Re: Two Cents on Tonight
« Last post by Dark Powers on November 04, 2026, 07:42:21 AM »
Exit poll questions  had some insight.

Best issue for Republicans was immigration.  Even liberal voters viewed this low on priority to vote for them.

Best issue for democrats was conflict in Iran. This ranked very high as their priority.
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