The Conservative Cave
Current Events => Politics => Topic started by: Duke Nukum on April 05, 2011, 05:36:07 PM
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Hi
I would like to urge any CC'ers who live in WI and haven't voted yet to get out and vote for Judge Prosser. You have until 8:00 PM.
Madison/Dane County is out in force so it is an important election since the supreme court is a state wide office.
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UGH! Here's hoping Prosser wins. Has anyone seen any polling on this race?
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UGH! Here's hoping Prosser wins. Has anyone seen any polling on this race?
Dave Blaska of Blaska's Blog (http://www.thedailypage.com/blaska/article.php?article=33025) is predicting Prosser by a hair. A poly-sci prof was on the radio yesterday saying if it were a normal election they would expect it to go to Prosser by 850,000 vote. He said the question was if the left was angry enough to get 850,000 vote and if the Tea Party/conservative/moderate could get enough turnout to counter it.
I've heard voting is high in some more conservative cities.
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Dave Blaska of Blaska's Blog (http://www.thedailypage.com/blaska/article.php?article=33025) is predicting Prosser by a hair. A poly-sci prof was on the radio yesterday saying if it were a normal election they would expect it to go to Prosser by 850,000 vote. He said the question was if the left was angry enough to get 850,000 vote and if the Tea Party/conservative/moderate could get enough turnout to counter it.
I've heard voting is high in some more conservative cities.
Do they allow same day registration and or registration close to the election? Either one would almost guarantee a loss for Prosser.
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Do they allow same day registration and or registration close to the election? Either one would almost guarantee a loss for Prosser.
They do. And there is some worry about all the outsiders and voter fraud. But I'm going to stay optimistic. Mr. Blaska is pretty good at calling elections.
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At the mo...
Precincts 1235/3630
D. Prosser (i) 268,558
J. Kloppenburg 265,593
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/WI_Supreme_Court_0405.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
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Oooops, forgot there was a thread on this, been reporting the results in the Shoutbox, Prosser has a 29,000 vote lead now.
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Posts from the Shoutbox:
[Tue 23:13] <Ballygrl> Prosser back up by 11,000
[Tue 23:10] <Ballygrl> UGH, the Dem leading right now but Waukesha still holding back
[Tue 23:08] <Ballygrl> Almost 4,000 vote lead for Prosser, FR says the good news is Waukesha County is holding back reporting, they're heavily Conservative and the Dem Counties have been reporting heavily
[Tue 22:58] <Ballygrl> Damn, Prosser down to a 2,000 vote lead
[Tue 22:53] <Ballygrl> OMG, Prosser leading by over 29,000 votes now
[Tue 22:52] <Ballygrl> Prosser leading by over 19,000 now
[Tue 22:44] <Ballygrl> Prosser leading 2-1 in Racine
[Tue 22:43] <Ballygrl> for Prosser
[Tue 22:43] <Ballygrl> Oh jeez, 18,000 vote lead
[Tue 22:42] <Ballygrl> Prosser back up to a 5,000 vote lead
[Tue 22:37] <Ballygrl> NPR reporting a 110% turnout in Milawaukee County with Prosser losing that County so far 65-45, hmm
[Tue 22:37] <Ballygrl> per FR another conservative site reporting NPR spinning a Kloppenberg loss
[Tue 22:29] <Ballygrl> Oh UGH! Prosser with a 3,000 vote lead
[Tue 22:27] <Ballygrl> Prosser has an over 12,000 vote lead right now, still a nailbiter because Dane County is holding out, but Waukesha County a Republican County is holding out too
[Tue 22:17] <Ballygrl> Prosser back up to an over 8,000 vote lead
[Tue 22:07] <Ballygrl> UGH, getting close again, Prosser has a 1,700 vote lead'
[Tue 22:05] <Ballygrl> Over 7,000 vote lead now, very weird that Milwaukee County is running 64-36 for Prosser
[Tue 22:00] <Ballygrl> Still a 5,000 vote lead for Prosser
[Tue 21:54] <Ballygrl> almost 5,000 vote lead now for Prosser
[Tue 21:53] <Ballygrl> Leading in Green Bay 54-46
[Tue 21:52] <Ballygrl> Prosser has over 4,000 vote lead right now, still a nailbiter, Prosser leading 64-36 right now in Milwaukee County?
[Tue 21:42] <Ballygrl> this is a freaking nailbiter
[Tue 21:41] <Ballygrl> Prosser leading by over 400 votes right now, the Dem Counties for some reason started reporting early, I thought they waited til the other Counties checked in to see how many fake votes they need
[Tue 21:38] <Ballygrl> The Dem was leading 63-37 at 1 point, now it's 50-50
[Tue 21:12] <Ballygrl> Live election thread for Wisconsin, Pray that Prosser wins http://www.freerepublic.c...235/posts?q=1&;page=1
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Over 19,000 vote lead for Prosser, Dem Counties are heavily reported, Conservative Waukesha County has only 25% of their precincts reporting.
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Damn, Prosser down by 1,000.
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Prosser leading by almost 1,000 now, most of the heavily Democratic areas have reported in but the Republican Counties are still holding back!
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RESULTS as of Tuesday, Apr 05, 2011 at 10:29 pm CDT
Election Home
Supreme Court REPORTING 68%
David Prosser (inc)
528,080
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg
527,174
50%
http://elections.todaystmj4.com/G8801.htm
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The Republican Counties are still holding back, Waukesha County is still reporting 25%.
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The Republican Counties are still holding back, Waukesha County is still reporting 25%.
Hope so cuz Kloppenburg now leads by 600
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600 became 6,000
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Weird because according to AP Waukesha is still only reporting about 25% reporting:
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/WI_Supreme_Court_0405.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
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Someone posted this at FR:
Waukesha *County* has a population of 383,000. Only 85,000 votes in. So, unless it is just for the city, the votes aren’t in.
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Weird because according to AP Waukesha is still only reporting about 25% reporting:
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/WI_Supreme_Court_0405.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
Those numbers jive with what I'm seeing.
Dunno about FR math but 85,000 out of 383,000 residents is pretty darn steep voter turnout (22%). If that 383,000 is voting age only residents 22% is big for non-presidential elections; so 22% of ALL residents voting tonight would be huge.
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5000 to 8000 in favor of Klopp, depending on link.
Sorry but the dems won this one.
The state assembly will have to re-pass the bill.
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Those numbers jive with what I'm seeing.
Dunno about FR math but 85,000 out of 383,000 residents is pretty darn steep voter turnout (22%). If that 383,000 is voting age only residents 22% is big for non-presidential elections; so 22% of ALL residents voting tonight would be huge.
The thread is moving so fast but I think I read a voter turnout in either the last election or the Presidential election of 187,000 votes.
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From FR:
Okay, about Dane County. Someone else sent me a link to the vote totals by precinct. So I pulled in the results from the earlier primary just to see how many people typically vote in the precincts that are still out there.
Right now Klop leads Prosser in Dane County 119,756 to 42,812, or a bit under 75%, a lead of 77,000. The precincts in the February primary cast just over 70,000 votes. It looks like they'll cast about 180,000 votes in this election. That's about 2/3rds of the votes cast in the Kerry/Bush race, so it's a very high turnout.
Multiplying the February vote in the precincts still outstanding by 3 (to exaggerate, I believe the actual factor should be 2.5), that means there are 26,763 votes outstanding in Dane County. Even though 74% of the precincts have voted, I would estimate that 85.6% of the voters have voted, because the remaining precincts are smaller than average.
If we assume 75% of the remaining voters vote for Klop, that's an increase in her lead of about 13,400. So her total lead in Dane County would be 77K + 13K or 90,000 (and I think that's the high end).
My own spreadsheet had earlier projected Klop winning Dane by 86,000, so I don't think there's any reason to panic over Dane County. The real concern is the size of the outstanding precincts in Waukesha and other such Republican counties.
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5000 to 8000 in favor of Klopp, depending on link.
Sorry but the dems won this one.
The state assembly will have to re-pass the bill.
And the problem with that though is how will Republicans interpret the results? will they get scared and not vote for the bill again?
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And the problem with that though is how will Republicans interpret the results? will they get scared and not vote for the bill again?
Then they go bankrupt like CA.
You can't drag people to freedom. If this is what they want **** 'em; they'll learn soon enough.
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Klopp leads by 19,000
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Then they go bankrupt like CA.
You can't drag people to freedom. If this is what they want **** 'em; they'll learn soon enough.
It ticks me off that 90% of the people put the interests of 10% ahead of their own. We're a f-ing stupid Nation!
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It ticks me off that 90% of the people put the interests of 10% ahead of their own. We're an f-ing stupid Nation!
Careful ma'am. Don't get into the whole "voting against their best interest" mindset the DUmbasses do.
People vote what they want to vote based on what they want to believe. They do it. We do it.
This dumb scrunt is going to **** WI for the next 2 generations.
And you wanna know what?
The surrounding states will happily pick up the business, jobs and cash flow.
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Careful ma'am. Don't get into the whole "voting against their best interest" mindset the DUmbasses do.
People vote what they want to vote based on what they want to believe. They do it. We do it.
This dumb scrunt is going to **** WI for the next 2 generations.
And you wanna know what?
The surrounding states will happily pick up the business, jobs and cash flow.
True, Tenn. is doing very well it seems.
Here's the latest:
Supreme Court REPORTING 88%
Joanne Kloppenburg 655,325
50%
David Prosser (inc) 650,059
50%
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Joanne Kloppenburg 670,661
50%
David Prosser (inc) 668,985
50%
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whoa
my link shows prosser closing a 35,000 vote gap to only 2,000 vote deficit
Better than a drubbing
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Sgt, WTF is going on with those numbers? now Prosser is only down by less than 2,000 votes?
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Supreme Court REPORTING 92%
Joanne Kloppenburg 684,512
50%
David Prosser (inc) 682,935
50%
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Sgt, WTF is going on with those numbers? now Prosser is only down by less than 2,000 votes?
What can I tell ya, kid; these things fluctuate.
It's all a matter of which political enclave reports at which time.
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Supreme Court REPORTING 92%
David Prosser (inc) 687,274
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 686,683
50%
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Supreme Court REPORTING 93%
David Prosser (inc) 689,201 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 688,802 50%
I'm intrigued.
Now I'm back to hoping for Prosser if for no other reason than to witness the wailing, tooth-gnashing dementia to issue forth in great heaving spasms from the bowels of DU.
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Supreme Court REPORTING 94%
David Prosser (inc) 698,973
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 692,463
50%
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Supreme Court REPORTING 93%
David Prosser (inc) 689,201 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 688,802 50%
I'm intrigued.
Now I'm back to hoping for Prosser if for no other reason than to witness the wailing, tooth-gnashing dementia to issue forth in great heaving spasms from the bowels of DU.
My poor Husband, he just went to the bathroom and I dragged him in to look at these elections results, he doesn't really care but I explained how important this vote is.
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If Prosser wins, naturally it's voter fraud. If Kloppenburg wins, naturally it's the will of the people. :whatever:
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Supreme Court REPORTING 95%
David Prosser (inc) 703,414
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 701,624
50%
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I usually don't swear but if Prosser wins I'm going to say F-ing A!
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Supreme Court REPORTING 97%
David Prosser (inc) 703,675
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 701,760
50%
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If Prosser wins, naturally it's voter fraud. If Kloppenburg wins, naturally it's the will of the people. :whatever:
That, like the race card, has worn thin with the common man.
Prosser needs to win if for no other reason than to demonstrate the political pull of unions in even such dire straits (for them) means nothing. If they can't pull this out why should the dems continue to do their bidding?
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Supreme Court REPORTING 97%
David Prosser (inc) 720,760
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 716,089
50%
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Supreme Court REPORTING 97%
David Prosser (inc) 724,355
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 722,518
50%
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I have to get to bed but I'll take the Android to bed with me LOL.
Here's hoping Prosser wins!