I think this year might be a surprise......the old guard is losing control of the party (they saw the handwriting on the wall last year). Romney may well win in New Hampshire, but then comes the momentum generated by the southern primaries, both SC abd FL, Newt has a commanding lead right now.
It's still early, but I'm not ready to hand over control to the "Old guard" yet.
doc
Yeah, Romney will likely win NH, but it certainly won't be by anywhere near the expected margin. Hell, it is possible he doesn't win at all--he didn't in 2008, and frankly, he MUST pull NH by double-digits to remain a viable candidate. At that point, he's going to get his ass handed to him in SC, Florida, and all but a couple of states (Michigan, Maine) before Super Tuesday. He's going to be seriously struggling against Newt.
Romney needs to win and win decisively in a majority of states prior to Super Tuesday, because that day has states like Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia--states which Romney will NOT win, no way, no how. He needs to come out of ST with significantly more delegates than Newt, or he can take that fork he combs his hair with and stick it in his campaign.