Two Cents on Tonight

[Dark Powers]

     Just my take, and take it as that.

     It looks like the House is lost. It was for the most part expected. To narrow of margins that had to hold. Senate at this point is yet to be decided.

     With that said, this may work out to our advantage in the long run.

     How?

     2028. Going into that election if we held all chambers would work against us. Voters tend to hold the party in power more so responsible than the party that wrecked everything just a few years ago. Voter memory is as short as... oh look a squirrel!

     Back on topic, it shouldn't be hard to guess what the left will now do once they take control over the house. Immediate Impeachments of Sec Hegseth, Pres. Trump and soon followed by most of his cabinet staff and those who serve him. Pointless and very partisan investigation show trials.

     How does this work to our advantage? Voters are sending them back to power to do the work of the people and get cost of living back down. But the left has stated they don't intend to do any of that. Just "Get Trump!" at all cost. This will alienate voters going into 2028 just the same as it did before.

     Going into 2028 least with this will help give our side the excuse of least we spent two years trying to make things better only to have a Dem controlled House opposing everything. And having proof they did nothing when given the chance. This though it is making things harder now, could help make it easier to keep the White House in 2028 and get both chambers back under our control when we'll need it the most.

[ADsOutburst]

Here is one big takeaway of mine: Trump has idiots advising him, and the important GOP candidates from this cycle have idiots advising them and running their campaigns. And the Collins campaign ad dismissing Jackson for his logging background was a self-own. That's exactly the sort of demographic that Trump and other GOP candidates need to appeal to, and they fumbled. Badly.

[Dark Powers]

Exit poll questions  had some insight.

Best issue for Republicans was immigration.  Even liberal voters viewed this low on priority to vote for them.

Best issue for democrats was conflict in Iran. This ranked very high as their priority.

[SSG Snuggle Bunny]

Best issue for democrats was conflict in Iran. This ranked very high as their priority.

This is why I don't care if CA or NY to catch an errant nuke.

[SVPete]

This is why I don't care if CA or NY to catch an errant nuke.

Thanks, Sarge.

[Dark Powers]

Looking over the info.

Might hold Alaska, but right now it's by the finger nail. (Singular) The Dan J trick is minimal, 3,447 votes, but the difference right now is less than 800 votes.

Texas is concerning. Hate to say it but Paxton clearly wasn't the better choice. John Cornyn was the safer bet. Also, every single district in Texas shifted Blue, not one red.

But looking over vote shift maps. States that showed some shift red in any district were almost entirely Liberal states while all Red states showed little if any. The red shift from 2024 undone. Maine showed the most promise with Red shift.

Good read on my point above

https://nypost.com/2026/11/03/opinion/democrats-blue-wave-may-crash-into-a-dead-end/

Edit

Looking at Texas more, Talarico has currently 5,445,121 votes, Harris in 2024 got 4,835,250. Right now the numbers are lining up almost flipped.

[Dark Powers]

What's interesting in this graph, Feb. 28th was the start of the Iran conflict. You can see the impact it had on the elections.

[Old n Grumpy]

I think some of thee problem in Texas is from all the liberals from California who moved there, just like here in Florida we have all the dems who moved here from the north east to escape t he hell holes they created in their states.

[ADsOutburst]

I think some of thee problem in Texas is from all the liberals from California who moved there, just like here in Florida we have all the dems who moved here from the north east to escape t he hell holes they created in their states.

Trump won Texas by double-digits in 2024. I have to think the impact of Californians moving in was minimal at most.

Looking over the info.

Might hold Alaska, but right now it's by the finger nail. (Singular) The Dan J trick is minimal, 3,447 votes, but the difference right now is less than 800 votes.

Texas is concerning. Hate to say it but Paxton clearly wasn't the better choice. John Cornyn was the safer bet. Also, every single district in Texas shifted Blue, not one red.

But looking over vote shift maps. States that showed some shift red in any district were almost entirely Liberal states while all Red states showed little if any. The red shift from 2024 undone. Maine showed the most promise with Red shift.

Good read on my point above

https://nypost.com/2026/11/03/opinion/democrats-blue-wave-may-crash-into-a-dead-end/

Edit

Looking at Texas more, Talarico has currently 5,445,121 votes, Harris in 2024 got 4,835,250. Right now the numbers are lining up almost flipped.

Paxton was a flawed candidate, but the overall political climate was a bigger factor, the one that cost Republicans Ohio, and nearly cost them Florida.

[Dark Powers]

Brown in Ohio was a hard one to beat. If they ran just about anyone else, they would have lost.

Far as Texas, yes migration from Cal did play into it. But Dems saw big gains in the Hispanic vote in Texas.

[SVPete]

Trump won Texas by double-digits in 2024. I have to think the impact of Californians moving in was minimal at most.
...

Blaming California "immigration" is easy laziness. It ASSumes conservatives are not (m)any of those leaving. I've seen enough @#$% like that from Texans that if I do leave California, I won't go to Texas. Too much blind and ignorant hatred - sad, but I'm not going to burn time and energy reversing neighbors' ingrained stereotypes.

And while I'm POing folks (maybe), welcome to fellow conservatives who did NOT get what they voted for, and won't for the next 2 or 4 years. The, "You are getting what you voted for," snark needs to be retired.

[Dark Powers]

And while I'm POing folks (maybe), welcome to fellow conservatives who did NOT get what they voted for, and won't for the next 2 or 4 years. The, "You are getting what you voted for," snark needs to be retired.

I hear you on the snark needs to end. Not helping.

But lets be serious in one thing. It will be 2032 before we have a serious chance to retake the Senate. And likely as long to retake the House. Swings of this magnitude don't happen all that much. 5 - 10 in the House is the norm. We have 25+ currently to retake the House.

With that, for those who didn't have time to read Vance's X post, good read. Couple points that should have been happening.

In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.

https://x.com/jdvance/status/2118004988433641835?s=42

[Dark Powers]

Been looking at Texas more trying to figure out why it turned out so bad for us there, and the more I look, got to say we really may have screwed up pretty bad.

Demographics there is 40% Latino 35% Caucasian, rest mix down. So Latino's make up the majority population there.

Now the legal Latino population supports immigration in general. Illegals hurt their communities just as much as the rest.

But the top two issues to the Latino populations this cycle that caused them to flip almost 20 points for the left was Immigration Enforcement and Cost of living.

It's not to say they want the illegals living there at their expense, but ICE was very aggressive in Southern Texas where it's more Latino. And to be a Legal Latino being forced to carry a Birth Certificate or other proof your a legal citizen on your self and likely harassed on a near daily occurrence would be very frustrating. To put it plainly, we alienated them to the point of voting against us.

This is very concerning as this is largely why we lost California as a reliable Red state back in 1994. We alienated the Latino community.

If we have done and lost Texas. It will be a long time before we retake the WH.

[Old n Grumpy]

I think cost of living is a major issue, but it was the biden administration that brought it with their 19%inflation rate. Lowering the cost of energy should bring it down some, but the reality is it's gotten more expensive to live.

[enslaved1]

https://x.com/realJennaEllis/status/2118328554781835497

I know, not everyone likes twitter links and I don't blame them, but I'll probably forget by the time the podcast is posted.  The first 30 minute segment is a very interesting (IMHO) analysis of where to go next as conservatives and for republicans and Republicans from Steve Deace of the Blaze. 

[Old n Grumpy]

I was listening to Ron Desantis and he blames congress and the senate for not getting more legislation past. That really hurt Trump.

[DefiantSix]

I was listening to Ron Desantis and he blames congress and the senate for not getting more legislation past. That really hurt Trump.

DeSantis isn't the only one who thinks so.

Republicans (the politicians) better pull their heads out of their assholes and recognize what time it is if the Party has any interest in remaining relevant.

[enslaved1]

I was listening to Ron Desantis and he blames congress and the senate for not getting more legislation past. That really hurt Trump.

Republicans Unsure Why Voters Are Mad At Them As They Literally Haven't Done Anything These Past Two Years

There was another one I saw but can't find now, "Republicans happy to lose election so they can talk about what they will do when the get back in power". 

Same things keep happening over and over again.  At least for the next two years, Trump has veto power, as long as enough Rs have some spine left to not reach across the aisle.  The Dems will likely not fulfill any of their promises (affordability, lower gas, Epstein files, impeachments, medicare for all) either.  After the initial shock of Tuesday, the realization is that life continues on, and likely will continue on as usual.