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Author Topic: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?  (Read 4333 times)

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Offline BigTex

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #25 on: September 20, 2012, 12:38:48 PM »
Quote from: GOP Congress on September 20, 2012, 12:04:46 PM
My British associate got the best presidential betting odds on Romney, since it is ILLEGAL for Americans to bet online, as well as to bet on politics (though InTrade seems to get away with this for now).

Bottom line: My associate is betting £8,500 ($13,750) on Romney, getting 3:1 odds (+300). When Romney wins, my associate will renumerate me an undisclosed amount. What is amazing, though, is that most of the other oddsmakers are actually a lot better. Arbitrage betting must be going off the chart, but I frankly think this election won't be close, especially in the swing states. Yes, anything can happen, but right now the mainstream media is keeping the odds skewed.

(Arbitrage betting is when a bettor bets a prorated amount on the underdog with a bookmaker giving the largest odds, and another prorated amount on the favorite with a bookmaker giving the tightest odds; so no matter who wins, the bettor makes a profit).

but what do Las Vegas oddsmakers think?

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Las Vegas Oddsmaker Wayne Allyn Root predicted that Barack Obama will suffer a massive loss in the General Election even though the current polls do not show Obama necessarily losing.  Root stated,

Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas oddsmaker and common sense small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a world-class repudiation of Obama’s radical and risky socialist agenda. It's Reagan-Carter all over again.

Root laid out the rationale for his prediction.  He does have a history of successful political predictions.

Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas oddsmaker with one of the most accurate records of predicting political races.

http://lubbockonline.com/interact/blog-post/may/2012-06-22/las-vegas-oddsmaker-predicts-obama-will-have-landslide-loss#.UFtVI41mSex
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Offline GOP Congress

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #26 on: September 20, 2012, 11:48:28 PM »
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Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats.

I have always maintained that oddsmakers who professionally set up book have a far greater incentive to put out true odds, as they live and die with the vig, or the house take, so they need to make sure they take as much money on balance as possible.
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Offline I_B_Perky

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #27 on: September 21, 2012, 07:39:59 PM »
Quote from: Kyle Ricky on September 19, 2012, 09:26:57 AM
Sheesh, Romney is ahead (as long as you use a legitimate poll). How can they say that?

Hell KR, Reagan was down in the "polls" back when he was running against Carter. We know what happened there.

I look at it this way KR... it makes it that much more fun when they get the ball yanked out from them once again.   :-)

Now it's debatable as to whether the MSM polls help or hurt their cause... which is obozo getting another term. I can see both sides of the argument. Personally I think the MSM is a lot like the dummies. They want x result in any poll and they will make sure they get it. Then when it don't happen they just cannot believe it. The MSM has really lost whatever credibility they had and I think they haven't faced it. Like dummies, they really do not live in reality. Doing the same thing over and over and insanity and all that.

But it sure is fun to watch when things don't go their way!!!!!    :popcorn: :popcorn:
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #28 on: September 21, 2012, 07:42:52 PM »
Quote from: I_B_Perky on September 21, 2012, 07:39:59 PM
Hell KR, Reagan was down in the "polls" back when he was running against Carter. We know what happened there.

I look at it this way KR... it makes it that much more fun when they get the ball yanked out from them once again.   :-)

Now it's debatable as to whether the MSM polls help or hurt their cause... which is obozo getting another term. I can see both sides of the argument. Personally I think the MSM is a lot like the dummies. They want x result in any poll and they will make sure they get it. Then when it don't happen they just cannot believe it. The MSM has really lost whatever credibility they had and I think they haven't faced it. Like dummies, they really do not live in reality. Doing the same thing over and over and insanity and all that.

But it sure is fun to watch when things don't go their way!!!!!    :popcorn: :popcorn:

It is sure going to be fun watch obama go down in flames on November 6th.
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Offline I_B_Perky

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #29 on: September 21, 2012, 07:53:21 PM »
Quote from: Kyle Ricky on September 21, 2012, 07:42:52 PM
It is sure going to be fun watch obama go down in flames on November 6th.

I'd like nothing more than a landslide. Oh now that would be some fun!!!!  I was lurking at CU during the 2002 election and the meltdown was awesome. 

Gotta go buddy. It's my weekend to work and 0-dark-thirty comes early. Have a good weekend.   :cheersmate: :cheersmate:

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Offline Duke Nukum

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #30 on: September 21, 2012, 08:08:13 PM »
They believe a lot of things but they know nothing.

Even after 0bama loses they still will not know he lost but will believe he won.
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #31 on: September 21, 2012, 08:09:46 PM »
Quote from: I_B_Perky on September 21, 2012, 07:53:21 PM
I'd like nothing more than a landslide. Oh now that would be some fun!!!!  I was lurking at CU during the 2002 election and the meltdown was awesome. 

Gotta go buddy. It's my weekend to work and 0-dark-thirty comes early. Have a good weekend.   :cheersmate: :cheersmate:



Like this?



That would be awesome ...

Quote from: Duke Nukum on September 21, 2012, 08:08:13 PM
They believe a lot of things but they know nothing.

Even after 0bama loses they still will not know he lost but will believe he won.

You will be hearing all kinds of things about why he lost. The biggest one being that the racists didn't want him in office.
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Offline franksolich

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #32 on: September 21, 2012, 08:11:17 PM »
Quote from: Duke Nukum on September 21, 2012, 08:08:13 PM
They believe a lot of things but they know nothing.

Even after 0bama loses they still will not know he lost but will believe he won.

Remember when, oh, about 2005, the sparkling old dude ran a campaign to get the primitives to refer to Alphonse Capote Gore as "President Gore"?

He ran with that for a while, but it didn't seem to take hold.
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Offline obumazombie

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #33 on: September 21, 2012, 09:52:56 PM »
To paraphrase "Forrest Gump" from the story by Winston Groom, who paraphrases Herman Melville in "Billy Budd", stoopid is as stoopid does.
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Offline BlueStateSaint

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #34 on: September 22, 2012, 04:14:29 AM »
Quote from: Kyle Ricky on September 21, 2012, 08:09:46 PM
Like this?



That would be awesome ...

You will be hearing all kinds of things about why he lost. The biggest one being that the racists didn't want him in office.

That'll be a bit beyond what even I'd like to see. 
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: Do the DUmmies know they are going to lose in November? Or are they Stoopid?
« Reply #35 on: September 22, 2012, 10:32:27 AM »
Quote from: BlueStateSaint on September 22, 2012, 04:14:29 AM
That'll be a bit beyond what even I'd like to see. 

Can you imagine the reactions of the left if it happen? It would be beautiful .. I mean totally epic...
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