Any predictions on where unemployment will be in November?

[Freeper]

Quixote1818
 
Any predictions on where unemployment will be in November?


How about the economy in general? What is supposed to happen in Europe and how much will that effect us?

I was just looking at the leading economic indicators at Bloomberg and they look pretty good for the most part. http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-04-19/index-of-leading-economic-indicators-in-the-u-dot-s-dot-climbed-0-dot-3-percent

Feel free to give your predictions. Just curious what others are thinking. Thanks

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002597813

The number that gets reported will probably be in the seven range, real unemployment will probably still be over 10%. I can't imagine unemployment dropping significantly while Barry is still in office.

Drunken Irishman
2. 7.9 is my guess...

It's at 8.2 right now, right? It might rise to 8.3 next month, decrease to 8.1 by mid-summer and then dip to 7.9.

My guess is, gas prices will necessarily skyrocket around Memorial day and unemployment will unexpectedly rise shortly after. It's going to be a rough summer.

[NHSparky]

Dear DUmmies...in answer to this and how much will gas cost questions, the answer to both is, "Not low enough to save his sorry ass."

[DefiantSix]

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002597813

The number that gets reported will probably be in the seven range, real unemployment will probably still be over 10%. I can't imagine unemployment dropping significantly while Barry is still in office.

My guess is, gas prices will necessarily skyrocket around Memorial day and unemployment will unexpectedly rise shortly after. It's going to be a rough summer.

My thinking is somewhat similar:  with energy costs "necessarily skyrocketing", the costs - especially of manufactured goods, but to a similar extent across the board - of doing business is going to go through the roof.  I fully expect unemployment to "unexpectedly jump" into the 11% - 12% region before August is done. 

After that, the largest private sector employers will be the ACORN "offshoots" who'll be spending Obamabucks from his stimulus "stash" hand over fist, trying to manufacture the votes Teh ReichsMessiah is gonna need to win re-election.

[miskie]

I'd say much higher than will actually be reported -

Why is it the primitives never refer to the U6 numbers anymore ? They did all the time turning the Bush years..   

[JohnnyReb]

I'd say much higher than will actually be reported -

Why is it the primitives never refer to the U6 numbers anymore ? They did all the time turning the Bush years..   

They will finally stop extending unemployment....the number recieveing will plummet...Obama will claim a giant decrease in unemployment...DUmmies will believe him and vote accordingly.....and get in the back of the soup line.

[jukin]

2.4 million more people permanently off the record and 7.9% from the BlS.

 

[GOP Congress]

Regardless of where the economy is now or in November, how it will be reported will be the bias of the story at the time.

If Obama wins, the economy will pretty much be reported as optimistically as possible. Any bad things will be caused by Congress (of course, those damn Tea Party types), and when the GOP retakes the senate, all of Congress. But the gist of the stories will remain the same.

However, if Romney is elected, then expect the stories on the economy to be reported CORRECTLY. Yes, I said correctly. At THAT time, the press will harp on the "underemployed" and include them in the "Romney-Ryan economy." They will report unemployment (again, correctly) at around 15%, again attributing it to the GOP.

That is a certainty.

[Kyle Ricky]

Regardless of where the economy is now or in November, how it will be reported will be the bias of the story at the time.

If Obama wins, the economy will pretty much be reported as optimistically as possible. Any bad things will be caused by Congress (of course, those damn Tea Party types), and when the GOP retakes the senate, all of Congress. But the gist of the stories will remain the same.

However, if Romney is elected, then expect the stories on the economy to be reported CORRECTLY. Yes, I said correctly. At THAT time, the press will harp on the "underemployed" and include them in the "Romney-Ryan economy." They will report unemployment (again, correctly) at around 15%, again attributing it to the GOP.

That is a certainty.

And you are so right.

[jukin]

And you are so right.

I wouldn't say correctly at all. They will be reported in the most pessimistic ways possible. 

For example, unemployment numbers.

Week 1: Will be estimated at 350k filed.
Week 2: Will be estimated at 340k filed. Week 1 will be lowered to 335K. Headline will read 5k more file for unemployment.
Week 3: Will be estimated at 330k filed. Week 2 will be lowered to 320K. Headline will read 10k more file for unemployment.

Jane Q. Public will think that unemployment is going up every week when it has actually gone down.  This was done during Bush and the exact opposite is done now for 0.

0bama unemployment numbers.
Week 1: Will be estimated at 350k filed.
Week 2: Will be estimated at 360k filed. Week 1 will be raised to 365K. Headline will read 5k less file for unemployment.
Week 3: Will be estimated at 370k filed. Week 2 will be raised to 380K. Headline will read 10k less file for unemployment.

This is a built in doubling the propaganda for failure.

When the media plays for the other team it will always be just a propaganda machine. We need our own propaganda machines to combat the communist's ones. Breitbart is spot on with we need to change the media and get some control in pop culture. If we do, there will probably not be a single democrat elected to major office.

[Ogre]

Dear DUmmies...in answer to this and how much will gas cost questions, the answer to both is, "Not low enough to save his sorry ass."

Not that the Dems would ever massage the numbers to make the "O" look better would they?

[Freeper]

Not that the Dems would ever massage the numbers to make the "O" look better would they?

No, just like they would never cut and splice audio to make Zimmerman look like a racist. 

[delilahmused]

What the left forgets is that people can be convinced the economy is getting worse (if they don't feel it they have enough compassion to think maybe their neighbors are suffering) but the can't be convinced it's getting better just because 0bama and the left tries to convince them. As long as everyone is feeling the pain, they can come up with whatever statistics and rhetoric they want. Won't matter.  And people remember who's been in charge during the biggest decline regardless of how much they try to place the blame elsewhere.

Cindie

[obumazombie]

Here is how libs skew atrocious numbers. Take gas prices for example. The owebumaManiaMedia says next to nothing as gas prices escalate, but if they go down one penny, it's 4th of july time. The same will be applied to unemployment.

[diesel driver]

Unemployment numbers and gas prices will be too high to get Barry a second term.  He's done.



http://www.electstevedawes.com

[obumazombie]

Unemployment numbers and gas prices will be too high to get Barry a second term.  He's done.



http://www.electstevedawes.com

Stick a fork in him ? And no, I don't mean Bo.

[DefiantSix]

Unemployment numbers and gas prices will be too high to get Barry a second term.  He's done.



http://www.electstevedawes.com

More to the point, if he has been holding back just to bring gas prices and unemployment numbers down around September or October, hopefully, Americans will have enough presence of mind to ask the question "Where the **** was this 2-1/2, 3 years ago", and still hand his sorry ass a pink slip.

Unfortunately, that "hopefully" up there is a wiggle word I just can't get rid of, because I've seen all to often just how mayfly brief America's political memory really is.