DUmmies discuss their membership numbers

[Ralph Wiggum]

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x3254846

sinkingfeeling(1000+ posts)
Wed May-07-08 10:02 AM
Original message
Did anybody notice we now have over 120,000 registered DUers?

coriolis  (397 posts)
Wed May-07-08 10:04 AM
Response to Original message
1. That's a total since it was started and includes all TSd and inactive members.
   
There are about 3000 active.

rurallib  Donating Member  (1000+ posts)
Wed May-07-08 10:06 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Really? The number has gone up dramatically since I joined
   
I am curious how you come up with a number of 3000? Is there a place one can get that?

coriolis  (397 posts)
Wed May-07-08 10:22 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. I forget who it was, a year or so ago someone wrote a program or script that
   
looked through the posts and totaled up all unique names for something like 6 months. It showed that something like 80% of posts were made by 5% of members...something in that ballpark.

seriousstan (1000+ posts)
Wed May-07-08 10:19 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. I think the number of unique posters is more around 5K.
   
I would put lurkers at 10K.

I just happened to be browsing one of the DUmmy loser off-shoot sites, and found this gem from our old buddy, Truth-Is-All:

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=202&topic_id=8113

Reply #6: Here is how you can easily determine the number of active DUers.
TruthIsAll    Moderator
Member since Sep 14th 2005
803 posts
Sat May-03-08 09:04 AM
In response to Original Post

Edited by TruthIsAll on Sat May-03-08 09:20 AM

To calculate the approximate number of active members (posters)

For each of the 6-8 largest forums which make up 90% of the total posts:
1)Sort by name.
2)Add the unique names in screens 1-20.
3)Eliminate duplicates if they have posted in more than one forum.

The result should be approximately 90% of the total active members.

Example
-------
For the 6 largest forums:
Assume an average of 15 unique names per screen.

For 20 screens, we have 15*20=300 unique names.
For 6 forums, we have 6*300=1800 names.

Eliminate 100 members who post on more than one forum.
There are 1700 active members based on the largest 6 forums.
Add 10% of members who post on smaller forums:

Approximately 1870= 1700+170 active members.

There may be as many as 10,000 or more members who lurk, but never post.
How can we estimate the number of lurkers?
Any thoughts?

Since BadCat can accurately peg the active membership with the DUmp Diver, we know that there are between 4500 and 5250 active DUmmies.  If this dumb-ass can't figure this correctly, why should we believe his guarantees that Kerry and Gore both won by millions of votes in '04 & '00?

[franksolich]

The next time BadCat runs the DUmpDiver, I want to use his numbers as a DUmmie ALERT! in P-J Comix's most-excellent DUmmie FUnnies.

The census of the primitives the last time he did it was circa 5,000, the highest population ever on Skins's island. 

This of course is due to this being an election year.

I suspect the census has increased somewhat, to perhaps circa 5200 primitives.

[jtyangel]

I always enjoy watching them take on something that requires some technical or analytical knowledge. 

[Chris_]

Since BadCat can accurately peg the active membership with the DUmp Diver, we know that there are between 4500 and 5250 active DUmmies.  If this dumb-ass can't figure this correctly, why should we believe his guarantees that Kerry and Gore both won by millions of votes in '04 & '00?

He's using the same convoluted, brain-damaged formula for all three.

TIA should be banned from doing any sort of math at all.  He's completely useless. 

[stickyboot]

I always enjoy watching them take on something that requires some technical or analytical knowledge. 

That's always fun when you add it to the fundamentally fact-challenged base there.

[miskie]

The next time BadCat runs the DUmpDiver, I want to use his numbers as a DUmmie ALERT! in P-J Comix's most-excellent DUmmie FUnnies.

The census of the primitives the last time he did it was circa 5,000, the highest population ever on Skins's island. 

This of course is due to this being an election year.

I suspect the census has increased somewhat, to perhaps circa 5200 primitives.

From reading the threads at DU, I suspect a run now would produce artificially inflated numbers. The most extreme Hillary/Obama partisans (well, mostly Hillary) keep getting Granite and returning shortly thereafter over and over again to praise their Democrat Savior while cursing the other.