Author Topic: Investors Bolt Mexico as Peso Enters Free Fall Concerns about Trump's trade  (Read 1006 times)

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Offline HAPPY2BME

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Investors Bolt Mexico as Peso Enters Free Fall Concerns about impact of Trump’s trade policies build

Global investors are fleeing Mexico’s financial markets, sending the peso to record lows on mounting concerns that Donald Trump’s trade policy could end the country’s privileged status among developing countries.

The peso on Wednesday tumbled to another all-time low against the dollar as Mr. Trump pledged to change U.S. trade policy with Mexico. “Mexico has taken advantage of the United States,” he said during his press conference. “It’s not going to happen anymore.”

The Mexican currency weakened 0.3%—at 21.8609 from 21.8009 late Tuesday—again frustrating Mexican central-bank efforts to slow the currency’s decline. Bank officials said Tuesday that they spent $2 billion last week to prop up the peso, which has weakened 16% against the dollar since the U.S. election.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/investors-bolt-mexico-as-peso-enters-free-fall-1484130602

Offline SVPete

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Consider, compoanies with plans to locate or grow in Mexico changed their plans based on promises from candidate and President-elect Trump. Except for those that involve executive orders undoing @#$% done by Obama's (and previous Presidents') EOs, many of those promises may not become reality. Why would campaign promises be a tipping point for 10s (maybe 100s, if the trend grows) of millions of $$ of investments?

My opinion is that it has a lot to do with Mexico's social climate and the business climate in the US. Decades of anti- business regs - legislation, bureaucrat-written, and EO - have made the business climate in the US hostile and uncertain (uncertainty = risk, especially when the core of the uncertainty is bureaucrats' caprice). Mexico's government, for several decades, allowed drug and people smugglers significant freedom to move drugs and people into the US, thinking the Yankees would be the ones hurt. Well, they've learned better in recent years, as the criminal gangs settled into Mexican society and made Mexico a very dangerous place for honest Mexican people.

IOW, among all the various factors weighed in a move-don't move decision, the improvements Trump certainly can deliver made the dangers of Mexico and other negatives, in balance, significant enough that staying in the US became the less risky choice. Using a balance scale as a metaphor, Trump takes enough negatives out of the US "pan" to change to balance (and consequent decision).
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