People see through the bullshit, dems could lose in November.

[DumbAss Tanker]

No, he said likely. Meaning people who could vote, but from what he said wouldn't. He said that the registered voters poll has them tied. Unless I misunderstood what he said, which is quite possible.

I did some more looking last night for the comparison between now and 1980. The polls then were way off. So I am not following anymore polls this year until after the elections. As they could be way off as well.

I'm afraid you misunderstood me, my point was that the "Likely voters" poll was the important one, and it showed Romney a point up.  Most of the polls that show Obama with a substantial lead are just "Registered voters" polls, which are garbage, since only one-third to two-thirds of the merely-registered voters will actually end up casting a ballot.

[NHSparky]

I'm afraid you misunderstood me, my point was that the "Likely voters" poll was the important one, and it showed Romney a point up.  Most of the polls that show Obama with a substantial lead are just "Registered voters" polls, which are garbage, since only one-third to two-thirds of the merely-registered voters will actually end up casting a ballot.

And a few other points--a lot of other polls are also showing adults, they're telephone polls (landline, not cell), and a lot of these polls are conducted during the week.

Draw your own conclusions from there.

[Kyle Ricky]

I'm afraid you misunderstood me, my point was that the "Likely voters" poll was the important one, and it showed Romney a point up.  Most of the polls that show Obama with a substantial lead are just "Registered voters" polls, which are garbage, since only one-third to two-thirds of the merely-registered voters will actually end up casting a ballot.

And a few other points--a lot of other polls are also showing adults, they're telephone polls (landline, not cell), and a lot of these polls are conducted during the week.

Draw your own conclusions from there.

I must have the likely voters and registered voters confused then. I thought likely voters were people who probably wouldn't vote, and registered voters are the ones that would.

[DumbAss Tanker]

I must have the likely voters and registered voters confused then. I thought likely voters were people who probably wouldn't vote, and registered voters are the ones that would.

Yep, you have it turned around.  "Likely voters" is a subset of "Registered voters," consisting of those who are not only registered but who are also more likely to actually vote based on having actually shown up to vote in recent previous elections, based on precinct records.

[98ZJUSMC]

Yep and that was with +6 democrat party advantage. Reminder donks ended the wave of 08 at +7.

The 0bama negative ads against Romney started last night in KALIFORNIA!  This is July 18th and 0bama is spending money on ads out here in the solid moonbat state of kalifornia. The internals must look awful. Still sticking with Romney 356/182 and 54/45.  What was purple will be red. What was light blue will be red. What was deep blue will be purple. It will be a great Tuesday night.

Stop it.  You're giving me a Schadenboner.

If you say "retake the Senate with a filibuster-proof majority", I will quickly need a cigarette.

 

H5