http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5755601Oh my.
The skimpy leotards sub-primitive:
lynyrd_skynyrd (1000+ posts) Wed Apr-30-08 05:03 PM
Original message
Why can't Obama close the deal?
Warning, Hillary loyalists, I'm about to bombard you with some cold, hard, numbers.
The following is the list of states (and other contests) that Clinton won by 10% or more.
Primaries
Arkansas - 44%
Oklahoma - 24%
Rhode Island - 18%
New York - 17%
Massachusetts - 16%
Tennessee - 13%
New Jersey - 10%
Ohio - 10%
Pennsylvania - 10% (Because I'm generous)
Caucuses
American Samoa - 15%
The following is the list of states (and other contests) that Obama won by 10% or more.
Primaries
D.C. - 51%
Georgia - 35%
Democrats Abroad - 34%
Illinois - 32%
Virginia - 29%
South Carolina - 28%
Maryland - 25%
Louisiana - 24%
Mississippi - 24%
Vermont - 20%
Utah - 18%
Wisconsin - 17%
Alabama - 14%
Delaware - 11%
Caucuses
Idaho - 63%
Hawaii - 52%
Alaska - 50%
Kansas - 48%
Washington - 37%
Nebraska - 36%
Colorado - 35%
Minnesota - 34%
North Dakota - 24%
Wyoming - 23%
Maine - 20%
Texas - 12%
Other
U.S. Virgin Islands - 84%
The rest of the contests (such as California, the Texas primary, and Missouri, for example) were won by either Clinton or Obama by less than 10% and are not being discussed here. (And no, I'm not including Florida or Michigan, because they don't count).
Some facts:
Non weighted average winning margin for contests Clinton won by 10% or more
14.28%
Non weighted average winning margin for contests Obama won by 10% or more
32.59%
Largest margin won by Clinton
Arkansas - 44%
Largest margin won by Obama
Idaho - 63% (I'm not counting U.S. Virgin Islands, because I'm nice).
Total number of contests won by Clinton by 10% or more
10
Total number of contests won by Obama by 10% or more
27
Number of primary contests won by Clinton by 10% or more
9
Number of primary contests won by Obama by 10% or more
14
Number of caucus contests won by Clinton by 10% or more
1
Number of caucus contests won by Obama by 10% or more
12
Northeast states won by Clinton by 10% or more
6
Northeast states won by Obama by 10% or more
3
Midwest states won by Clinton by 10% or more
1
Midwest states won by Obama by 10% or more
10
Southern states won by Clinton by 10% or more
2
Southern states won by Obama by 10% or more
8
Other states not mentioned above won by Clinton by 10% or more
1 (American Samoa)
Other states not mentioned above won by Obama by 10% or more
6 (Democrats Abroad, D.C., Alaska, Washington, Hawaii, U.S. Virgin Islands)
Why can't Obama close the deal? I think the question you ought to be asking is why can't Clinton take a hint.
Well, franksolich can answer why the deal's not closed.
Messalina Agrippina's carried many states the Democrat candidate for president can reasonably expect to win in November 2008.
And Barry "Goldwater" Obama's expected to carry places like Nebraska, Idaho, Utah. Alaska, Kansas, Wyoming, &c., &c., &c., where he won primaries and caucuses?
Dream on.
