The Conservative Cave
Current Events => The DUmpster => Topic started by: Carl on April 17, 2014, 11:12:57 AM
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http://www.democraticunderground.com/10024830667
Wed Apr 16, 2014, 04:30 PM
Star Member babylonsister (146,852 posts)
Democrats Surging As Latest Poll Shows Them Up 6 Points On GOP In Midterm House Race
:blah: :blah: :blah:
They are so excited!
Response to babylonsister (Original post)
Wed Apr 16, 2014, 04:32 PM
MADem (99,529 posts)
1. Yes, yes, and yes--kick and REC!!! nt
Response to babylonsister (Original post)
Wed Apr 16, 2014, 04:37 PM
Star Member tridim (43,407 posts)
4. I want an historic blowout
We can have it if we focus. GOTV!
Response to babylonsister (Original post)
Wed Apr 16, 2014, 04:48 PM
Star Member JI7 (45,439 posts)
7. OBAMACARE
Response to babylonsister (Original post)
Wed Apr 16, 2014, 05:43 PM
Star Member Auntie Bush (16,807 posts)
30. It's about time! I don't see how Rethugs can win when they hate women,
immigrants, blacks and young people. There can't be that many old, gray white men and women. It befuddles the mind!
Response to babylonsister (Original post)
Thu Apr 17, 2014, 06:55 AM
Star Member Motown_Johnny (16,813 posts)
65. (D)s won more votes for the House last time too.
The Gerrymandering of the districts allow the (R)s to have fewer people vote for them and still win more seats.
Not that this poll is a bad thing, but it is so general as to be without meaning. The very fact that it is registered voters and not likely voters in a mid term is very telling.
I just hope we pick up a few seats and hold the Senate. If it looks like a status quo election then we are in good shape for 2016.
Response to babylonsister (Original post)
Thu Apr 17, 2014, 11:58 AM
DesMoinesDem (864 posts)
77. Almost the exact same results as a week before the 2010 election. Not good.
October 28, 2010 by Marist Poll
According to this McClatchy-Marist Poll, 47% of registered voters nationwide report they are more likely to vote for a Democrat in their district while 41% say they are more likely to support a Republican. Six percent do not plan to vote for either party’s candidate, and 6% are undecided.
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/1028-turnout-key-for-midterm-elections/
More from the 2010 poll: Independents support Democrats 41% compared with 38% for Republicans. Moderates support Democrats 51% compared with 32% for Republicans.
The numbers are almost the exact same.
Whoops...and at that the thread dies. :lol:
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30. It's about time! I don't see how Rethugs can win when they hate women,
immigrants, blacks and young people. There can't be that many old, gray white men and women. It befuddles the mind!
Conservatives like immigrants, legal ones, not criminals.
Conservatives like blacks. Provide them with education and job opportunities, not handouts to keep them poor and stupid.
Young people are turning conservative, more and more. Obama screwed them with health care and by taking over college loans. The fed is going to make a killing off of student loans.
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Savannahmann (2,512 posts)
78. Then why are we still losing the individual races?
Look, I'm a sucker for good news as much as the next guy. But the fact is that the polling on individual races shows Democrats losing.
We'll start with the House shall we? Right now, the polling shows the Rethugs holding the House. So while we are popular as a party, apparently our candidates are not popular.
Let's look at the Senate. Many here underestimate how dangerous this election is for us. They're already talking about who to choose for 2016. Right now, the polling has it at 46 seats for the Dems, 47 for the Rethugs with 7 toss ups. That means whoever wins 4 of the tossups, wins the Senate. If you give the tossup to the current polling leader, the Rethugs win 51 to 49.
Now, we can't blame gerrymandering for that, because those are statewide races. Races in which Democrats held the seat are already so far gone as to be next to hopeless. We're down to hoping for a Hail Mary type of event to rescue the South Dakota and Montana Senate Seats.
Perhaps our party popularity will help us in the Governs races. Perhaps we're going to get big gains there? Not according to the polling we're not.
So the best that can be said is that people appear to prefer the Democratic Party, but don't like actual Democrat Politicians.
We read and comment on many posts on this board about Wendy Davis. There have been complaints that Abbot isn't even trying to go out and woo the public. The reason is he's in the lead. All he can do by going out is screw it up. By keeping the appearances to carefully scripted and controlled events he will win the Governor's Mansion in Texas.
Many times in the past I pointed out our strategy was ill conceived as a political party for the elections. Our success depended entirely upon the Rethugs screwing up. While that has happened in the past, it rarely happens often enough for it to be your big hope. This is the result. This is the result of your entire plan being based upon the opponent self destructing.
So lead the bleachers in rousing cheers about how we're going to win the big homecoming game. In the mean time, the other side is determined and working at winning the actual game, and their plans appear to be working better than our plans. Unless your idea of victory is this one poll, in which case yes, we won. Now, what kind of legislation do you think is going to come out of the Rethug Senate? I personally shudder to think what the Ryan budget will look like after being passed by such a body.
But we're popular, as a group. But when it comes to actually liking us enough to vote for us, not so much.
Don't be hashing the mellow, Savannahdude!
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Excellent, another thread to drag back this coming November. :yahoo:
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Was Diebold bought out by a DemocRat???? :wink:
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Excellent, another thread to drag back this coming November. :yahoo:
Not only that but sometime before the election we need to remember to start a thread where we name the all the lame excuses that will be given by the primitives and rank them according the frequency we believe they use them.
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This survey of 1,212 adults was conducted April 7th through April 10th, 2014 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with the McClatchy News Service. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the continental United States were interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the nation from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. The two samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 Census results for age, gender, income, race, and region. Respondents in the household were selected by asking for the youngest male. Results are statistically significant within ±2.8 percentage points. There are 1,036 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.0 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.
Also: D 49%, R 41%
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Also: D 49%, R 41%
That's how a lot of unfavorable polls were discounted leading up to the 2012 election.
Problem is, most of those unfavorable polls turned out to be very accurate and the Kenyan was re-elected.
Of course, having a magical Negro messiah on the ticket distorted things, and that won't be the case this time, plus it's an off-year.
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James Carville used to brag about dragging a $100.00 bill through a mobile home court. Let's try the same thing with a ballot dragged through a graveyard.
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(http://www.examiner.com/images/blog/wysiwyg/image/communist-party-poster.jpg)
I found the perfect GOTV poster for the DUmp.
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(http://www.examiner.com/images/blog/wysiwyg/image/communist-party-poster.jpg)
I found the perfect GOTV poster for the DUmp.
Jay Carney has that hanging in his kitchen.
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The People's Cube revised them some:
(http://tpc.pc2.netdna-cdn.com/images/Carney_Posters_Obama_Double.png)
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The People's Cube revised them some:
That place is a hoot.
There are few commenters so sharp, they make a razor look like a bread knife. :yahoo:
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Hey DUmbasses...how do you like this poll?
Poll: Hillary Clinton’s numbers worst since 2008, as GOP brand surges (http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2014/04/17/poll-hillary-clintons-numbers-worst-since-2008-as-gop-brand-surges/)
:lol:
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Jay Carney has that hanging in his kitchen.
Were any children's fingers harmed in the hanging of the posters, or was that limited to the bookcase?
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Were any children's fingers harmed in the hanging of the posters, or was that limited to the bookcase?
That sycophant could have his trouser zipper open, and nothing would hang out.
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Polls are only as good as the information and the pollster putting them out. The only thing that matter is what is counted on Voting day and even that isn't 100% true anymore.
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If dims win, it will be because of a mudslide not a landslide.
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Polls are only as good as the information and the pollster putting them out. The only thing that matter is what is counted on Voting day and even that isn't 100% true anymore.
Almost all polling I have seen from the owebumaManiaMedia is push polling. The poll reveals a predetermined outcome. To wit, libs are great and conservatives suck.
That combined with the liberal slant of the lamestream media is worth 5 to 10 points on election day. More than enough to push nobody or a weak lib candidate over the top like the community organizer.