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Current Events => The DUmpster => Topic started by: Karin on October 30, 2012, 02:45:58 PM

Title: A Blast from the Past
Post by: Karin on October 30, 2012, 02:45:58 PM: Oh my God!

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Tue Oct 30, 2012, 03:24 PM
questionseverything (27 posts)

Like this: Charnin Election Model: Obama has 306 expected EV; 97% win probability
http://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/

boy i hope this model is right..i am seriously scared of the romney/ryans of the world

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Logical (5,898 posts)
1. Who is this person?

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Response to Logical (Reply #1)
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 03:28 PM
slackmaster (56,404 posts)
3. Richard Charnin is a mathematician who was banned from DU2 years ago

His handle was TruthIsAll.

:rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

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Response to slackmaster (Reply #3)
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 03:31 PM
BlueCaliDem (3,643 posts)
6. Why was TruthIsAll banned??

He was one of the best mathematician on DU.

He had the latest version of Excel!!!!!

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Response to questionseverything (Original post)
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 03:32 PM
RomneyLies (585 posts)
7. I read a bit of your link

It makes me think I don't have enough tinfoil.
:lmao:

DUmp Link (http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021670386)
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: Texacon on October 30, 2012, 02:48:55 PM: :lmao:

^5!!

That is too funny!

KC
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: Chris_ on October 30, 2012, 02:53:13 PM: ha ha ha ha

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Tue Oct 30, 2012, 03:31 PM
BlueCaliDem (3,644 posts)
6. Why was TruthIsAll banned??

He was one of the best mathematician on DU.

Response to BlueCaliDem (Reply #6)
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 03:39 PM
slackmaster (56,404 posts)
10. He was banned for the way he dealt with a bad case of constipation IIRC

He worked it out with a pencil.
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: Texacon on October 30, 2012, 02:54:46 PM: I just went to the thread ....so we're supposed to believe that a DUmmie with less than 30 posts 'somehow' found an old DUer's web site and mysteriously they are both interested in vote counting. To top all that off the banned TruthIsAll has a follower with the user name of questionseverything ....

:rotf:

KC
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: Chris_ on October 30, 2012, 02:58:19 PM: TIA has a bunch of threads at the late Old Elm Tree site. I don't know if it's still around.
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: 98ZJUSMC on October 30, 2012, 03:07:59 PM: Quote from: Chris_ on October 30, 2012, 02:58:19 PM
TIA has a bunch of threads at the late Old Elm Tree site. I don't know if it's still around.

I remember that place. Intrigued, I Bing'd. Still there.
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: jukin on October 30, 2012, 03:55:05 PM: Great find and questioneverything, a gracious hat tip!
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: miskie on October 30, 2012, 04:23:53 PM: Ah, TIA - numerical Quackery at its finest.

If Paul Ryan is the 'Math Witch' - certainly TIA must be the 'Math Alchemist'.
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: miskie on October 30, 2012, 04:40:11 PM: A reminder -- there was a time when TIA disregarded the very pollsters he is using now, as he takes his base data from RCP.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x837238

Quote from: TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Sat Sep-18-04 02:50 PM
Original message

PROOF OF COLLUSION: TRUST THE INDY POLLSTERS, TOSS THE WHORES!

Edited on Sat Sep-18-04 03:12 PM by TruthIsAll

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Trust the indies, toss the whores.

KMA is Kerry's moving average in the last 3 polls.

Corporate pollsters:
Bush: 49.33, Kerry 44.89
Kerry trend is down

Independent pollsters:
Kerry:46.33, Bush 46.44
Kerry trend is up


Date   Poll   Kerry   Bush   Diff   KMA   BMA

Corporate
824   LAT   46   49   -3   46.00   49.00
825   NBC   45   47   -2   45.50   48.00
829   ABC   49   48   1   46.67   48.00
902   TIME   42   50   -8   45.33   48.33
908   FOX   45   47   -2   43.67   49.67
910   NWK   45   50   -5   44.67   49.67
910   AP   46   51   -5   45.33   49.33
916   CBS   42   50   -8   44.33   50.33
916   CNN   44   52   -8   45.00   50.00

AVG      44.89   49.33   -4.44   45.17   49.15

Independent
722   QPAC   46   43   3   45.44   46.17
901   ARG   48   46   2   47.00   44.50
906   ECON   45   46   -1   46.33   45.00
909   ZOGBY   45   47   -2   46.00   46.33
912   ICR   45   49   -4   45.00   47.33
913   IBD   46   44   2   45.33   46.67
913   HARR   48   47   1   46.33   46.67
914   DEMC   48   49   -1   47.33   46.67
914   PEW   46   47   -1   47.33   47.67

AVG      46.33   46.44   -0.11   46.23   46.33

I wonder what happened to change his mind ?
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: Freeper on October 30, 2012, 05:50:05 PM: They are truly idiots.
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: BlueStateSaint on October 30, 2012, 06:29:50 PM: Quote from: miskie on October 30, 2012, 04:23:53 PM
Ah, TIA - numerical Quackery at its finest.

If Paul Ryan is the 'Math Witch' - certainly TIA must be the 'Math Alchemist'.

TIA is the 'Math DUnce.'
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: Big Don on October 30, 2012, 09:28:55 PM: Quote
He was banned for the way he dealt with a bad case of constipation IIRC

He worked it out with a pencil.
You know what? That is funny
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: Tucker on October 30, 2012, 09:40:45 PM: Quote from: Chris_ on October 30, 2012, 02:58:19 PM
TIA has a bunch of threads at the late Old Elm Tree site. I don't know if it's still around.

He was really hard to read.

He needs professional help.
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: BlueStateSaint on October 31, 2012, 04:30:29 AM: Quote from: Tucker on October 30, 2012, 09:40:45 PM
He was really hard to read.

He needs professional help.

Which can only be administered at 800 fps, in 230-grain doses.
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: ScubaGuy on October 31, 2012, 07:45:39 AM: Quote from: jukin on October 30, 2012, 03:55:05 PM
Great find and questioneverything, a gracious hat tip!

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questionseverything (32 posts)
20. so show us the math that refutes this

View profile
3) In the 1988-2008 presidential elections, 226 of 274 exit polls red-shifted to the Republicans. Only about 137 would normally be expected to red-shift. The probability is zero.
4) 126 of the 274 exit polls exceeded the margin of error. Only 14 (5%) would normally be expected. The probability is ZERO.
5) 123 of the 126 exit polls that exceeded the margin of error red-shifted to the Republicans. The probability is ZERO.

My guess: questionseverything =TIA V2 :rofl:
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: FiddyBeowulf on October 31, 2012, 07:52:53 AM: Quote from: miskie on October 30, 2012, 04:23:53 PM
Ah, TIA - numerical Quackery at its finest.

If Paul Ryan is the 'Math Witch' - certainly TIA must be the 'Math Alchemist'.
TIA is a flying 'math monkey'.
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: GOBUCKS on October 31, 2012, 11:23:42 AM: Quote
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 03:31 PM
BlueCaliDem (3,643 posts)
6. Why was TruthIsAll banned??

He was one of the best mathematician on DU.
That's like being the best Baptist minister in Somalia.

DUmmy TIA was tombstoned for being too loony even even for the DUmp.

Sometimes these nuts get so insane they embarrass Skimmer.
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: DumbAss Tanker on October 31, 2012, 11:55:58 AM: "One of our best mathematicians" on DU...

:rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf:

Sorry, couldn't hold it in. That's like being the tallest midget, or tastiest barf, or something. TIA was and is crazy as Hell, OCD wrapped in paranoid delusions painted deepest Blue. His prognostications are a sure sign that some tiny remaining rational fragment of his mind recognizes that things are turning to suckage for Obama.
Title: Re: A Blast from the Past
Post by: BlueStateSaint on October 31, 2012, 01:22:17 PM: Quote from: DumbAss Tanker on October 31, 2012, 11:55:58 AM
"One of our best mathematicians" on DU...

:rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf:

Sorry, couldn't hold it in. That's like being the tallest midget, or tastiest barf, or something. TIA was and is crazy as Hell, OCD wrapped in paranoid delusions painted deepest Blue. His prognostications are a sure sign that some tiny remaining rational fragment of his mind recognizes that things are turning to suckage for Obama.

I LOLed at that! H5!