ObaMania (2,037 posts)
Romney up by 6 in latest Gallup poll
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/18/mitt-romney-gallup-poll_n_1979318.html?ref=@pollster&icid=maing-grid7|main5|dl1|sec1_lnk2%26pLid%3D222030
With 19 days left before election? We are truly fu@ked.
The Velveteen Ocelot (32,770 posts)
1. Have you been paying attention here? Gallup is a total outlier
that oversamples Southern Republicans?
AverageJoe90 (2,690 posts)
7. Shoddy polling just like Pew did a couple weeks back.
*******. Don't think it's a conspiracy but HOLY ****, this is getting annoying.
Cali_Democrat (12,878 posts)
4. You need to read DU more before you post.
SMH
Cattledog (721 posts)
8. The Mainstream Media will promote this!
This is not good news.
I just looked, as something seemed off in the primitive post.
Gallup has Romney 52%, Barack Milhous 45%.
Isn't that seven points, rather than six?
Or is my arithmetic off?
There's only 1 poll that matters...
...the election day exit polling.
..needless to say,the party broke upthe post went *poof*..
..needless to say,the party broke upthe post went *poof*..
Whoa.
You're right; it evaporated.
Well now. If they can't handle 6 points, then they are truly children.
CC didn't disappear threads in the 08 election. But then we don't build foundations upon the "It was all stolen!" theme. DUmmies are really setting themselves up for a fall this time. Didn't California pass a law that their electoral votes automatically go to the winner of the popular vote? That means the state will vote for BamBam, and Romney gets an even BIGGER tally.
This is gonna be fun. The screaming, the protests, the occupiers mass pooping in fear, the Guy Fawkes masks spontaneously bursting in flame....I took November 7th off...just to savor the despair.
Just out of curiousity, who determines where exit polls are conducted?
I can't get over the feeling that locations are choosen for the purpose of advancing the polsters own views.
Even an honest poll wouldn't reflect the truth.
Conservatives tend to be a bit more private, and the libs are just plain mouthy.
I wouldn't trust an exit poll anymore than I would trust the government with my money.
Updated Daily: Presidential True Vote/Election Fraud Forecast Model
17
OCT
Updated Daily: Presidential True Vote/Election Fraud Forecast Model
Richard Charnin
The 2012 Presidential True Vote and Monte Carlo Simulation Forecast Model is updated on a daily basis. The election is assumed to be held on the latest poll date. Link to this post for the daily update summary. This worksheet contains the weekly polling trend analysis.
The source of the polling data is the Real Clear Politics (RCP) website. The simulation uses the latest state polls. Recorded 2008 vote shares are used for states which have not yet been polled.
10/18/2012
Obama has 297 expected electoral votes and a 87.6% win probability (438 of 500 simulated elections).
He leads the state polls by 48.1-45.9%.
He leads in 12 of 17 Battleground states by 48-46% with 122 of 198 EV.
Romney leads the RCP National Poll average by 47.7-46.7%.
The True Vote Model indicates that Obama would have 54.5% and 358 expected EV in a fraud-free election. Will he be able to overcome the systemic fraud factor?
So who's gonna hack DU with the "All Your White House Are Belong To Us" like they did with the 2002 midterms and Senate?Maybe those mysterious "Friends of Steve Dawes?"
Nobody trusts them but Richard Charnin, who uses entirely inappropriate mathematical simulations to prove every election won by a Republican has been 'stolen'.
He is absolutely insane. Need proof ? http://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/
I wonder when he'll discover the truth:To good to pass up. :lmao:
There are no real "average Republican people". The Republican Party is secretively just the 100 richest guys in the country and no one else. How do they pull off the appearance of being half of the country? Easy:
1) Any post you see online from someone claiming to be a Republican is just random words from a secret computer in a remote Siberian hut. Must be Peggy. :-)
2) if you see a Republican bumper sticker or yard sign, be advised that it is a sophisticated digital optical illusion. The car or home owner is not aware that their Obama/Biden material is being secretly altered by Karl Rove from his Austin, TX lair.
3) all of those delegates at the republican convention? They were just average people picked up off the street and hypnotized into thinking they were watching a basketball game. Think about it. Why else would it be held at an arena? These bastards are good.
Well now. If they can't handle 6 points, then they are truly children.
CC didn't disappear threads in the 08 election. But then we don't build foundations upon the "It was all stolen!" theme. DUmmies are really setting themselves up for a fall this time. Didn't California pass a law that their electoral votes automatically go to the winner of the popular vote? That means the state will vote for BamBam, and Romney gets an even BIGGER tally.
This is gonna be fun. The screaming, the protests, the occupiers mass pooping in fear, the Guy Fawkes masks spontaneously bursting in flame....I took November 7th off...just to savor the despair.
PublicPolicyPolling â€@ppppolls
Our Iowa poll tomorrow is going to be a whole lot better for Romney than the NBC one tonight
DRUDGE REPORT DRUDGE REPORT â€@DRUDGE_REPORT
PA SHOCK POLL: ROMNEY PULLS AHEAD BY 4 POINTS...
Is this true? Does CA actually give their EC votes to the winner of the national popular vote?I think he means the CA, popular vote.
O might not break triple digits...
Is this true? Does CA actually give their EC votes to the winner of the national popular vote?
O might not break triple digits...
Is this true? Does CA actually give their EC votes to the winner of the national popular vote?
O might not break triple digits...
The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) is an agreement among several U.S. states. States passing this interstate compact have agreed to replace their current rules regarding the apportionment of presidential electors with rules guaranteeing the election of the presidential candidate with the most popular votes in all fifty states and Washington, D.C. The agreement is to go into effect only when the participating states that have joined the compact together have an absolute majority in the Electoral College. In the subsequent presidential election, the participating states would award all their electoral votes to the national popular vote winner, who as a result would win the presidency by winning more than half of electoral votes. Until the compact is joined by states with a majority of electoral votes, all states will continue to award their electoral votes in their current manner.
As of April 2012, the compact has been joined by eight states and the District of Columbia (see map); their 132 combined electoral votes amount to 24.5% of the Electoral College and 49% of the 270 votes needed for the compact to go into effect.
Two governors who have vetoed NPVIC legislation, Arnold Schwarzenegger of California and Linda Lingle of Hawaii, both in 2007, objected to the compact on the grounds that it could require their states' electoral votes to be awarded to a candidate who did not win statewide. Both states have since enacted laws joining the compact. Supporters of the compact have countered that under the popular vote system, the awarding of electoral votes would be effectively irrelevant; that giving the state's electoral votes to the national winner would be a mere symbolic formality with no political meaning, because the popular vote would have already determined the outcome.
Although supporters of the compact believe the compact would be valid without congressional approval, some critics[specify] maintain that the congressional approval is necessary before the NPVIC can go into effect. Article I, Section 10 of the US Constitution states that
No State shall, without the Consent of Congress . . . enter into any Agreement or Compact with another State, or with a foreign Power.
The U.S. Supreme Court has ruled in Virginia v. Tennessee, 148 U.S. 503 (1893), and several more recent cases, that such consent is not necessary except where a compact encroaches on federal supremacy. Every Vote Equal argues that the compact could never encroach upon federal power since the Constitution explicitly gives the power of casting electoral votes to the states, not the federal government. Derek Muller, an opponent of the compact, argues that the NPVIC would nonetheless affect the federal system in such a way that it requires Congressional approval. Regardless, supporters of the NPVIC plan to seek congressional approval if the compact is approved by a sufficient number of states.
@TwitchyTeam 7 mins
Left in full meltdown over Gallup poll; 'It's over,' declares Bob Beckel; Others in denial