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Current Events => Archives => Politics => Election 2012 => Topic started by: 98ZJUSMC on October 04, 2012, 06:24:38 PM

Title: Absentee Ballot Data Ohio Shows Bad News
Post by: 98ZJUSMC on October 04, 2012, 06:24:38 PM

for teh Won.

Link to AOSHQ:
http://minx.cc/?post=333509

Absentee Ballot Data Ohio Shows Bad News
...for those who believe Ohio will be as Democrat-heavy or more so than 2008.

A short sample of the shift, with link to the data at the end:

Champaign County: Was +3% GOP, now +23% GOP – 20 point shift.

Columbiana County: Was +9% DEM, now +9% GOP – 18 point shift.

Crawford County: Was +3% DEM, now +12% GOP – 15 point shift.

Cuyahoga County: Was +36% DEM, now +30% DEM (GOP already has 6,000 more requests than in 200 – 6 point shift. :o

Erie County: Was +24% DEM, now +7% DEM -17 point shift.

Franklin County: Was +5% DEM, now +5% GOP – 10 point shift.

Greene County: Was +4% DEM, now +19% GOP – 23 point shift.

Harrison County: Was +22% DEM, now +5% DEM – 17 point shift.

Hamilton County: Was +7% GOP, now +13% GOP – 6 point shift.

Licking County: Was TIED, now +16% GOP – 16 point shift.

Montgomery County: Was +29% DEM, now +5% DEM – 24 point shift.

Muskingum County: Was +1% DEM, now +16% GOP – 17 point shift.

Pickaway County: Was +12% DEM, now +15% GOP – 27 point shift.

Seneca County: Was +1% DEM, now +13% GOP – 14 point shift.

Summit County: Was +33% DEM, now +6 DEM – 27 point shift.

Wood County: Was +10% DEM, now +1% GOP – 11 point shift.

Link to ningrim's thankless task here, and give him a follow while you're at it.

The statewide reported gap is D+5.51%, nearly a third of what the Democrats had enjoyed in 2008. Same-day voting in Ohio leaned more in McCain's favor four years ago, but the early vote crushed him. I suspect after last night's debate a considerable number of Republicans are itching to get their ballots back.

W o w........
Title: Re: Absentee Ballot Data Ohio Shows Bad News
Post by: Kyle Ricky on October 04, 2012, 06:26:52 PM
Wow ....
Title: Re: Absentee Ballot Data Ohio Shows Bad News
Post by: Zeus on October 05, 2012, 02:07:24 AM
I'm telling you as the election gets closer and closer the truth is leaking out that this election isn't going to be as close as the OMG Obama Media Group as attempted to portray. Romney will win by a 10 point or better margin.

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Lr49t4-2b8&feature=player_embedded[/youtube]

IRS: OBAMA TAX HIKE THREATENS ONE MILLION SMALL BUSINESSES (http://www.humanevents.com/2012/10/04/new-i-r-s-study-obama-tax-hikes-would-hit-one-million-small-businesses/)

Quote
By: David Harsanyi    
10/4/2012 01:12 PM

Over and over again we hear Democrats claim that raising tax rates on the rich won’t dampen economic recovery.  They also claim it would only affect a fraction of small business owners. In yesterday’s debate, the president asserted, as he has often, that 97 percent of businesses who pay individual rates would not see a tax increase.

Well, judging from this new study by Internal Revenue Service,  allowing Bush-era tax rates for high earners to expire, the centerpiece of President Obama’s tax plan and a big part of his campaign rhetoric, would mean that 1 million companies would be hit with new taxes. According to the IRS, which goes to great lengths to define a small business,  high-income earners make up 24 percent of all small businesses that have employees.

Other studies (and pundits) have grossly underestimated the impact that a tax hike on high earners might take on small business, discounting owners of small C corporations and others. Wealthy earners with small businesses account for 923,000 businesses with employees. There are many more in business for themselves.

“No matter how you slice it and dice it, it’s hard to avoid that this is a tax increase on a significant share of small business owners,” said Raymond Keating, chief economist of the Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council told CNNMoney.

Democrats also argue that a tax on “millionaires and billionaires” — or, what in the real world means anyone making more than $200,000 and married couples pulling in more than $250,000 — could  actually spur growth. How, is still a mystery.

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yc2zBmOmNE&feature=player_embedded[/youtube]
Title: Re: Absentee Ballot Data Ohio Shows Bad News
Post by: BlueStateSaint on October 05, 2012, 05:43:14 AM
I'm telling you as the election gets closer and closer the truth is leaking out that this election isn't going to be as close as the OMG Obama Media Group as attempted to portray. Romney will win by a 10 point or better margin.

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Lr49t4-2b8&feature=player_embedded[/youtube]

IRS: OBAMA TAX HIKE THREATENS ONE MILLION SMALL BUSINESSES (http://www.humanevents.com/2012/10/04/new-i-r-s-study-obama-tax-hikes-would-hit-one-million-small-businesses/)

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yc2zBmOmNE&feature=player_embedded[/youtube]

I agree that Romney will win, but I think the margin will be in the single digits--the high single digits.  With all sorts of downticket races being affected.