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Current Events => Archives => Politics => Election 2012 => Topic started by: formerlurker on September 23, 2012, 06:44:41 AM

Title: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: formerlurker on September 23, 2012, 06:44:41 AM
Quote
Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!

Saturday, September 22, 2012

When you’re debating the polls, you’re losing. I keep telling Republicans that.

Well, here’s the Gallup average for September thus far:

(http://michaelgraham.com/files/media/image/Windows-Live-Writer/Another-Terrible-Month-Like-This-And-Mit_148B0/romney%20september%20polls_thumb.png)

http://michaelgraham.com/archives/another-ldquo-terrible-rdquo-month-like-this-and-mitt-will-win-in-a-landslide/
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: rich_t on September 23, 2012, 06:58:40 AM
And that is with the over sampling of Democrats?
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: FiddyBeowulf on September 23, 2012, 03:14:14 PM
And that is with the over sampling of Democrats?
One of the reasons I have read is that the polling firms are using the party identification numbers from the 2008 elections. Why they do not use the ones from the 2010 elections I could not say.
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: BlueStateSaint on September 23, 2012, 06:35:57 PM
One of the reasons I have read is that the polling firms are using the party identification numbers from the 2008 elections. Why they do not use the ones from the 2010 elections I could not say.

If they enjoy deluding themselves, let 'em. :yahoo:
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: SSG Snuggle Bunny on September 23, 2012, 07:12:26 PM
And that is with the over sampling of Democrats?

What over sample?

Out of 850 respondents, 957 were Democrats; just as ACORN said they would be.
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: rich_t on September 23, 2012, 07:22:56 PM
What over sample?

Out of 850 respondents, 957 were Democrats; just as ACORN said they would be.

 :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :cheersmate: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao:
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: pandric on September 23, 2012, 07:41:31 PM
Non-Gallup polls don't exist.

By the way, do we hereby swear not to pretend Gallup is intimidated by Axelrod if the tie in that poll turns into a pro-Obama advantage some time in the future?
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: pandric on September 23, 2012, 07:43:23 PM
One of the reasons I have read is that the polling firms are using the party identification numbers from the 2008 elections. Why they do not use the ones from the 2010 elections I could not say.

Where did you read that polls are using the 2008 party ID?
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: Mr Mannn on September 23, 2012, 08:38:12 PM
Where did you read that polls are using the 2008 party ID?
Its from the same place you got your ignorance from.
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: NHSparky on September 23, 2012, 08:50:09 PM
The Obama campaign is already trying to tell people to not look at the national polls, only the ones in swing states.

Uh, in a month, what will you be telling us to ignore, Obumbles?
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: thundley4 on September 23, 2012, 09:17:48 PM
The Obama campaign is already trying to tell people to not look at the national polls, only the ones in swing states.

Uh, in a month, what will you be telling us to ignore, Obumbles?

In a month and half he'll be telling us to ignore the election results.
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: Lacarnut on September 23, 2012, 11:50:20 PM
Its from the same place you got your ignorance from.

H5  :lmao:
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: pandric on September 24, 2012, 03:34:27 PM
Its from the same place you got your ignorance from.

Translation: There is no source for the claim that pollsters are using the 2008 party ID numbers.
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: Kyle Ricky on September 24, 2012, 04:23:09 PM
They are using the same as 2008 and including all the states obama won in 2008. They are not using 2010 because it will show that obama is losing.

If you look at it in a 'REALITY' lens, you will see that this is not good for obama. All the over sampling of dems and they are tied. That tells me that obama is done.
Title: Re: Another “Terrible” Month Like This, And Mitt Will Win In A Landslide!
Post by: BigTex on September 24, 2012, 08:08:33 PM
They are using the same as 2008 and including all the states obama won in 2008. They are not using 2010 because it will show that obama is losing.

If you look at it in a 'REALITY' lens, you will see that this is not good for obama. All the over sampling of dems and they are tied. That tells me that obama is done.

This site (http://www.unskewedpolls.com/) takes the media polls and puts them with an average of the 08 an 10 electorates

They have Romney up by an average of 7.8 points.