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Current Events => The DUmpster => Topic started by: franksolich on September 19, 2012, 05:38:25 PM

Title: blue primitive screwed by the polling data
Post by: franksolich on September 19, 2012, 05:38:25 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021379686

Oh my.

Talk about a blast from the past; the blue primitive had fleeting, epheremal contact with franksolich during poor stupid Beth's scam many years ago.

Quote
bluestateguy (39,081 posts)  Wed Sep 19, 2012, 06:38 PM

Gravis Marketing is ****ing up all the polling averages

Who are they and what standing do they have to poll?

They are worse than Rasmussen and Zogby (and that's BAD).

They know that RCP and all the other political sites pool the polling averages, so they parachute in with a pro-Romney poll every time a real pollster unveils a poll showing Obama leading in a state.

DU, Nate Silver, RCP and other political sites need to stop including their polls and pretend like they don't exist.

New campfire, no primitives at it yet.
Title: Re: blue primitive screwed by the polling data
Post by: jukin on September 19, 2012, 05:46:40 PM
The RCP polling average is skewed by all those +10-14 point donk advantages.

The thought occurs to me that when the DUches think that 0 has done something wonderful or Romney has screwed the pooch, the MSM is always of that opinion too. What that indicates is the MSM is as tight a hive mentality as the DUmp, maybe more so, and that both of them are 98% of the time wrong.

When the shit hits the fan, I'm baggin my limit on journalists before i even think about politicians and lawyers.
Title: Re: blue primitive screwed by the polling data
Post by: J P Sousa on September 19, 2012, 06:07:57 PM
Nobody likes the pollsters;  (from 2010)

Quote
  Daily Kos Founder Suing Pollster Research 2000: 'We Were Defrauded'

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/06/29/daily-kos-founder-suing-p_n_629516.html
 

.
Title: Re: blue primitive screwed by the polling data
Post by: JohnnyReb on September 19, 2012, 06:56:51 PM
The RCP polling average is skewed by all those +10-14 point donk advantages.

The thought occurs to me that when the DUches think that 0 has done something wonderful or Romney has screwed the pooch, the MSM is always of that opinion too. What that indicates is the MSM is as tight a hive mentality as the DUmp, maybe more so, and that both of them are 98% of the time wrong.

When the shit hits the fan, I'm baggin my limit on journalists before i even think about politicians and lawyers.

Just remember, doesn't matter how you cook 'em or how long, they ain't fit to eat.
Title: Re: blue primitive screwed by the polling data
Post by: BEG on September 19, 2012, 07:04:15 PM
Poll accuracy for the 2008 election: LINK (http://www.politisite.com/2010/08/06/poll-accuracy-in-the-2008-presidential-election-rasmussen-pew/)

1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23)

poll accuracy in the 2008 presidential election.pdf application/pdf Object.