The Conservative Cave
Current Events => Archives => Politics => Election 2012 => Topic started by: marv on September 01, 2012, 08:59:44 AM
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http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/31/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE87U1CJ20120831
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The four-day rolling poll has Democratic President Barack Obama still leading Romney in general favorability, 52 percent to 50 percent.
But the poll showed Romney steadily improving in likeability and other positive-image features.
(snip)
Especially notable was Romney's boost among independents, 45 percent of whom rated him favorably, compared with Thursday's 34 percent. Twenty percent of independents found him likeable, up from Thursday's 16 percent.
Nearly two out of five of those surveyed also found Romney, "tough enough for the job," outpacing Obama among all registered voters and among independents specifically.
(snip)
Respondents said Romney would be more effective than Obama as president by a margin of 37 percent to 33 percent. The margin was even wider among independents, at 26 percent versus 17 percent.
(snip)
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That is more like it. He will continue to pull ahead and never look back obama is toast.
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That is more like it. He will continue to pull ahead and never look back obama is toast.
Toast with legs.
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I don't believe that 52% of American's view Obama favorably.
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I don't believe that 52% of American's view Obama favorably.
August 30, 2012
How 'The Shy Republican' Could Be Masking a Landslide (http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/08/how_the_shy_republican_could_be_masking_a_landslide.html)
By Adam Shaw
At time of writing, polls show the race for the presidency to be tight. General consensus seems to be that whoever wins, the 2012 election will be won by a bat squeak.
Yet to many, especially those of us on the right, it seems peculiar that Obama is still remotely in the race. With high unemployment, minimal GDP growth, a 100% increase in food stamp costs, and out-of-control spending, many conservatives are asking how just under half of the American population can possibly want more of the same.
While it is not possible now to get into the many reasons certain people will vote Democrat in November, I propose that all polls, not just left-leaning polls, may be being strongly misled by their data, and Romney/Ryan may actually have a huge lead not seen in polls.
It is my contention that this is due to a mix of the infamous Bradley effect and what is known in Britain as "the Shy Tory Factor," with both coming together to exaggerate just how popular Obama is in America.
Article continued at Title link
Been my "gut feeling" this won't be a close election for some time.
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August 30, 2012
How 'The Shy Republican' Could Be Masking a Landslide (http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/08/how_the_shy_republican_could_be_masking_a_landslide.html)
By Adam Shaw
At time of writing, polls show the race for the presidency to be tight. General consensus seems to be that whoever wins, the 2012 election will be won by a bat squeak.
Yet to many, especially those of us on the right, it seems peculiar that Obama is still remotely in the race. With high unemployment, minimal GDP growth, a 100% increase in food stamp costs, and out-of-control spending, many conservatives are asking how just under half of the American population can possibly want more of the same.
While it is not possible now to get into the many reasons certain people will vote Democrat in November, I propose that all polls, not just left-leaning polls, may be being strongly misled by their data, and Romney/Ryan may actually have a huge lead not seen in polls.
It is my contention that this is due to a mix of the infamous Bradley effect and what is known in Britain as "the Shy Tory Factor," with both coming together to exaggerate just how popular Obama is in America.
Article continued at Title link
Been my "gut feeling" this won't be a close election for some time.
I agree with this.
I think the conservative base is "hopping mad" at Barry and the DIMs are disappointed as well.
So my contention...........bigger turnout for RR base and lower turnout for Obummer base.........Independents big for RR.
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I always want to discount the polls when they favor lib/dem/sociaists. But then they all turn out to be quite accurate, so naturally I am skeptical. I never thought clinnochio would get elected over a hero like Bob Dole, not to mention when he beat GHW Bush. Then I thought no way would owebuma beat a hero like John McCain, but they both did.
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I always want to discount the polls when they favor lib/dem/sociaists. But then they all turn out to be quite accurate, so naturally I am skeptical. I never thought clinnochio would get elected over a hero like Bob Dole, not to mention when he beat GHW Bush. Then I thought no way would owebuma beat a hero like John McCain, but they both did.
Clinton with help from the media parlayed a slight downturn of the economy at the end of the Bush Presidency into "The worst economy in 50 yrs" and "Do you want four more yrs of the same" and four yrs later even though the economy was doing worse than when he was elected convinced enough people it was the "Best economy in 50 yrs" and "Do you want a return to the failed policies of the Reagan/Bush era". Obama was and is , even though it's not PC to say so The Nations first Affirmative Action President.