The Conservative Cave
Current Events => The DUmpster => Topic started by: EagleKeeper on August 13, 2012, 07:25:32 PM
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http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021126611
TheMastersNemesis (1,156 posts)
Congrats - 46% Voters Want To Commit Economic Suicide Elect R-R
And take the rest of us with them.
sibelian (1,511 posts)
1. Do they?
There are so many different polls saying different things...
TheMastersNemesis (1,156 posts)
4. I Realize Polls Are All Over The Place
Polls don't tell everything of course. You wonder because where I am I hear so much Obama hatred chatter.
Drunken Irishman (21,605 posts)
2. 46% of this country would vote for Hitler. But 46% isn't enough to win the presidency...
So, no worries.
TheMastersNemesis (1,156 posts)
3. Hope You Are Right
edhopper (5,540 posts)
6. Where you here
in 2000?
Drunken Irishman (21,605 posts)
7. No. No one was...
DU wasn't around in 2000. And Bush won more than 46% of the vote ... if that's what you're saying.
edhopper (5,540 posts)
8. here in America, not DU
Add in the voter suppression and stealing and 46% is something to worry about.
Drunken Irishman (21,605 posts)
11. If Romney gets only 46% of the vote, he will lose.
McCain won 46% of the vote last time and lost.
edhopper (5,540 posts)
5. 64%
think Romney would handle the economy better than Obama.
TheMastersNemesis (1,156 posts)
9. That Is Like Getting On The Titanic When It Is Going Down.
edhopper (5,540 posts)
10. We live in a very stupid
Country
I sense the icy hand of dispair beginning to get close to skins island.
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Practically every reply was in reference to the liberals. They are just talking about themselves again.
Romney is going to win! By a landslide!
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Economic suicide would be voting for 0bama.
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random Capitalization IS importanT.
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Around 12000 people showed up to see R&R in the small town of High Point, NC the other day.
600 people showed up to see "Plugs" Biden in the large area of Raleigh/Durham today.
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The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
Data available to Platinum Members shows that Romney does a bit better when leaners are included. Check out the newly enhanced Presidential Tracking data available to Platinum Members only.
These results are based upon interviews conducted nightly and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, two-thirds of the interviews conducted for today’s update were completed after it was announced that Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan will be Romney’s vice presidential running mate. The announcement so far has had little impact on the numbers. See tracking history.
A president’s job approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s job approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 45% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat disapprove of the job Obama is doing (see trends).
LINK (http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%20election.pdf)
The following list ranks the 23 organizations by the accuracy of their final, national pre- election polls (as reported on pollster.com).
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23)
Following the procedures proposed by Martin, Traugott and Kennedy (see Public Opinion Quarterly, Fall 2006, pp. 342-369) to assess poll accuracy, I analyze poll estimates from these 23 polling organizations. Four of these polls appear to have overestimated McCain support (indicated with a * below), while most polls (17) overestimated Obama strength. Pre-election projections for two organizations’ final polls—Rasmussen and Pew—were perfectly in agreement with the actual election result (**).
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BEG, ^5 for that post, very informative.
I'm still soaking it up but the things that stand out to me, and I'm still trying to understand is the Fox polling.
I've not been at all comfortable with their results but I don't know why.
And Gallup, I don't know, I guess they are in the bag.