The Conservative Cave
Current Events => The DUmpster => Topic started by: Freeper on June 25, 2012, 08:22:35 PM
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TomClash (10,328 posts)
Here is where the Presidential election will be stolen
William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, published a study last month assuming three different scenarios for turnout and voting margins among whites and minorities in the upcoming November election.
. . .
The third Frey scenario calls for white turnout and voting patterns to replicate those of 2004, and for minority turnout and voting patterns to replicate 2008 — “something closer to what this year’s election promises – strong partisan participation by both whites and minorities.†In this case, Frey writes, “results favor an Obama win – but barely.â€
According to Frey’s third scenario, “Obama squeaks by with 292 electoral votes spread among 24 states,†but his victory depends on winning by very slim margins in four key states — Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Oregon — which together have 66 electoral college votes, far more than enough to tip the contest to Romney if they go the other way.
Frey’s analysis demonstrates a crucial fact about current presidential politics: that white voters (76 percent) and minorities (24 percent), despite making up vastly different percentages of the electorate, are both key to the outcome. Little shifts in behavior in either group matter.
http://campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/25/white-working-chaos/?hp
The three largest of these four states have Republican Governors. This is where the election will be stolen.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002854001
:rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf: :rotf:
nebenaube (2,928 posts)
1. He can't depend on Wisconsin
The GOP's vote fabrication software has been beta tested and will shift 31 counties to Romney. (see Prosser's election and Walker's recall)... that is unless an FEC axe falls there and soon.
Puzzledtraveller (507 posts)
3. Remind me how they stole the election in 2008.
Using my VRWC decoder ring he is really saying.
Puzzledtraveller (507 posts)
3. Please tombstone me.
bongbong (2,594 posts)
4. They didn't
However, they did in 2000 and 2004.
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Response to Puzzledtraveller (Reply #3)Mon Jun 25, 2012, 12:36 PM
TomClash (10,328 posts)
5. Karl Rove wasn't playing nt
Lucky for us, KKKarl Rove will be this time. :rotf:
magnifisense (64 posts)
13. And if the GOP fails to steal the election
they will begin impeachment hearings in the next Congress.
They'll use the "Holder Cover-Up" as the basis for starting hearings on "what Obama knew and when he knew it."
I'm sure by then 0bama will have abused his power further and we will have good reason to impeach him.
The DUmmies know they are gonna lose, and they have to dream up these theories to explain how the smartest president these 57 states has ever had could lose.
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Plus, Diebold.
:yahoo:
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Shit like this is why 0bama needs to be spanked in, at least, the third worst landslide in our history.
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As much as I would like to see ABM impeached, I think I'll settle for the landslide. I read somewhere, from a guy that sounded like he knew what he was talking about, that they could impeach him retroactively. This, of course, would be in the category of wild ass dreams.
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Plus, Diebold.
:yahoo:
Thank God for Diebold!
Thank DUmmies for FORCING us to use more Diebold.
Thank Florida for the hanging chads that forced DUmmies to force us into using more Diebold.
Thank Algore for trying to force selected recounts in Florida for the hanging chads that forced DUmmies to force us into using more Diebold.
Thank Diebold for the comedy gold mined from the DUmp whenever an election goes for a Republican, and DUmmies get their panties in a bunch.
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http://campaignstops.blog...5/white-working-chaos/?hp
Short version -- working class white folks who have college degrees? Republican. The % of working class white folk who don't have a college degree is shrinking at a marked level. Oh an about those working class white folks without college degrees? yeah they are starting to break for Republicans in certain areas of the country (RACISTS!!! - although it is those in the North who are breaking right, while the South is breaking left).
Translation? Democrats are screwed cause they need the working class white to win. What can they do about it? --
If the Democratic Party can do something to win one more non-college white vote, without alienating anyone else, it is exactly one vote closer to winning. If it can do something to win one more college white vote, or Latino vote, or Asian vote, without alienating anyone else, it is exactly one vote closer to winning. If it wins one more non-college white vote and loses one college white vote, or Latino vote, or Asian vote in the process, it is not any closer to winning. The interesting strategic questions have entirely to do with the marginal shifts in vote probabilities produced in different groups by different sorts of appeals, and their collateral political costs (whether alienation or opportunity costs).
Oh is that all? That must be why we see these desperate acts of the Obama Administration. That will win them over without alienating anyone else...
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Thank God for Diebold!
Thank DUmmies for FORCING us to use more Diebold.
Thank Florida for the hanging chads that forced DUmmies to force us into using more Diebold.
Thank Algore for trying to force selected recounts in Florida for the hanging chads that forced DUmmies to force us into using more Diebold.
Thank Diebold for the comedy gold mined from the DUmp whenever an election goes for a Republican, and DUmmies get their panties in a bunch.
I wonder if there's a Diebold-Bain Capital link.
:D
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Who is in charge of stealing/tilting the exist polls? Manipulate them to the extreme.
:-)
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Shit like this is why 0bama needs to be spanked in, at least, the third worst landslide in our history.
But these days...you know as well as I do that teh DUmmies won't take a 49 state ass kicking the way the Dems did in 1984.
Too much tinfoil hat wearing in the Democrat Party these days. Pelosi's rambling crap about Holder the other day is proof of that.
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But these days...you know as well as I do that teh DUmmies won't take a 49 state ass kicking the way the Dems did in 1984.
There will be "civil unrest." :fuelfire:
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There will be "civil unrest." :fuelfire:
Suffice it to say what we need now is a rambling post from Gnads with talk of Arab springs, scripts, trends, dots, and maybe an arc or two. Maybe she can even toss in a snark about how she 'called' this several months ago.
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Suffice it to say what we need now is a rambling post from Gnads with talk of Arab springs, scripts, trends, dots, and maybe an arc or two. Maybe she can even toss in a snark about how she 'called' this several months ago.
You forgot "crossing the Rubicon." :rant: :tongue:
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There will be "civil unrest." :fuelfire:
And after they've burned out all the government housing and low rent ghettoes... we give them a 10'x10' blue tarp and say "Welcome to your new home".
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It's got to be tiring to use the same meme, year after year............
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Short version -- working class white folks who have college degrees? Republican. The % of working class white folk who don't have a college degree is shrinking at a marked level. Oh an about those working class white folks without college degrees? yeah they are starting to break for Republicans in certain areas of the country (RACISTS!!! - although it is those in the North who are breaking right, while the South is breaking left).
Translation? Democrats are screwed cause they need the working class white to win. What can they do about it? --
If the Democratic Party can do something to win one more non-college white vote, without alienating anyone else, it is exactly one vote closer to winning. If it can do something to win one more college white vote, or Latino vote, or Asian vote, without alienating anyone else, it is exactly one vote closer to winning. If it wins one more non-college white vote and loses one college white vote, or Latino vote, or Asian vote in the process, it is not any closer to winning. The interesting strategic questions have entirely to do with the marginal shifts in vote probabilities produced in different groups by different sorts of appeals, and their collateral political costs (whether alienation or opportunity costs).
Oh is that all? That must be why we see these desperate acts of the Obama Administration. That will win them over without alienating anyone else...
They and their Evil Overlord and his Dragon Holder might try not being anti-white racists themselves. Pretty pie in the sky stuff, I know.
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You forgot "crossing the Rubicon." :rant: :tongue:
Rats! I always forget that pesky Rubicon.
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I've lost or misplaced my Rubic's cube...been looking for it for 2 days.
Wonder if Nadin has it?
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Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Oregon eh? Those are states Obama will lose this time. It is already be said (by Dick Morris anyhow) that in order for Obama to win this time, he has to have the same turn out he had in 2008. With all the people bailing on him, that isn't going to happen. He said on Hannity the other night that he still thinks Obama will lose by a landslide. I am hoping and praying that he is right.
You will see that the biggest probably with the Dems is that they don't have Acorn registering dead people, dogs, cats, Miss Piggy, and Kermit the Frog this time. I do look for the dems to bus in people from Mexico and Canada to vote for Obama though. - They will also hold up the absenteeism votes from the brave soldiers serving in the desert over seas. It is the same thing they did last time.
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Well, he is lawyering up now . . .
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_OBAMA_LAWYERING_UP?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2012-06-26-12-58-13
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Well, he is lawyering up now . . .
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_OBAMA_LAWYERING_UP?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2012-06-26-12-58-13
I said that Obama is going to do an Al Gore. That only shows that I was right.
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Barry will fight any election result that doesn't show him winning. It will make 2000 look like a ****ing picnic. The leftist will be rioting in the streets, blood will flow from the gettos, Black teens will tear the urban centers apart.
Thats what the ****ing piece of shit wants. Spread the weath, tear the country down. All the bullshit the left claimed Bush would do, these ****ers will do.
Stock up on ammo and food, kids. The election results will be messy.
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I've even heard them argue they Reagan stole his elections...in two landslides...without Diebold. Can't wait for Romney to do the same. 0bama and the insulated left have no idea the discontent in this country and how incredibly unpopular 0bama's power grab is. When Democrats that used to be his champions are running as far away as possible because he's so unpopular. Anyone with a brain can see he's done more to harm the country than help it. At this point the only way the boy king can win is if HE steals the election. As pissed as the majority in this country are I doubt there will be a margin small enough in the state's they're counting on to do that. The Brookings Institute is as desperate as the rest of the left. They actually start with the assumption 0bama will win instead of gathering data and analyzing it to reach a conclusion based on hard facts. And the most beautiful thing...they simply have no understanding of what the midterms and the election in Wisconsin means. Both were decisive, huge and said a lot about the mood of the people in this country.
However, they don't have to worry about Oregon. Miracles happen but I'd be very surprised if Oregon goes for Romney. This state is Moscow on the Willamette. Kitzhaber is pretty much a socialist whose biggest goal is yanking the kicker (tax refund) out of the hands of the people of this state. Well, corporations get it too and we all know how that gets liberals' panties in a wad. They're actually trying to get a measure on the ballot (supported by the guv) to repeal the kicker. You know, to keep it out of the hands of evil corporations and CEO's and instead give that money to schools...you know, for the children. The poor Oregon working stiff doesn't figure in the mix.
Had some idiot approach me in the parking lot at Safeway the other day asking me to sign the initiative. It's probably a good thing I was with my grandchildren because I would've had a bouncy to tell, in which I wouldn't have come off as being very ladylike. Evidently trolling for signatures pays very well, though. Good thing because he was so scruffy looking I doubt he could get a legitimate job. For some reason these are the only kind of people they can find willing to accost people who just want to get their shopping done.
Cindie
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This is the demographic the Obamas have thrown under the bus:
(http://www.morethings.com/fan/all_in_the_family/sammy-davis-archie-bunker-kiss-1.jpg)
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This is the demographic the Obamas have thrown under the bus:
(http://www.morethings.com/fan/all_in_the_family/sammy-davis-archie-bunker-kiss-1.jpg)
One eyed black Jews? :fuelfire:
One day on a golf course with Jack Benny, he was asked what his handicap was. "Handicap?" he asked. "Talk about handicap—I'm a one-eyed Negro Jew
Oh wait, did you mean white working class bigots? :rotf: