Redstate Bluegirl (190 posts) Profile Journal Send DU Mail Ignore
Will Missouri go Blue?
My home state went very narrowly for McCain last time. But I think Obama has an excellent chance of carrying it this year. They don't call it the "Show Me" state for nothing, and Romney hasn't shown ANYTHING to make righties motivate their asses to the polls in Nov!
Art_from_Ark (13,639 posts) Profile Journal Send DU Mail Ignore
2. If St. Louis, Kansas City and Columbia can overcome the rest of the state then Missouri might go blue. When all is said and done, I think that the southern part of the state will still go for the Republican nominee, regardless of his closeted skeletons.
Tx4obama (17,059 posts) Profile Journal Send DU Mail Ignore
3. If enough people come out and VOTE for the Democrats then it will go blue ...
same goes with all of the other states
protect our future (811 posts) Profile Journal Send DU Mail Ignore
4. MO is no longer considered a swing state. Well, that's BS.
In '08 Obama lost here by less than one percent. That works out to one vote per precinct if I'm not mistaken.
BUT PERHAPS OBAMA ACTUALLY WON IN MISSOURI. We'll never know because, although the results qualified for a recount, the votes were not recounted because by then Obama had won the election.
And no one made a stink about what happened in Kansas City. See, in KC, when the polls opened in the early morning, it was discovered that some of the ledgers (or whatever you call them, with the voter rolls) had been delivered to the wrong precincts. It was rectified 1-1/2 hours to 2 hours later, and supposedly no votes were lost ... but I cannot believe that. Depended on how many precincts had the balls to make a written record of the voters that were present, to be straightened out later. Depended on how many voters, in all the confusion, left without voting due to work requirements. And was anyone at all voting while the books were being collected from the wrong precincts and delivered to the right ones? We'll never know.
MO has a Dem governor and a Dem AG although the state legislature is solid red. KC, St. Louis, Columbia, and a couple of other little areas can make the state go blue, and this sometimes happens. We have a recently-elected Dem US Senator who may lose her seat this time ... but she's smart, and things could turn around. Oh, to top it all off, there's a one percenter (named Rex Sinquefield) who has gotten garbage put on the ballot which, if passed (it didn't), could have destroyed Kansas City. He's at it again, I hear.
I have heard the Democratic Party is not going to put money into the effort here since the state is supposedly solid red. If true, too bad. I think that's not very wise. Maybe they are cowed by the fact that in Jefferson City, our capitol, cross-hairs were placed on the doors of several female Dems.
The Genealogist (964 posts) Profile Journal Send DU Mail Ignore
5. A view from Springfield, MO
I don't think Missouri will go blue anytime soon. I think it is getting more conservative every year. I know I am sitting in the heart of red Missouri here, but overall, I think Missouri is getting redder and redder. I know Obama did pretty well here for a Dem in 2008, but considering Obama won INDIANA that year and a vote from NEBRASKA, I think the good numbers Obama got here were due to a very blue year. Obama will do fairly well in KC and St Louis, and maybe Columbia, but that is about it. I guess if the Repukes screw things up bad enough, it could flip. But it is going to take something that makes the clown car antics to date look downright sane and civil. It would take AMAZING turnout, I think, to flip Missouri blue. I do hate to see the dems just write off the state. I know they have to be careful about where they spend their cash, but it would be nice to put a little attention on Missouri.
protect our future (811 posts) Profile Journal Send DU Mail Ignore
6. Glad to have your input!
What is happening in your part of the state to make you say it's getting more conservative? Local media, radio stations, ltte's, other sources of news seeming to be more conservative and redder? Any info you could add about this could give us a handle on what to do to change things.
I'm encouraged by the nationwide grumbling about Blunt's sponsorship of the "birth control is a sin" amendment and hope the grumbling turns into a roar. That could help us bigtime.
And don't throw in the towel just yet. The final clown from the clown car will be up against a master strategist and the rest of the genius "chess players" who might make 2012 another national blue year.
archiemo (259 posts) Profile Journal Send DU Mail Ignore
7. Good example...Hartzler defeats Skelton
I live in rural Cass County (just south of the KC metro) and witnessed a religious, conservative-puppet for the RNC, defeat a very moderate, pro-military, voted against Obama's healthcare act, Democrat in Ike Skelton in 2010. He had the seat for decades and won with strong margins every year until that happened. Was also endorsed by the NRA.
I've received one mailer from Hartzler since she's taken office that was supposed to highlight the great legislative efforts she's put forward since taking office. There were three. Each and everyone were related to guns.
Art_from_Ark (13,639 posts) Profile Journal Send DU Mail Ignore
8. Springfield, in Greene County, is super conservative
They don't vote Democratic. Its Congressional district (7th, SW Missouri) has had a Republican representative since 1961! That's even longer than Arkansas' 3rd district (1967)!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Missouri's_7th_congressional_district
During the 2008 election, the only county in the 7th district that had more than 40% of the vote go to Obama was Greene County-- at 41%! Every other county was around 30% for Obama.
Tx4obama (17,059 posts) Profile Journal Send DU Mail Ignore
3. If enough people come out and VOTE for the Democrats then it will go blue ...
same goes with all of the other states
A red or blue Missouri will hinge on Republican enthusiasm in November.
I don't think its going be be a matter of enthusiasm for the Republican candidate that will result in victories, but a desire to remove the current administration. The way its going, my wienerdog will be able to beat Obama by November.
Looking at the potential opponents versus Claire McCaskill, it would seem her hitching her hopes to Obama's star isn't a wise decision.
Oh my God! You're so smart!
Oh my God! You're so smart!
I don't think its going be be a matter of enthusiasm for the Republican candidate that will result in victories, but a desire to remove the current administration. The way its going, my wienerdog will be able to beat Obama by November.
Absolutely. It's getting to the point that ABBO is a winning strategy.
What I mean is that I think a disproportionate amount of time has been spent attacking one another other - sometimes viciously - instead of attacking Obama on foreign and domestic policies, corruption, the economy, etc.
Redstate Bluegirl (190 posts) Profile Journal Send DU Mail Ignore
Will Missouri go Blue?
My home state went very narrowly for McCain last time. But I think Obama has an excellent chance of carrying it this year. They don't call it the "Show Me" state for nothing, and Romney hasn't shown ANYTHING to make righties motivate their asses to the polls in Nov!
To borrow a phrase from my brother-in-law, "are you high?"
protect our future
What is happening in your part of the state to make you say it's getting more conservative?
That's very true. And remember, I'm a professional Republican, who's generally satisfied.
However, it's been disheartening, seeing all our candidates go after each other, instead of the Magic One.
If I were chairman of the National Republican Committee, I would've called them all in for a meeting, saying, "Hey, guys, quit beating up on each other, and beat up instead on our opponent.....and may the one who does the best beating-up win the nomination....."
It would've been delightful to watch, their different techniques and styles of beating up on the Magic One, and probably yes, the one most likely to win in November would be the one deemed the best at beating up.