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Current Events => Archives => Politics => Election 2008 => Topic started by: miskie on November 04, 2008, 04:03:03 PM

Title: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: miskie on November 04, 2008, 04:03:03 PM
coming in minutes. get the shot glasses ready.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: Crazy Horse on November 04, 2008, 04:05:39 PM
Obama winning all 60 states
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: Texacon on November 04, 2008, 04:07:09 PM
Obama winning all 60 states

Oh Thank God.  I see he is only winning in the 60 he campaigned in.  The other 70 are ours for the taking!

Hooah!!

KC
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: miskie on November 04, 2008, 04:08:08 PM
Obama winning all 60 states

I thought there were only 57 ? Or is that Heinz varieties ? I forget.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: JohnnyReb on November 04, 2008, 04:08:41 PM
Obama winning all 60 states

NO! He's going down in 3 states leaving only 57.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: Crazy Horse on November 04, 2008, 04:10:41 PM
I thought there were only 57 ? Or is that Heinz varieties ? I forget.

Said he had one to go and wasn't alllowed to visit HA or AK
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: Crazy Horse on November 04, 2008, 04:11:46 PM
70% worried about another terrorist attack.........................that's good for us
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: miskie on November 04, 2008, 04:12:05 PM
NO! He's going down in 3 states leaving only 57.

Im sure he has it sewn up in the twin states of Massachusetts and Massatwosits.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: JohnnyReb on November 04, 2008, 04:12:44 PM
I live in S.C.. We fired on Fort Sumter to start the last Civil War. What should we fire on this time to get it started?
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: Crazy Horse on November 04, 2008, 04:19:16 PM
I live in S.C.. We fired on Fort Sumter to start the last Civil War. What should we fire on this time to get it started?

Actually they fired on the "Star of the West" to start the war of Nothern agression...............

67% worried about health care

68% favor offshore drilling

70% predict taxes going up under Obama

67% feel Plugs is qualified to be President (then WhyTF did he not win the primaries)

38% believe that Palin is qualified :thatsright:

24% approve of Congress

73% disapprove of Congress (yet they will elect more of the dumbshits) :thatsright:

42% think Obama's too liberal  :cheersmate:
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: DumbAss Tanker on November 04, 2008, 04:21:16 PM
I live in S.C.. We fired on Fort Sumter to start the last Civil War. What should we fire on this time to get it started?

I dunno, but you'd better stock up on rounds for it now before that 500% ammo excise tax kicks in, if The One wins.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: Crazy Horse on November 04, 2008, 04:22:02 PM
75% say that USSC a major factor  :uhsure:
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: miskie on November 04, 2008, 04:25:57 PM
75% say that USSC a major factor  :uhsure:

that can go both ways - Fox just teased the polls by reporting that they show 'interesting trends' - all Im interested in is how they compare to 2004.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: miskie on November 04, 2008, 04:33:56 PM
okay - IA OH VA
New voters 2 to 1 for Obama - lower than expected.
White men - An asskicking delivered by McCain.

not bad so far...

Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: miskie on November 04, 2008, 04:35:44 PM
Late deciders - Mixed bag, but no real blowout for Obama
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: Wretched Excess on November 04, 2008, 04:44:20 PM

first time voters in some of the battleground states are really high.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: DumbAss Tanker on November 04, 2008, 04:49:20 PM
first time voters in some of the battleground states are really high.

A lot of the voters were really high.  That's part of the problem.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: miskie on November 04, 2008, 04:49:40 PM
alright - Ive looked at the one solid demographic from Fox, White Men, and compared the figures against 2004 MSNBC figures. I checked Ohio and Virginia - the figures are almost exactly the same. (as in within 1%)

I missed the IA number from Fox - 2004 MSNBC puts white men at  52% Bush in Iowa.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: asdf2231 on November 04, 2008, 04:54:23 PM
Ignore the exit polling and concentrate on the real vote counts.

Exit polling is as flawed as it can be.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: miskie on November 04, 2008, 04:55:54 PM
my mistake, it was Indiana - 54% for McCain and in 2004 it was a 62% margin for Bush according to MSNBC - a loss for sure but probably not a deadly one.

Also remember, these MSNBC numbers were adjusted to match the actual election, whereas the FOX figures are raw. Its really not that bad..
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: Wretched Excess on November 04, 2008, 04:57:54 PM
Ignore the exit polling and concentrate on the real vote counts.

Exit polling is as flawed as it can be.

absolutely.  the exits had me suicidal in 2004, and W won by 3%.
Title: Re: time for exit polls... get a stiff drink.
Post by: miskie on November 04, 2008, 05:07:23 PM
Ignore the exit polling and concentrate on the real vote counts.

Exit polling is as flawed as it can be.

agreed - The interesting thing to me is the trend. and at this moment there is little unexpected happening. But other than being an intellectual exercise, exit poll dissection means very little.