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Current Events => Archives => Politics => Election 2008 => Topic started by: tuolumnejim on August 27, 2008, 03:38:59 PM

Title: Per ABC: Presidential Election Could Result in 269-269 Electoral Vote Tie
Post by: tuolumnejim on August 27, 2008, 03:38:59 PM
If this happens what level could the DUmp go into, Super-super secret red with black background?  :-)

Link (http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Vote2008/story?id=5386278&page=1)

Quote
By JENNIFER PARKER
WASHINGTON, July 17, 2008 

RSS Predicting the outcome of a presidential election is dangerous sport, but some political junkies are playing the game, running the numbers and coming up with a November surprise: a possible tie between Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain.

It's unlikely but there's a mathematical possibility of the 2008 presidential election coming down to a 269-269 electoral vote tie between Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain.
Let's call it the "doomsday scenario," and while it's highly unlikely, it is a mathematical possibility.

"Given how close it's been in the last couple years, there are some reasonable scenarios that you could get to a tie," said John Fortier, a political scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and author of "After the People Vote: A Guide to the Electoral College." "It's not the most likely scenario, but the states can add up that way where you have nobody getting to 270."

Under the sometimes wild and woolly American system of democracy, a presidential candidate must achieve at least 270 votes in the 538-member electoral college to win the White House.
Title: Re: Per ABC: Presidential Election Could Result in 269-269 Electoral Vote Tie
Post by: Chris on August 27, 2008, 03:45:32 PM
That is one scary article.
Title: Re: Per ABC: Presidential Election Could Result in 269-269 Electoral Vote Tie
Post by: miskie on August 27, 2008, 04:02:46 PM
Somebody runs this story every election year - The odds of this happening are small enough to be ignored.
Title: Re: Per ABC: Presidential Election Could Result in 269-269 Electoral Vote Tie
Post by: Chris_ on August 27, 2008, 04:07:03 PM
Somebody runs this story every election year - The odds of this happening are small enough to be ignored.

This year is different, I think.  The mainstream propagandists are watching duh Fuhrer make stupid gaffe after stupid gaffe, and are floating this as the best they can hope for unless somebody shuts him up.
Title: Re: Per ABC: Presidential Election Could Result in 269-269 Electoral Vote Tie
Post by: WinOne4TheGipper on August 27, 2008, 04:16:58 PM
Most of the tie predictions that I've seen have IA, CO, NM, and NH switching from their 2004 results.  Alternatively, I've done one with just NV, NM, and IA switching.  They're the two most likely scenarios in the event of a tie.
Title: Re: Per ABC: Presidential Election Could Result in 269-269 Electoral Vote Tie
Post by: Tess Anderson on August 27, 2008, 04:39:36 PM
I really think the final EV will be nowhere close to a tie, but this is a theoretical possibility. I think in a tie, the election would be tossed into the House of Representaives, and Nancy Pelosi is Majority Speaker of the House, so....
Title: Re: Per ABC: Presidential Election Could Result in 269-269 Electoral Vote Tie
Post by: docstew on August 27, 2008, 08:11:25 PM
I really think the final EV will be nowhere close to a tie, but this is a theoretical possibility. I think in a tie, the election would be tossed into the House of Representaives, and Nancy Pelosi is Majority Speaker of the House, so....

but the house is 100% up for reelection every 2 years, and they are sworn in prior to the EV being certified by the senate.  enough republicans get voted in and she might not be in the majority. yet another reason to make sure you vote for as many conservative and/or republican representatives as possible