The Conservative Cave
Current Events => The DUmpster => Topic started by: Crazy Horse on August 24, 2008, 09:31:45 AM
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http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x6728031
:thatsright:
berni_mccoy (1000+ posts) Sun Aug-24-08 09:04 AM
Original message
The Seven Houses Bounce: Obama Opens Up 3 Point Lead in Rasmussen Poll - O: 48 Mc: 45
Advertisements [?]Edited on Sun Aug-24-08 09:05 AM by berni_mccoy
http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/ele...
For those who don't monitor Ras, it's a significant bump. Obama hasn't held a 3 point lead in Ras since his World Tour. Other than that bounce, He's held a consistent 1-2 point lead over McSevenhouses since the race started.
Ras doesn't say why the bounce, but does call out that Obama picked his VP. Given that Ras's poll of approval for Obama's VP pick shows only a 38% favorable (25% negative, 32% undecided), it's not from his VP pick. This significant bounce, IMO, is due directly to Obama's framing of McCain as a clueless old rich dude who's disconnected from the reality of the average American. Finally, the Obama campaign has done this (with the opportunistic event of McSevenhouses gaffe), and they've done it so expertly with broad, broad coverage.
I expect Obama to break 50 on his VP pick in the coming days and then get into the low 50s after the convention. Eventually I expect Obama to settle on 51-52% after both conventions are said and done. McSeven houses will settle around 48-49%.
Lucy.....................paging Lucy
bushisanidiot (1000+ posts) Sun Aug-24-08 09:06 AM
Response to Original message
1. And that lead will get bigger!!!
what an awesome pre-convention bump!
ALiberalSailor (1000+ posts) Sun Aug-24-08 09:06 AM
Response to Original message
2. How it's even this close boggles the imagination...
...If this country elects John McCain, it deserves everything that happens.
Heather MC (1000+ posts) Sun Aug-24-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. they are only calling people with home phones, which is the elderly
Edited on Sun Aug-24-08 09:22 AM by Heather MC
and stay at home moms
JMO
Now I wonder will the M$M report this a problem for McCain
or will this till be Obama's fault he is in the lead????
WTF
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So polls are believable now?
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So polls are believable now?
Of course.........................it is to their advantage now
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Heather MC (1000+ posts) Sun Aug-24-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. they are only calling people with home phones, which is the elderly
:whatever:
Where do they create this stuff at? They must have a special addition to their brains that normal people don't.
I've got a phone in the kitchen my bedroom and in the kitchen. Plus my Blackberry.
:mental:
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Heather MC (1000+ posts) Sun Aug-24-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. they are only calling people with home phones, which is the elderly
Edited on Sun Aug-24-08 09:22 AM by Heather MC
and stay at home moms
the people with home phones, who are people with homes, who are more likely to vote than people without homes or people living in other people's homes.
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Heather MC (1000+ posts) Sun Aug-24-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. they are only calling people with home phones, which is the elderly
:whatever:
Where do they create this stuff at? They must have a special addition to their brains that normal people don't.
I've got a phone in the kitchen my bedroom and in the kitchen. Plus my Blackberry.
:mental:
Well...............you're elderly
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These polls are tilted in favor of people with homes. People with homes are disproportionately evil repukes. If they polled bobbolink and all the other DU street bums, it would look worse. On the other hand, DUers are far more inclined to whine than to vote, and if it's a cold November they will be too busy scrambling for big pieces of cardboard for bedding.
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Where do they create this stuff at? They must have a special addition to their brains that normal people don't.
Actually, it's a special deletion.
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Heather MC (1000+ posts) Sun Aug-24-08 09:21 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. they are only calling people with home phones, which is the elderly
:whatever:
Where do they create this stuff at? They must have a special addition to their brains that normal people don't.
I've got a phone in the kitchen my bedroom and in the kitchen. Plus my Blackberry.
:mental:
Plus, they call in the evening after people with normal jobs (not the 7-11 night clerks) are home with their families. So they get the normal nut cases rather than the extreme DU-type nut cases.
If uh-bam-uh/biteme don'e get more than 15 points ahead by week's end, they are toast.