The Conservative Cave
Current Events => The DUmpster => Topic started by: CC27 on August 08, 2018, 07:12:08 AM
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Wed Aug 8, 2018, 06:49 AM
Star Member babylonsister (157,980 posts)
Ohio Special Election Shows a Blue Wave Coming
https://politicalwire.com/2018/08/08/ohio-special-election-shows-a-blue-wave-coming/
Ohio Special Election Shows a Blue Wave Coming
August 8, 2018 at 5:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard
Washington Post: “The tight race between Democrat Danny O’Connor and Republican Troy Balderson in a deep-red Ohio House district Tuesday reinforced a trend that has been developing for more than a year: Democrats are routinely beating their 2016 performance by double digits — putting the House and perhaps even the Senate within their grasp in November.”
“In Ohio’s 12th Congressional District, which encompasses the northern suburbs of Columbus and rural expanses to the east, voters preferred President Trump by 11 points and GOP Rep. Patrick Tiberi by 37 points in 2016. But with the race too close to call late Tuesday night, those voters showed a marked shift away from Republicans.”
Micah Cohen: “Ohio 12 looks to have shifted by about 13 points towards Democrats relative to its partisan lean (how we would expect it to vote in a neutral political environment)… That’s just about in line with Democrats’ average overperformance in these elections in the Trump era. Special elections have been a good sign for Democratic midterm hopes for awhile now, and Ohio 12 was no exception (even if Balderson hangs on).“
https://upload.democraticunderground.com/100210977028
Where do they come up with this crap?
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Where do they come up with this crap?
In 2016, 112,000 Democrats voted in that congressional district. In 2018, 98,000 Democrats voted in that congressional district.
Good for the Democrats; they were obviously enthusiastic about their candidate.
In 2016, 251,000 Republicans voted in that congressional district. In 2018, 100,000 Republicans did.
I dunno why less than half the district's Republicans voted, and it's obviously something Republicans need to look into and address, but still with nearly all the Democrats having voted, and less than half the Republicans having voted, and the Republicans winning, doesn't seem propitious for the fortunes of the other party.
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Wed Aug 8, 2018, 06:49 AM
Star Member babylonsister (157,980 posts)
Ohio Special Election Shows a Blue Wave Coming
All that from a special election? :whatever:
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All that from a special election? :whatever:
the significance of this race was further diminished in that it's for a three-month term, until the regular elections in November.
But no matter; Republicans need to get more energized about even those elections considered "trivial" or without meaning.
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the significance of this race was further diminished in that it's for a three-month term, until the regular elections in November.
But no matter; Republicans need to get more energized about even those elections considered "trivial" or without meaning.
Agreed, just the optics of a loss would further energize the rat base.
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More like a Blue Flush is coming.
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Well, to hear the DUmmies tell it for the last several months, the whole country is against Trump now, so I don't think I would count this as any kind of victory for them at all. Looks like what they believe isn't necessarily true.
KC
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When you invest enough to actually buy some small countries and still can't close the deal, it ain't a wave.
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Where do they come up with this crap?
Either the orifice it came from or their feeble brains. Or both.
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When you invest enough to actually buy some small countries and still can't close the deal, it ain't a wave.
True!
In 2016, 112,000 Democrats voted in that congressional district. In 2018, 98,000 Democrats voted in that congressional district.
Good for the Democrats; they were obviously enthusiastic about their candidate.
In 2016, 251,000 Republicans voted in that congressional district. In 2018, 100,000 Republicans did.
I dunno why less than half the district's Republicans voted, and it's obviously something Republicans need to look into and address, but still with nearly all the Democrats having voted, and less than half the Republicans having voted, and the Republicans winning, doesn't seem propitious for the fortunes of the other party.
Somewhere I saw an article that 60 + % of Republicans polled on the weekend (Aug, 4-5) did not even know that there was a special election on Tuesday!
Living in the area, but not in the district, I can tell you that the saturation of media ads was immense: millions had to have been spent for thousands of ads in the past months on television and radio and in the one newspaper still alive (which supported the Dem O'Connor). Perhaps a majority of Republicans no longer watch television, or have gone off the grid in some mass way, but that does not seem likely. Perhaps they record their shows and fast forward through all ads. Perhaps they do not read the local press.
Balderson was not the most personable or charismatic candidate: twenty years older than his opponent, he looks like a "career politician" and sounds like one. The Dem is barely 30 years old, and with a very earnest face spouts all the usual agitprop about Republicans throwing Grandma and Grandpa into the streets and burning down the orphanages.
Dems had volunteers going door-to-door - which Republicans just cannot do for some reason - and these volunteers had both voter registration and absentee ballot forms to pressure people into voting for the Democrat right then and there. They target poor areas and the elderly: this is how they win elections...
Supposedly it "ain't over yet:" thousands of "provisional ballots" will be counted in ten days, and so the Dem has not conceded. HE may still win, either by the end of the month or in November, if Republicans still sit on their hands.
In either case, he made it clear that the race was not over, that the campaign was still on through the November election.
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Is the author, Taegan Goddard, graham4anything4HC45 over at DI? If not, they're certainly drinking from the same pitcher
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In 2016, 112,000 Democrats voted in that congressional district. In 2018, 98,000 Democrats voted in that congressional district.
Good for the Democrats; they were obviously enthusiastic about their candidate.
In 2016, 251,000 Republicans voted in that congressional district. In 2018, 100,000 Republicans did.
I dunno why less than half the district's Republicans voted, and it's obviously something Republicans need to look into and address, but still with nearly all the Democrats having voted, and less than half the Republicans having voted, and the Republicans winning, doesn't seem propitious for the fortunes of the other party.
Special elections are boring. Most people shrug their shoulders. The dims are trying to make a point but will get body slammed in the general since Trump supporters want to make their OWN point about being insulted daily by the dims.
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Come on guys, you have to admit it was really close, they did come in second. :thatsright:
Unfortunately it was only a 2 horse race! :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :loser: :loser: :loser: :loser:
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(http://i.imgur.com/OgFc6tS.jpg)
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Come on guys, you have to admit it was really close, they did come in second. :thatsright:
Unfortunately it was only a 2 horse race! :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :lmao: :loser: :loser: :loser: :loser:
Better than Steve Dawes, aka Omaha Steve. Finished fourth in a race where there were only 3 declared candidates. Redefined winning!
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(http://i.imgur.com/OgFc6tS.jpg)
Love it! :cheersmate: :rotf:
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Star Member babylonsister (157,980 posts)
Ohio Special Election Shows a Blue Wave Coming
The only evidence of a "Blue Wave" coming that I see is of a blue wave in babylonsister's :stoner: water.
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Yep, O'Connor out raised, out-spent, and out-advertised Balderson, yet this is the best he could do. Heard he ran far to the right like Ds do when they want to win an election in iffy districts.
He came close but then he had much higher turnout than Balderson did. I really don't see the big deal here, they're just going to have a rematch in a few months but the incumbency will help Balderson. Babbleonsister's blue wave will carry her out into the ocean.
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Like Insty says, remember the Winston Wolf rule.
We need to get out and support republicans and not be behind our keyboards. Call your local R congress person and see what you can do. Even if it is just calling republicans to get out the vote from the comfort of your home, DO IT.
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Ban the GOP had this line of "winning while losing (https://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=103x567778)" back in 2010. Charles even made a Dummie Funnie (http://dummiefunnies.blogspot.com/2010/11/what-great-night-why-i-am-pumped-to-be.html) out of it.
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(http://i.imgur.com/OgFc6tS.jpg)
Almost winning
Always whining
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True!
Somewhere I saw an article that 60 + % of Republicans polled on the weekend (Aug, 4-5) did not even know that there was a special election on Tuesday!
Living in the area, but not in the district, I can tell you that the saturation of media ads was immense: millions had to have been spent for thousands of ads in the past months on television and radio and in the one newspaper still alive (which supported the Dem O'Connor). Perhaps a majority of Republicans no longer watch television, or have gone off the grid in some mass way, but that does not seem likely. Perhaps they record their shows and fast forward through all ads. Perhaps they do not read the local press.
Balderson was not the most personable or charismatic candidate: twenty years older than his opponent, he looks like a "career politician" and sounds like one. The Dem is barely 30 years old, and with a very earnest face spouts all the usual agitprop about Republicans throwing Grandma and Grandpa into the streets and burning down the orphanages.
Dems had volunteers going door-to-door - which Republicans just cannot do for some reason - and these volunteers had both voter registration and absentee ballot forms to pressure people into voting for the Democrat right then and there. They target poor areas and the elderly: this is how they win elections...
Supposedly it "ain't over yet:" thousands of "provisional ballots" will be counted in ten days, and so the Dem has not conceded. HE may still win, either by the end of the month or in November, if Republicans still sit on their hands.
In either case, he made it clear that the race was not over, that the campaign was still on through the November election.
Cause republicans are usually at work? :cheersmate:
Now I ain't got a clue what is gonna happen in November. It would not surprise me if the dems did win big given all the free media support they get from the liberal MSM. They beat GW Bush to death daily until they finally swung the house to the dems in 2006. I expect that tactic to occur this cycle as well. November is an eternity away though. I personally think the MSM are basically trying the brainwashing technique of saying everything is pointing to a blue wave... and then hoping it will happen due to GOP voters sitting out.
One thing I am sure of... if the Dems win, it is vindication that President Trump should be shot, hung, keel hauled and then drawn and quartered. If they don't, it will be because the dems do not show up in the off year election.
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Ban the GOP had this line of "winning while losing (https://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=103x567778)" back in 2010. Charles even made a Dummie Funnie (http://dummiefunnies.blogspot.com/2010/11/what-great-night-why-i-am-pumped-to-be.html) out of it.
I remember that!!! I never quite figured out if that was effective moling or not. :cheersmate:
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Cause republicans are usually at work? :cheersmate:
That explanation has been claimed more than once! O-) It could be true!
One thing I am sure of... if the Dems win, it is vindication that President Trump should be shot, hung, keel hauled and then drawn and quartered. If they don't, it will be because the dems do not show up in the off year election.
I If Dems take control in 2019, they will vote to abort President Trump's entire agenda, the way they vote to kill babies.
They will take any money allocated e.g. for a Space Force or the Wall and hand it over to “the poor” or for some environmental boondoggle for “clean energy.”
In fact a Space Force has been needed for decades, but only President Trump has the vision and the desire to push for it. But if Dems take over Congress, or even just the House, it will be dead,
Because the Dems absolutely and positively do NOT want America to become great again: their previous president is on record as wanting us to stop being #1, to stop leading, to start managing our decline into mediocrity and worse.
Election 2018 is even more crucial perhaps than 2016 for our future.
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Whatever. If the Stalinist pricks make it up the driveway they can eat the buckshot in my hallway.
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That explanation has been claimed more than once! O-) It could be true!
I If Dems take control in 2019, they will vote to abort President Trump's entire agenda, the way they vote to kill babies.
They will take any money allocated e.g. for a Space Force or the Wall and hand it over to “the poor” or for some environmental boondoggle for “clean energy.”
In fact a Space Force has been needed for decades, but only President Trump has the vision and the desire to push for it. But if Dems take over Congress, or even just the House, it will be dead,
Because the Dems absolutely and positively do NOT want America to become great again: their previous president is on record as wanting us to stop being #1, to stop leading, to start managing our decline into mediocrity and worse.
Election 2018 is even more crucial perhaps than 2016 for our future.
I agree completely. The GOP needs to retain control of the house and senate. Actually happened in 2002 and 2004 I think. All I am saying is that no matter what happens the MSM will spin it like I said earlier. They have actually dropped any and all pretense to being unbiased. Check this out:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/newspaper-calls-war-words-against-193505874.html (https://www.yahoo.com/news/newspaper-calls-war-words-against-193505874.html)
I thought the MSM (and dummie) hatred against GW Bush was intense... well that was a walk in the park compared to what is going on now. And when President Trump calls them out it just wires them up even more. How DARE Trump question us! He should sit there and take it like a good little GOP person. How dare him!!!!
He is wearing them out daily and they just do not know how to handle it. If they would just ignore it President Trump would probably quit doing it.
Personally I love it.
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I agree completely. The GOP needs to retain control of the house and senate. Actually happened in 2002 and 2004 I think. All I am saying is that no matter what happens the MSM will spin it like I said earlier. They have actually dropped any and all pretense to being unbiased. Check this out:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/newspaper-calls-war-words-against-193505874.html (https://www.yahoo.com/news/newspaper-calls-war-words-against-193505874.html)
I thought the MSM (and dummie) hatred against GW Bush was intense... well that was a walk in the park compared to what is going on now. And when President Trump calls them out it just wires them up even more. How DARE Trump question us! He should sit there and take it like a good little GOP person. How dare him!!!!
He is wearing them out daily and they just do not know how to handle it. If they would just ignore it President Trump would probably quit doing it.
Personally I love it.
Thanks for the great response! Yes, the Leftists and their Media clones became accustomed to G.W. Bush refusing to counter-attack and letting them spread lie after lie about everything. V-P Cheney in later years said W. Bush's refusal to counter their lies drove him crazy and was W. Bush's greatest mistake.
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Thanks for the great response! Yes, the Leftists and their Media clones became accustomed to G.W. Bush refusing to counter-attack and letting them spread lie after lie about everything. V-P Cheney in later years said W. Bush's refusal to counter their lies drove him crazy and was W. Bush's greatest mistake.
I had not heard of Cheney's comment, but I've long said that failing to deal with the MSM as the mad-dog partisans they clearly were was one of Bush's two great failures. The other was failing to clean the Clinton operatives out of the Justice Department (including the FBI) and intelligence agencies. Obama built on Clinton's unmolested foundation of corruption. Trump is stuck with trying fix both of Bush's big mistakes!
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Another sign of a blue wave is the generic congressional ballot essentially tied.
Donks need at least a +5% point lead to NOT lose seats.
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Another sign of a blue wave is the generic congressional ballot essentially tied.
Donks need at least a +5% point lead to NOT lose seats.
Dick Morris had a lunch alert Friday that said that the Dems lost 6-7 points on the generic ballot in a week.
There's a long time before the election, but the more the tax cuts and resulting economic upswing go on, the less the chances are.
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(https://s20.postimg.cc/aiy5v0pv1/Blue-_Wave-toilet.jpg) (https://postimages.org/)
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The commie retards are blind to the local carnage should their idiocy be imposed. Real Americans do not take well to DickTaters.
Ready, fire.