dave123williams (1000+ posts) Thu Aug-21-08 11:12 AM
Original message
Ok. That's it. I'm calling it. It's gonna be an epic blowout.
Here's why:
Polls are always samples of a thousand, or two thousand 'likely' voters.
In the primaries, the GOP turned out about 19 million actual voters, in total, for all nine or ten of their candidates combined.
The Democrats turned out about 37 million actual voters.
A little over 18 million for Obama, slightly less for Mrs. Clinton.
Unless McCain flips eighteen million Democrats, this is going to be an epic blowout.
Little wonder the MSM, scions of the status quo, cheerleaders of our foreign policy disasters, are interested in getting you to think it's close.
I'm not buying it. Neither should you.
Romulox (1000+ posts) Thu Aug-21-08 11:15 AM
Response to Original message
1. Bad logic. No evidence that the number of primary voters is a good predictor of GE votes...
The lower turnout for the Republican primary is likely due to the fact that it was not dramatically contested until the bitter end...
dave123williams (1000+ posts) Thu Aug-21-08 11:20 AM
Response to Reply #1
6. Other than that people who vote in the primaries will probably vote in the general.
If someone is civic enough to vote in the primaries....it stands to reason they'll be the same people who show up on Nov 4....and you know it.
not_this_time (171 posts) Thu Aug-21-08 11:31 AM
Response to Reply #1
9. Nah...
The overwhelming democrat vote is reflective of the mood of the COUNTRY. There are far more democrat voters in 2008 than repug voters. That is simple statistics. Just about everything in our society today is controlled by the administration in power. Even the polls.
The only way a McCain win will deflect an all-out civil war is to pretend that the vote is close.
The vote is NOT EVEN CLOSE!! There are 2 and a half dem voters to every repug voter.
Midlodemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Thu Aug-21-08 11:16 AM
Response to Original message
2. First time in history that my county ran out of Democratic ballots.
I agree with you. I think it's going to be a blowout. I PRAY it's going to be a blowout. I'm hoping for a reverse 1972 with McCain only getting one state.
GreenPartyVoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Thu Aug-21-08 11:17 AM
Response to Original message
3. I dunno. I am sure there are a lot of people who do not vote in the primaries but who do show up for the GEs. And then, of course, there's the election theft bit.
Dream on, DUmmies.
The wheels are off of Hussiens wagon. He looks more and more like a whiny little socialist bitch.
If by "Blow Out" he means that countless DUchebags and Libs are going to have pureed brain matter flying out of their ears when McCain wins and their heads explode, he may be right.
Dream on, DUmmies.
The wheels are off of Hussiens wagon. He looks more and more like a whiny little socialist bitch.
Dream on, DUmmies.
The wheels are off of Hussiens wagon. He looks more and more like a whiny little socialist bitch.
I predict that early November will be one of the great times in American history, because we will have averted the disaster of an Obamohammad Administration, and we will witness the greatest explosion of anger in the history of DU. It will be SWEET.
Dream on, DUmmies.
The wheels are off of Hussiens wagon. He looks more and more like a whiny little socialist bitch.
I predict that early November will be one of the great times in American history, because we will have averted the disaster of an Obamohammad Administration, and we will witness the greatest explosion of anger in the history of DU. It will be SWEET.
Many, many screencaps will be taken. (At least I hope they will be!) They will be donated to "Teh Rove" wing of the VRWC Museum.