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Illinois McCain Obama Other Undecided Likely voters 45% 51% 1% 4% Democrats (40%) 2% 96% - 2% Republicans (32%) 95% 3% - 2% Independents (28%) 49% 41% 2% 8% Men (45%) 47% 47% 1% 5% Women (55%) 43% 54% - 3% 18 to 49 (59%) 41% 54% 1% 4% 50 and older (41%) 51% 46% - 3%
wow. kerry carried illinois 55-44 in 2004, and gore won in 2000 by about the same margin. I would expect a hometown boy to mop up in illinois.
Quote from: Wretched Excess on September 18, 2008, 11:41:06 AMwow. kerry carried illinois 55-44 in 2004, and gore won in 2000 by about the same margin. I would expect a hometown boy to mop up in illinois. Racist
ARG is out with a bevy of national and state polls in the past few days which are interesting, to say the least. In the national numbers (note: scroll down to Sep 16th item) McCain is up 48-45, a 9 point shift since the end of August. But the internals are really interesting for Obama: McCain has gained 14 points with Democrats and Obama has lost 13 points! No wonder team Obama is worried.This is important - the poll shows a large defection from Team Obama, and nearly all of them are going to McCain instead of stopping in the ‘undecided’ column. McCain is now getting nearly 20% of Dems! And the numbers are too large to be a sampling error problem. The size can be argued, but not the movement. And it looks to be women doing the moving:McCain leads Obama 50% to 42% among men (47% of likely voters). Among women (53% of likely voters), Obama and McCain are tied at 47% each. In the August 30-September 1 survey, Obama was leading among women 52% to 40%....more...
Found this link via FR http://strata-sphere.com/blog/index.php/archives/5963QuoteARG is out with a bevy of national and state polls in the past few days which are interesting, to say the least. In the national numbers (note: scroll down to Sep 16th item) McCain is up 48-45, a 9 point shift since the end of August. But the internals are really interesting for Obama: McCain has gained 14 points with Democrats and Obama has lost 13 points! No wonder team Obama is worried.This is important - the poll shows a large defection from Team Obama, and nearly all of them are going to McCain instead of stopping in the ‘undecided’ column. McCain is now getting nearly 20% of Dems! And the numbers are too large to be a sampling error problem. The size can be argued, but not the movement. And it looks to be women doing the moving:McCain leads Obama 50% to 42% among men (47% of likely voters). Among women (53% of likely voters), Obama and McCain are tied at 47% each. In the August 30-September 1 survey, Obama was leading among women 52% to 40%....more...
Don't discount that there are lots of rural and small town folks outside of Chicago. I really wish Michigan or Indiana would annex Chicago.