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Author Topic: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?  (Read 8302 times)

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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« on: October 31, 2012, 03:46:28 PM »
O.k.. I am going to get serious here. Thinking logical and level headed, I am wondering what your prediction for the final EC will be on Tuesday?

Looking at it in a civil and serious light, I am going to say that Romney will win with 272 (Obama will end up with 266) ...
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Offline BigTex

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2012, 04:01:24 PM »
I think Romney gets 275 wins NC, FL, CO, VA and OH. Obama gets 263 wins NV, PA, MI, WI, IA, NH
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Offline EagleKeeper

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2012, 04:09:42 PM »
Here is my guess...

I don't know but I have hope.

I had that last time but was crushed, it took 4 years to recover but here we are.

I know Indiana won't go for Obama this time and that is what counts for me.
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Offline Lacarnut

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2012, 04:15:47 PM »
Romney wins PA and all of the battleground states. It will be a blowout of over 325
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2012, 04:18:45 PM »
Quote from: Lacarnut on October 31, 2012, 04:15:47 PM
Romney wins PA and all of the battleground states. It will be a blowout of over 325

My gut is telling me that is what it will be. But my head and logic are telling me something different. I still think it will be in the window of error.
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Offline ChuckJ

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2012, 04:53:09 PM »
In the battleground states it really depends on how many of the dead get to the polls.
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Offline Dori

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2012, 06:03:13 PM »
Quote from: ChuckJ on October 31, 2012, 04:53:09 PM
In the battleground states it really depends on how many of the dead get to the polls.

So far in just two states they have thousands of people voting who are over 110 years young.
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Offline delilahmused

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2012, 07:07:47 PM »
Quote from: Kyle Ricky on October 31, 2012, 04:18:45 PM
My gut is telling me that is what it will be. But my head and logic are telling me something different. I still think it will be in the window of error.

Well, that analysis by those 2 professors that have been right on since 1980 said Romney should get over 300 EC votes.

Cindie
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2012, 08:10:15 PM »
Quote from: delilahmused on October 31, 2012, 07:07:47 PM
Well, that analysis by those 2 professors that have been right on since 1980 said Romney should get over 300 EC votes.

Cindie

Yeah, the University of Colorado has been right in every election for the past 30 years. But there is always that one time that they could be wrong. And looking at the mentality of some the voters, my head is telling me that is it and Romney won't get over 300. Would I love to see it? You are damn right. Do I think he will? No..

I am praying and hoping that Romney does win outside the margin of error, because then obama wouldn't be able to contest it.
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Offline formerlurker

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2012, 08:12:33 PM »
Rove called it for Romney today, so it's Romney all the way.   

The master has spoken.   

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Offline thundley4

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2012, 08:14:12 PM »
Quote from: Kyle Ricky on October 31, 2012, 08:10:15 PM

I am praying and hoping that Romney does win outside the margin of error, because then obama wouldn't be able to contest it.

In what universe wouldn't he contest it?  Moose would have his ass if he doesn't.
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Offline franksolich

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2012, 08:15:22 PM »
Quote from: thundley4 on October 31, 2012, 08:14:12 PM
In what universe wouldn't he contest it?  Moose would have his ass if he doesn't.

It reminds me of the primitive who once alleged Walter Mundane in 1984 "almost" won Georgia.
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2012, 08:17:59 PM »
Quote from: formerlurker on October 31, 2012, 08:12:33 PM
Rove called it for Romney today, so it's Romney all the way.   

The master has spoken.   



Rove has been calling it for Romney since the primaries.


Quote from: thundley4 on October 31, 2012, 08:14:12 PM
In what universe wouldn't he contest it?  Moose would have his ass if he doesn't.

My understanding is that if he loses by a number outside the margin of error, he can't contest it?
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Offline thundley4

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2012, 08:29:14 PM »
Quote from: Kyle Ricky on October 31, 2012, 08:17:59 PM
Rove has been calling it for Romney since the primaries.


My understanding is that if he loses by a number outside the margin of error, he can't contest it?

Normal rules and laws do not apply to The Won.
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Offline docstew

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2012, 08:30:26 PM »
Quote from: Kyle Ricky on October 31, 2012, 08:17:59 PM
Rove has been calling it for Romney since the primaries.


My understanding is that if he loses by a number outside the margin of error, he can't contest it?

What margin of error are you referring to? In many states, there is a threshhold of one half percentage point difference. If the difference in the vote is under that threshhold, an automatic recount is started. Otherwise, O could always file suit saying there are uncounted votes and/or disqualifying specific votes. My bet is he'd start attacking the military absentee ballots first. Dems always go to that well when they need to make up votes...
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Offline ChuckJ

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2012, 08:37:51 PM »
Quote from: franksolich on October 31, 2012, 08:15:22 PM
It reminds me of the primitive who once alleged Walter Mundane in 1984 "almost" won Georgia.

Didn't TruthinAll once try to prove that the 1984 election wasn't a landslide for President Reagan?
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2012, 08:49:12 PM »
Quote from: docstew on October 31, 2012, 08:30:26 PM
What margin of error are you referring to? In many states, there is a threshhold of one half percentage point difference. If the difference in the vote is under that threshhold, an automatic recount is started. Otherwise, O could always file suit saying there are uncounted votes and/or disqualifying specific votes. My bet is he'd start attacking the military absentee ballots first. Dems always go to that well when they need to make up votes...

Yeah, I am talking about the point outside the automatic vote count. I could be wrong. But I thought if they are outside that point, he can't contest it?
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2012, 08:52:52 PM »
Quote from: ChuckJ on October 31, 2012, 08:37:51 PM
Didn't TruthinAll once try to prove that the 1984 election wasn't a landslide for President Reagan?

Mondale won one state and the District of Columbia. That was a landslide. I was watching Charlie Rose last night and he had a dude from the New York Times on trying to say that Reagan only won the 1984 election by 18 points. Mondale only got 13 points. The last I checked 538 - 13 doesn't equal 18?
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Offline BigTex

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2012, 08:57:51 PM »
Quote from: Kyle Ricky on October 31, 2012, 08:52:52 PM
Mondale won one state and the District of Columbia. That was a landslide. I was watching Charlie Rose last night and he had a dude from the New York Times on trying to say that Reagan only won the 1984 election by 18 points. Mondale only got 13 points. The last I checked 538 - 13 doesn't equal 18?

Reagan won the popular vote by 18 points (58.8-40.6) maybe he was talking about that
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Offline Jasonw560

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2012, 09:02:26 PM »
My gut says it will be around 290 for Romney.

My wish says 320+.
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Offline Kyle Ricky

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2012, 09:04:58 PM »
Quote from: BigTex on October 31, 2012, 08:57:51 PM
Reagan won the popular vote by 18 points (58.8-40.6) maybe he was talking about that

He didn't say about the popular vote before stating. But, yeah, he could have been...


Quote from: Jasonw560 on October 31, 2012, 09:02:26 PM
My gut says it will be around 290 for Romney.

My wish says 320+.

Yeah, I just can't see Romney getting 300+. Not with there being so may retards out there still in love with Barry.
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Offline Bad Dog

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2012, 10:26:39 PM »
Quote from: Lacarnut on October 31, 2012, 04:15:47 PM
Romney wins PA and all of the battleground states. It will be a blowout of over 325

Waaaaay off, won't be over 320.
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Offline DefiantSix

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #22 on: October 31, 2012, 10:38:22 PM »
I'm gonna let out a HUGE breath of air the moment Tuesday night that Romney hits 271, and I just ain't gonna give a shit how much gravy is on top of that.
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Offline WinOne4TheGipper

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #23 on: October 31, 2012, 11:22:34 PM »
Quote from: DefiantSix on October 31, 2012, 10:38:22 PM
I'm gonna let out a HUGE breath of air the moment Tuesday night that Romney hits 271, and I just ain't gonna give a shit how much gravy is on top of that.

He only needs 269 (a tie) to win.  I think he wins OH, WI, IA, CO, NH.  He may win PA, but that means he'd have to perform well in suburban Philly.  He might be just the Republican to do it.
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Offline Cruise

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Re: Final EC Predictions. Who will 'SERIOUSLY' win?
« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2012, 11:42:16 PM »
I wish I had your optimism.  I have never seen so many polls so inherently self-contradictory, I don't know what to think.   :panic:
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